Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(3/6/2)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/6/5)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/1/4)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/2/6)-(8/6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(8/6/7/3)-(7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/7/3)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKEN Jul12 Jun27 Mar23 Mar09 Feb21 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 13% 6.70    
2  HENRY THE CAT Jul11 May08 Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
3  TIZ A RUSH Jul11 May20 Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
4  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jul18 Jul05 Jun24 Jun02 May20 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
5  MANGA MAN Jul11 May23 May08 Jan11 Dec03 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50    
6  DEER CREEK ROAD Jun10 May15 Apr27 Mar27 Feb20 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WORTHY OPPONENT Jul18 Jun10 Jun01 Nov28 Nov12 (miller arizon)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAMMY DA BULL Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr27 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Jun24 Jun07 May15 May03 Apr15 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
2  THE DRAKE Jul06 Jun15 May24 May03 Apr12 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
3  YOU ARE AWESOME Jul04 Jun24 Jun01 May09 Mar22 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jul03 Jun24 May23 May06 Apr03 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00    
5  TWICE AS SMART Jul03 Jun12 May20 Apr27 Mar30 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
6  O CIGANO Jul03 Jun07 May17 May03 Apr11 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
TDN-3   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 Oct14 Oct05 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
2  ALTAIR Jul12 Jun27 Jun02 Feb26 Feb05 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  WILDERZAR Jun15 Jun06 Mar12 Mar04 Feb25 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
4  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Oct05 Sep21 Jul25 Jun29 Jun16 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
5  MINDSHIP Q Jul17 Jun27 Jun02 May21 Apr30 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00 11% 8.00    
6  STREET TRAFFIC Jul17 Jun27 Jun20 May23 May06 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 1.80 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-4   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGER Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 May01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
2  ICON Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May20 May09 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50    
3  FLIPPING FISH Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May23 May08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  CUTLER Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 May08 Sep22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  THE COOKIE MAN Jun24 Jun01 May21 May08 Apr04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
6  OVER THE HILLS Jun21 Jun05 May08 Apr15 Mar27 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATILANO Jul11 May11 Apr25 Apr10 Aug23 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
2  MAJESTIC FLAG May12 Mar12 Jan13 Dec18 Nov02 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  MARSICO Jul12 Mar18 Feb18 Jul01 Jun11 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of MISS PEACHTREE by WAR CHANT)
4  MOTOWN COLLECTION Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 Aug23 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
5  O ROMEO Jul11 May29 May11 Apr23 Apr08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
6  SECOND LIEUTENANT Dec09         (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 12% 7.50    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of SAVANNAH HARBOR by GRUB)
 
TDN-6   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE BEACH Jun24 Nov03 Oct24 Sep26 Sep08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Jul10 May16 Apr27 Mar21 Jan23 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 1.80 21% 3.80    
3  GRAND DEAL Jul19 Jun15 May30 May17 Apr27 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
4  FISHING FOR FUN Jul19 Jun15 May24 May08 Apr15 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  HAD RIGHT Jun27 Jun15 May30 May16 Apr22 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
6  CAPTURE MI Jun03 May05 Apr16 Mar22 Feb22 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-7   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MUSIC Jul06 May29 May11 Apr25 Mar09 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.50    
2  RED COMET Jul13 Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 Jun05 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 10.00    
3  SWING STATE Jul06 Jun06 May17 Mar30 Mar02 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOL DEL NORTE Jul06 Aug01 Jul19 Jun30   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
5  BIG STOCK WINNER Jul17 May03 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 (gonzalez dona)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
6  K KID Jul06 Jun24 Jun02 May08 Apr06 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 26% 2.80    
7  YOU'RE OUT Jul06 Jun02 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAVALETTO Jun15 Jun02 May08 Apr06 Feb09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-8   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jun06 May06 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
2  OL' L B Jul10 Jun07 May20 Jan26 Jan09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
3  PLAY BALL May22 Apr06 Mar09 Feb28 Jan26 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  MISTER MOBIL Jun15 May22 May08 Mar20 Oct04 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEBULOSA Jun13 May16 May09 Apr26 Mar27 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  RECKLESS L J Jul11 May24 Apr26 Mar09 Feb13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
7  GALACTIC Jun15 May22 Apr06 Mar09 Jan26 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  OHIO PLAYER Jul11 Jun15 Mar22 Mar09 Feb13 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.