Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/4/6/5)-(2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5)-(2/6)-(8/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(8/6/2)-(7/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(7/2/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(5/6/4)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A WILD BRAT Jun19 May22 May03 Apr12 Mar27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
2  STAR MABEE Jul04 May29 May10 Dec21 Dec05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jun19 May20 Apr26 Mar27 Mar08 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  FRONT CIRCLE Jun15 May10 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  GAIL'S DANCER Jun19 May29 Apr26 Mar06 Feb16 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
6  CITY SIGNS Jul04 Jun06 May22 May03 Apr13 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTION INTEGRITY Jun19 Jun01 May11 Aug03 Jul12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  COUNCIL OF FOUR Feb21 Jan19 Jan04     (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
3  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Jun20 Jun06 May22 Mar21 Feb16 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
4  MY BUDDY MICAH Jul05 Jun12 May25 Dec14 Nov14 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jun20 Jun06 May22 Sep27 Sep05 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  JOSH'N May11 Apr25 Apr13     (gorham m)DIAZ R 123 2.00 12% 7.50    
7  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Jun20 Jun06 May22 Mar21 Feb16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
 
TDN-3   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING Jul10 Jun06 May05 Jan12 Dec07 (diehl canda)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  C J ALL THE WAY Jun24 Jan18 Dec30 Nov10 Oct11 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  TURBO POWER Jul04 Jun12 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 8.00    
SCR  WARHORSE WEST May29 May09 Apr25 Apr10 Mar22 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50    
5  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Jun27 Jun06       (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
6  DOMINAR May31         (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-4   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jul05 Jun19 Feb20 Sep29 Aug31 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
2  BROKEN JEWEL Jul05 Jun19 Feb06 Jan10 Dec29 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 10.80    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
3  MY TWO JAKES Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 May31 May11 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  THE KID'S PRAYER Jul05 Jun19 May31     (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by KISS THE KID out of SUSIE'S PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
5  HALO EFFECT Jul05 Jun24 May31 May11 Dec13 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
6  ONE RICH KITTEN         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  C MORE PRIDE Jul05 Jun01       (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
8  SNAZZY         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
 
TDN-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD ON YA Jul05 May23 Feb08 Jan28 Dec31 (londono o)BRICENO M 118 3.50    
2  WICKED WARRIOR Jun26 May10 Apr16 Mar29 Dec17 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  TOMATO BILL Jun26 Jun07 Nov15 Nov03 Oct22 (londono odin )BRACHO A 123 15.00    
4  SPEIGHTY WAR May28 May14 Dec05 Nov22 Nov02 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 5.00    
5  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jun21 Jun01 May16 Apr25 Feb20 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Jan12 Dec22 Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 123 10.00    
7  BAYTOWN BEAR Jun26 May29 May16 Apr08 Mar18 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-6   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jul04 Jun13 May23 May09 Mar27 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
2  MANDOLIN BREEZE Jul05 Jun19 May31 May11 Nov30 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 4.00    
3  SECRETS UNTOLD Jun30 Jun14 Jun01 May06 Oct06 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 2.50    
4  BEAUTIFUL LASS Jul05 Jun14 Jun01 May06 Apr05 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEW IT WITH STYLE Jul03 May06 May11     (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  KAT TRAX Jul03 Jun14 May23 Mar21 Mar09 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-7   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADYBUGGIN Jun21 Jun05 May15 Apr12 Mar16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 19% 4.40    
2  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jun21 Jun05 May16 Apr27 Apr03 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50    
SCR  TITEBLUEJEANS Jul03 Jun14 May31 May11 Apr24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
4  SPUN PRETTY Jun05 Dec22 Nov28 Sep22 Sep08 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Jun05 May16 May06 Mar21 Feb23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
6  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Jul04 Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 May15 Apr25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CLINE Jun15 May30 May08 Mar30 Mar17 (cline c)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 12% 7.10    
2  PAPA CHARLES Jun27 Jun04 May23 May07 Jan19 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
SCR  SILVER MATT Jul11 Jun11 May24 May08 Mar06 (romero oscar)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jul03 Jun05 May15 Apr27 Feb21 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 6.00 9% 9.70    
5  GRAND DEAL Jun15 May30 May17 Apr27 Apr11 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
6  FISHING FOR FUN Jun15 May24 May08 Apr15 Apr05 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  MURTAGH Jul03 Jun10 Jun13 May09   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.