Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.20 $3.20 80%
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-2 $8.30 $6.30 315%
TDN-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(1/3/4/5)-(5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  8-3-3 $106.50 $58.50 122%
TDN-6   PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(5/3/1)-(4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-3-4 $49.50 $13.50 38%
TDN-7   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-4-1 $127.80 $100.80 373%
TDN-8   DD (7/3/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-6 $15.40 $6.40 71%
    PK4 (5/3/1)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/1)-(3/4/6) 81 $0.50 $40.50  3-4-1-6 $151.40 $110.90 274%
    PK5 (1/3/4/5)-(5/3/1)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/1)-(3/4/6) 324 $0.50 $162  3-3-4-1-6 $543.80 $381.80 236%
    PK6 (8/2/7/3)-(1/3/4/5)-(5/3/1)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/1)-(3/4/6) 1296 $0.20 $259  8-3-3-4-1-6 $443.08 $183.88 71%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAY MAYHEM 3 1 41 3½   21 12½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 2.00 27% 2.70 2.60 W
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
2  FACT NOT FICTION 1 3 2½ 1nk   11 22½ (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 P
  (by YOSHIDA out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
6  AFTER SUNRISE 4 4 31 4¾   32½ 35¼ (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 3.50 0.90  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
4  TADZIO 2 2 1½ 2nk   42½ 47¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 5.00 9.80  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER               (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
TDN-2   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YEARS AGO 2 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (trevino stephe)TORREALBA JG 118 10.00 23.90  
7  GRAN MAMIBELLA 7 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00 29.00 P
4  COURTLY 4 6 42½ 33½   35½ 34¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 37% 1.70 5.70 S
5  LILAC LACE 5 2 32 55½   47 45½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 9% 10.70 20.10  
1  BACKSPLASH 1 5 52¾ 45   57 57¼ (mahan jose)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 18.60  
3  SPECIAL BEACH 3 4 63¼ 67½   69 610½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 6.00  
6  DIVINE MARTHA 6 7 728¼ 727½   721 720 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 31% 2.30 0.30  
 
TDN-3   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DEBDURITE 8 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 11¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 44% 1.30 2.90 W
6  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 6 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 21¼ (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 4.00  
2  OWN THE TOWN 2 3 43 41¾ 31 3½ 32¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 13% 7.00 1.30 S
7  CANDY CRUSHEM 7 4 31½ 31½ 42 44½ 45¼ (londono odin )BRACHO A 123 6.00 12% 7.10 4.90  
1  OPEN OUT 1 6 64½ 53¼ 64¾ 65¾ 58½ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 36.00  
4  RAMIRIN 4 7 54 63¾ 52¼ 55½ 69¼ (lopez jaci)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00 64.00  
3  YOUVESAIDITALL 3 5 87½ 86¼ 87¼ 79¼ 713¾ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 8% 11.50 7.40  
5  GEH SCHNELL 5 8 76 76¼ 76¾ 89¼ 814½ (manning richa)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00 40.60  
 
TDN-4   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:142     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BRONZE KETTLE 3 8 711¾ 712 66 35½ 11¼ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 16% 5.10 2.30 W
4  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 4 7 67¼ 56½ 41 45½ 21¼ (davis scooter)STANLEY O 115 4.50 13% 6.80 1.00 P
2  CHILTEPIN 2 4 55¾ 34½ 1nk 14½ 31½ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 10.00 10.70  
5  DANES HEART 5 1 2nk 2nk 3½ 24½ 49 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 121 3.00 9% 10.40 5.40  
6  PLAYING BALL 6 2 35 45½ 53 58 59½ (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 13.50  
8  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 6 812¾ 813½ 77½ 69½ 612 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15.90  
1  FACTUM'S STAR 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 710 726¼ (kerr n)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 36% 1.80 16.70  
9  SWEET JILL'S JACK 8 5 45¼ 67½ 89½ 816 827¾ (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 20.00 66.60  
SCR  CRIMSON LEGION               (londono o)BRICENO M 109 12.00    
SCR  MARCH MAGIC               (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUN ROCKY 3 3 11 12½   11½ 1½ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 11% 8.00 5.90 W
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 1 51¾ 43   33 2½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 12.10  
1  TIER ONE 1 4 21 22½   21½ 3¾ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 8% 11.00 6.60 S
5  WETZEL 4 2 31 32½   43 42 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 2.00 55% 0.80 0.60  
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 5 41¼ 55½   56 55 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 2.60  
SCR  LONE BOY               (bookman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEY EUGENE 4 4 41½ 2nk   11½ 15¾ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 115 1.60 63% 0.60 0.10 W
3  KID RUSSELL 3 2 31½ 3½   21½ 25¾ (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 12.20  
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS 5 5 63 61¼   31½ 37½ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.50 10% 8.60 4.20 S
1  FAST CLIP 1 3 1½ 1nk   41¾ 49½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 6 52½ 51¼   55¾ 519 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 43.20  
6  FAST AS FAST CAN B 6 1 2½ 41   69¾ 623½ (guidry te)BRICENO M 114 3.50 18.40  
 
TDN-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLEJACKOMO 1 4 54 56   31½ 1½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 W
6  MASTER 5 1 1½ 11   11½ 2½ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 9.90  
3  AWESOME ENOUGH 2 3 3½ 21   21½ 34½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 20% 3.90 1.40 S
4  DOMI 3 6 64¼ 67½   66 47 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 117 20.00 37.60  
5  EL SICARIO 4 5 42½ 44½   53½ 57¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 7.30  
7  LED TASSO 6 2 2½ 31½   42½ 68¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 58% 0.70 1.70  
SCR  GUN LAP               (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 1.60    
 
TDN-8   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:14     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 6 5 510 44½ 1nk 15½ 114 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.50 W
1  KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 2 12 11½ 2nk 25½ 214 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 3.50  
5  STATE OF GRACE 5 4 48 59 59½ 413½ 315 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 5.80  
2  SWEET CHELSEA 2 6 613½ 612 610½ 613¾ 417¾ (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 37.60  
3  KISS VALENTINA 3 1 22 21½ 3½ 310 524¼ (castro raquel)BRACHO A 115 1.80 42% 1.40 3.50  
4  CHILLVILLE 4 3 34 32 44½ 513½ 625 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 1.60 35% 1.90 3.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.