Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
TDN-2   Win (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $49.80  
TDN-3   Win (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
TDN-4   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
TDN-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
TDN-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-7   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
TDN-8   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYHEM 3 1 41 3½   21 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 2.00 27% 2.70 2.60 W
FACT NOT FICTION 1 3 2½ 1nk   11 2 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 P
AFTER SUNRISE 4 4 31 4¾   3 3 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 3.50 0.90  
TADZIO 2 2 1½ 2nk   4 4 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 5.00 9.80  
SCR  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER               (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
 
TDN-2   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO 2 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (trevino stephen )TORREALBA JG 118 10.00 23.90  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 7 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00 29.00 P
COURTLY 4 6 4 3   3 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 37% 1.70 5.70 S
LILAC LACE 5 2 32 5   47 4 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 9% 10.70 20.10  
BACKSPLASH 1 5 5 45   57 5 (mahan joseph)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 18.60  
SPECIAL BEACH 3 4 6 6   69 610½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 6.00  
DIVINE MARTHA 6 7 728¼ 727½   721 720 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 31% 2.30 0.30  
 
TDN-3   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBDURITE 8 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 44% 1.30 2.90 W
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 6 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 2 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 4.00  
OWN THE TOWN 2 3 43 4 31 3½ 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 13% 7.00 1.30 S
CANDY CRUSHEM 7 4 3 3 42 4 4 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 6.00 12% 7.10 4.90  
OPEN OUT 1 6 6 5 6 6 5 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 36.00  
RAMIRIN 4 7 54 6 5 5 6 (lopez jacint)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00 64.00  
YOUVESAIDITALL 3 5 8 8 8 7 713¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 8% 11.50 7.40  
GEH SCHNELL 5 8 76 7 7 8 814½ (manning richard)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00 40.60  
 
TDN-4   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:142     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE KETTLE 3 8 711¾ 712 66 3 1 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 16% 5.10 2.30 W
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 4 7 6 5 41 4 2 (davis scooter)STANLEY O 115 4.50 13% 6.80 1.00 P
CHILTEPIN 2 4 5 3 1nk 1 3 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 10.00 10.70  
DANES HEART 5 1 2nk 2nk 3½ 2 49 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 121 3.00 9% 10.40 5.40  
PLAYING BALL 6 2 35 4 53 58 5 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 13.50  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 6 812¾ 813½ 7 6 612 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15.90  
FACTUM'S STAR 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 710 726¼ (kerr n)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 36% 1.80 16.70  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 8 5 4 6 8 816 827¾ (campbell antho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 20.00 66.60  
SCR  CRIMSON LEGION               (londono odi)BRICENO M 109 12.00    
SCR  MARCH MAGIC               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY 3 3 11 1   1 1½ (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 11% 8.00 5.90 W
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 1 5 43   33 2½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 12.10  
TIER ONE 1 4 21 2   2 3¾ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 8% 11.00 6.60 S
WETZEL 4 2 31 3   43 42 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 2.00 55% 0.80 0.60  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 5 4 5   56 55 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 2.60  
SCR  LONE BOY               (bookman d)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY EUGENE 4 4 4 2nk   1 1 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 115 1.60 63% 0.60 0.10 W
KID RUSSELL 3 2 3 3½   2 2 (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 12.20  
WILDCAT EXPRESS 5 5 63 6   3 3 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.50 10% 8.60 4.20 S
FAST CLIP 1 3 1½ 1nk   4 4 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 6 5 5   5 519 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 43.20  
FAST AS FAST CAN B 6 1 2½ 41   6 623½ (guidry terr)BRICENO M 114 3.50 18.40  
 
TDN-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLEJACKOMO 1 4 54 56   3 1½ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 W
MASTER 5 1 1½ 11   1 2½ (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 9.90  
AWESOME ENOUGH 2 3 3½ 21   2 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 20% 3.90 1.40 S
DOMI 3 6 6 6   66 47 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 117 20.00 37.60  
EL SICARIO 4 5 4 4   5 5 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 7.30  
LED TASSO 6 2 2½ 3   4 6 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 58% 0.70 1.70  
SCR  GUN LAP               (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60    
 
TDN-8   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:14     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 6 5 510 4 1nk 1 114 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.50 W
KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 2 12 1 2nk 2 214 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 3.50  
STATE OF GRACE 5 4 48 59 5 413½ 315 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 5.80  
SWEET CHELSEA 2 6 613½ 612 610½ 613¾ 417¾ (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 37.60  
KISS VALENTINA 3 1 22 2 3½ 310 524¼ (castro a)BRACHO A 115 1.80 42% 1.40 3.50  
CHILLVILLE 4 3 34 32 4 513½ 625 (lopez jacinto)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 1.60 35% 1.90 3.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.