Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/3/2)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/6)-(6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/2/4)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/5)-(2/5/1)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET O ME Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 May20 Sep27 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
2  OXBOW'S RIDE Jul10 Jun20 May20 May08 Mar21 (patton l)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jul10 Jun06 May08 Mar02 Feb16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  ORLEANS STORM Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 May24 (tumblin andr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jul27 Jul06 Apr25 Mar21 Mar01 (guidry terra)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
6  HAPPY TAKEOVER Jul17 May20 Apr27 Mar29 Feb27 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
7  TURBO POWER Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 Apr06 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jul24 Feb21 Jan19 Dec19 Dec03 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
2  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 Sep27 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 Mar21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
4  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 Mar21 (radosevich)RIVERA R 114 8.00    
5  NIKAO Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 May25   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.00    
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE Jul24 May29 Aug01     (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
7  COUNCIL OF FOUR Jul19 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VILLAGE CAT Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr25   (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS Aug02 Jun27 Jun02 Dec30 Dec03 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 57% 0.70    
3  CHILLVILLE Jul27 Jun01 May06 Sep26 Sep07 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  GO GIRL Jun30 Jun22 May31 May06 Apr06 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 112 3.00    
5  KETTLE KISS Jun30 May31 May06 Nov15 Nov01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 2.50    
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Jun01 May06 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A SMILE A DAY Jun15 Jun02 May20 May10 Apr11 (ho)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
2  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Jul14 May26 May13 Feb28 Feb16 (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 119 4.00 19% 4.10    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 May20 Apr27 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
4  LADY ABRIL Jul04 Jun12 May25 May11 Feb07 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 5% 17.40    
5  APPEALING SENORITA Aug01 Jul24 Jul06 Jun24 Jun12 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 5.00    
6  STAR MABEE Jul19 Jul04 May29 May10 Dec21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCITEMENT Jul22 Jun14 Nov30 Oct29 Sep23 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 112 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Aug24 Aug08 Jul28     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  SEASONS END Jul12 Jun20 Oct14 Aug15 Jul28 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 114 20.00    
4  LONE BOY Jun27 Jun10 May09 Feb01 Jan05 (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
5  ANIMO ROBERTO Jul22 Jun27 May31 May23 Mar29 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OKLAHOMA JOE Jul22 Jun27 May26 Dec30 Nov30 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 115 6.00    
7  SMOOCHER Jul22 May11 Mar14 Feb27 Jan12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00    
8  OUR BUCKWHEAT Jul22 Jul04 May25     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-6   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF May25 May06 Mar06 Feb22 Jan18 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.60 15% 5.60    
2  CAPTURE MI Jul31 Jun03 May05 Apr16 Mar22 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  DRINKSONTHEBEACH Jul11 May24 May17 Aug09 Jul25 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
4  DOMI Jul27 Jul11 Jun20 May29 May06 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 115 6.00    
5  PRIVATE CONNIE Jul03 May09 Apr04 Mar06 Feb23 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 2.00 17% 4.80    
6  KRAZY HAWK Jul11 Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETTER HALF Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 May11 Apr05 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50    
2  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jul27 Jun27 May25 Apr27 Mar30 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
3  DEW IT WITH STYLE Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 May06 May11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 30% 2.30    
4  FABULOUS CLOWN Aug02 Jun12 May06 Apr24 Apr06 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 5.00 6% 14.60    
5  EXPRESS FASHION May06 Apr05 Mar20 Dec30 Dec03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 39% 1.60    
6  KISS VALENTINA Jul27 Jul03 Jun14 May23 May06 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 117 8.00    
SCR  SECRETS UNTOLD Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 Jun01 May06 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 114 2.00    
 
TDN-8   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 May10 Apr25 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
2  MS. THE LAW Jun20 May25 May10 Apr18 Mar18 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 117 6.00    
3  PURDY PUMKIN Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec15 Dec01 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
4  CHAI TEA Jun21 Jun04 May19 Apr21 Mar19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  TWILIGHT VISION Jun21 May25 May10 Apr25 Oct05 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 12% 7.40    
6  TYRONA Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 May04 Mar03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Jul13 Jun20 May22 Apr11 Mar20 (suarez jav)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.