Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TDN-2   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
TDN-3   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
TDN-4   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-5   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-6   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
TDN-7   Win (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY THE CAT 2 1 1 11 1 14 1 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 62% 0.60 2.00 W
OAKEN 1 3 4 3 34 34 2 (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 13% 6.70 2.80 P
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 4 2 2 21 2 24 3 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 2.00  
SAMMY DA BULL 8 5 7 78 8 6 4 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 17.50  
DEER CREEK ROAD 6 6 8 810½ 7 4 511¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00 43.50  
MANGA MAN 5 8 6 67 66 89 612½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50 9.50  
WORTHY OPPONENT 7 4 3 45 45 5 713¾ (miller arizona)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
TIZ A RUSH 3 7 55 5 55 7 819¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 13.40  
 
TDN-2   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O CIGANO 6 2 23 2   1nk 13 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 2.50 12% 7.60 2.90 W
TWICE AS SMART 5 1 13 1   2nk 23 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 14.80  
YOU ARE AWESOME 3 3 33 33   33 34 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50 S
CALL WEST 1 6 512 511½   5 4 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 24.90  
THE DRAKE 2 4 612½ 615   6 5 (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 11% 7.90 7.90  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 4 5 47 47   4 68 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 8.90  
 
TDN-3   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINDSHIP Q 5 2 42 4   1½ 1 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00 11% 8.00 3.90 W
STREET TRAFFIC 6 1 2½ 1nk   3½ 2 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 1.80 16% 5.20 0.90 P
WILDERZAR 3 5 5 2nk   2½ 3 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 5.90  
ALTAIR 2 3 1½ 31   4 4 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 47% 1.10 3.20  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 1 6 628½ 621¾   616 514 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 3.50 13.10  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 4 4 31 5   5 614 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 17.30  
 
TDN-4   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPPING FISH 3 4 21 2nk   1nk 1 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 49% 1.00 1.20 W
AUGER 1 5 54 43   2nk 2 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 16% 5.40 1.60 P
OVER THE HILLS 6 2 3 31   42 3 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 6.00 18.30  
THE COOKIE MAN 5 1 11 1nk   3½ 45 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17.00  
ICON 2 6 65 6   54 5 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50 7.60  
CUTLER 4 3 4 5   65 6 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 14% 6.00 4.60  
 
TDN-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O ROMEO 5 2 12 11   1½ 1 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 3.30  
MAJESTIC FLAG 2 5 22 21   2½ 2 (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 38% 1.60 2.40 P
ATILANO 1 6 6 44   3 3 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 27% 2.70 0.90 S
MARSICO 3 4 4 3   4 410¼ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 15.00  
MOTOWN COLLECTION 4 3 5 56   511 516¾ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 8.20  
SECOND LIEUTENANT 6 1 32 610   623 6100 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 12% 7.50 43.20  
 
TDN-6   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FISHING FOR FUN 4 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 12 1 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 W
GRAND DEAL 3 4 3 3½ 33 3 2 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 4.50 2.10  
CAPTURE MI 6 6 4 4¾ 2nk 22 33 (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 12% 7.40 3.90 S
AT THE BEACH 1 2 5 5 5 45 4 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 14.50  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 2 3 1½ 1nk 4 5 56 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 1.80 21% 3.80 2.10  
HAD RIGHT 5 5 64 6 610¼ 617½ 624½ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 22.90  
 
TDN-7   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:15     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K KID 6 2 33 5 2nk 1 1 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 26% 2.80 0.90 W
SWING STATE 3 3 2 1½ 1nk 2 2 (brown glenroy)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 15.00 5% 19.00 64.40 P
CAVALETTO 8 6 64 7 4 3 37 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 39% 1.60 4.90 S
RED COMET 2 4 43 2½ 6 610 411½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 10.00 1.90  
YOU'RE OUT 7 5 5 4 32 4 512 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
GOOD MUSIC 1 7 7 6 5 59 614½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.50 11.40  
SOL DEL NORTE 4 8 810 810½ 8 718 727½ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 16.80  
BIG STOCK WINNER 5 1 1 31 7 820 839 (gonzalez donaci)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00 ######  
 
TDN-8   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALACTIC 5 1 1½ 11   13 13 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 38% 1.60 0.40 W
PLAY BALL 3 4 3 32   23 23 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 34% 2.00 5.90 P
OL' L B 2 5 44 46   48 36 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5.20  
MISTER MOBIL 4 3 6 57   5 4 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
OHIO PLAYER 6 2 2½ 21   37 58 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 20.90  
MIDNIGHT MIKEY 1 6 54 68   610½ 610½ (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 5.80  
SCR  NEBULOSA               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  RECKLESS L J               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.