Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
TDN-2   Win (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
TDN-3   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-4   Win (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $42.60  
TDN-5   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.80  
TDN-7   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-8   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOGIE BOOGEE 3 3 2nk 1nk   12 1 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.90 W
NOT A WILD BRAT 1 4 1nk 3.2   22 2 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 2.50 3.80  
STAR MABEE 2 6 5 5   3 36 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 33% 2.00 2.00 S
GAIL'S DANCER 5 2 6 6   6 4 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50 6.10  
FRONT CIRCLE 4 5 4 4   44 59 (book)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 21% 3.80 2.20  
CITY SIGNS 6 1 3.2 2nk   5 613 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 35.10  
 
TDN-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTION INTEGRITY 1 5 42 44   2nk 1 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 30% 2.40 3.90 W
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 7 2 3 3   3½ 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5.30  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 5 7 6 610¼   5 3 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 6% 14.60 8.50 S
JOSH'N 6 1 2nk 1   1nk 4 (gorham m)DIAZ R 123 2.00 12% 7.50 0.90  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 3 6 5 5   42 5 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 119 12.00 12.70  
COUNCIL OF FOUR 2 4 1nk 2   6 617¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 12.00 8.70  
MY BUDDY MICAH 4 3 723½ 7100   7100 7100 (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 24% 3.10 11.40  
 
TDN-3   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C J ALL THE WAY 1 3 11 1nk   2nk 1 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.00 30% 2.30 0.30 W
MISTERCHILLIWILLI 3 2 21 2nk   1nk 2 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 1.80  
TURBO POWER 2 1 31 34   312 317¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 8.00 14.10  
DOMINAR 4 4 418 4100   4100 4100 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 16% 5.10 13.90  
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING               (diehl candace)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  WARHORSE WEST               (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KID'S PRAYER 4 5 21 2nk   12 1 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 20.30  
MY TWO JAKES 3 2 32 3   36 2 (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 17.40  
BROKEN JEWEL 2 6 11 1nk   22 3 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 10.80 2.60 S
SNAZZY 7 4 76 6   69 46 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 27% 2.70 3.60  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 1 7 5 5   58 5 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00 2.50  
HALO EFFECT 5 1 4 42   4 67 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 2.70  
ONE RICH KITTEN 6 3 6 7   711½ 713¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 11% 8.10 11.20  
SCR  C MORE PRIDE               (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED WARRIOR 2 3 1 1nk   2nk 1nk (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 15% 5.50 1.80 W
GOOD ON YA 1 4 2 2nk   1nk 2nk (londono odi)BRICENO M 118 3.50 6.50  
BAYTOWN BEAR 6 2 4 3   34 35 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 2.00 49% 1.10 0.90 S
SPEIGHTY WAR 4 6 5 57   47 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 5.00 6.80  
TOMATO BILL 3 1 3 4   5 511 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 15.00 18.20  
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 5 6 69   610 612 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 9% 10.30 26.30  
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR               (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 123 10.00    
 
TDN-6   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETS UNTOLD 3 4 5 3.2   1nk 13 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 2.50 0.90  
KAT TRAX 6 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 23 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.00 17% 4.90 5.20 P
BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 2 6 6   5 3 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 2 5 3.2 4¼   4 4 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 115 4.00 11.50  
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 1 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 5 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 8.90  
DEW IT WITH STYLE 5 6 4¼ 5   6 610¾ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 56% 0.80 3.00  
 
TDN-7   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM 5 3 2 2   1 11 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60 W
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 4 4 44 4   2 21 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5.40  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 6 6 5 5   34 34 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5.10  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 2 1 3 3   44 4 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50 5.40  
LADYBUGGIN 1 5 611½ 613½   611 57 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 19% 4.40 10.90  
SPUN PRETTY 3 2 1 1   55 612 (calderon ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
SCR  TITEBLUEJEANS               (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
 
TDN-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CLINE 1 6 23 2 1nk 1½ 1 (cline c)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 12% 7.10 1.40 W
MURTAGH 6 3 3 3 3 33 2 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 4.50  
GRAND DEAL 4 1 47 47 4 4 33 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12.80  
FISHING FOR FUN 5 2 13 1 2nk 2½ 44 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30  
PAPA CHARLES 2 5 6 58 5 59 5 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 17.60  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 3 4 5 6 6 611 615¼ (londono odi)BRICENO M 114 6.00 9% 9.70 11.00  
SCR  SILVER MATT               (romero oscar)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.