Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.20  
TDN-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $19.60 $19.60 13.60
TDN-3   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.40  
TDN-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $14.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $11.40  
TDN-7   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.20  
TDN-8   Win (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALENDULA 7 1 3 31 1nk 1 16 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 3.10  
OPULENT WAYS 2 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 2 26 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 63% 0.60 0.80 P
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 1 6 6 66 5 4 36 (calderon ivan)HALDAR J 119 4.50 12% 7.50 4.60 S
KENNEDIE SKY 4 3 5 53 33 3 412½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 8.90  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 5 2 2½ 2½ 45 57 514¾ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
MARIANNA QUEEN 6 7 42 42 6 6 615 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 11.50  
NATIVE VALLEY 3 5 76 7 7 710½ 718¼ (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
 
TDN-2   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMAS HOME COOKING 2 3 24 25   23 11 (cline c)ROSARIO L 117 1.80 49% 1.10 8.80 W
STARS N SPACE 6 1 14 15   13 21 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 0.70  
TURBO POWER 3 6 3 36   37 310½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 12.00 5.80  
GRANDE RED 4 5 5 48   49 412¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50 10% 8.80 10.00  
NOSEY POWER 1 4 66 6   511½ 517½ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 9% 10.70 3.70  
BILLY BEACOUP 5 2 45 5   614½ 623 (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 8.10  
 
TDN-3   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARSA 4 2 11 1½   1½ 1 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 36% 1.70 0.90 W
DIVA POWER 5 3 21 2½   2½ 2 (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 10% 8.70 2.70 P
NOT A WILD BRAT 2 4 31 32   33 33 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.90 S
CHLOES ANGEL 3 6 64 65   56 43 (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 11.00  
SARAH JANE 6 1 53 4   45 5 (bates l)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 11.60  
SASSY POWER 1 5 4 5   6 6 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 54.20  
 
TDN-4   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:122     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WISDOM 1 5 3 3 1½ 12 1 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 3.70  
DISCLOSURE 4 3 49 5 42 22 2 (skerrett jef)RIVERA R 114 5.00 8.90  
ROYAL DRAGOON 2 4 59 4 52 32 3 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 17% 4.80 1.50 S
BREEZY MONEY 5 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 4 4 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 14% 6.10 2.90  
FIRST CITIZEN 3 1 1½ 1nk 3 5 519¾ (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 42% 1.40 2.70  
SCR  LAUDA SPEED               (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX STEP 2 2 1 1½   1 11 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 6.30  
SPARKLING JEWEL 3 4 4 54   2 21 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 15% 5.70 0.50 P
RAINBOW SHIP 6 1 53 4   45 3 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00 13.20  
KICHI KITSU 5 6 2 2½   34 4 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 59% 0.70 2.20  
INDY PRINCESS KOKO 1 5 68 6   610½ 58 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
SCATERRA 4 3 3 3   5 611¼ (syed riaz)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00 39.70  
 
TDN-6   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 1 1 1 11 11 1½ 1¼ (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 4.70  
PRINCESS HALIME 7 5 3 21 31 3½ 2¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 19% 4.20 2.30 P
LIBERTY BELLE 3 6 6 6 44 43 3 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 3.50 4.40  
BLUSHING BETTY 5 3 4 3 21 2½ 4 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 2.00 59% 0.70 1.50  
CEVICHE 2 2 2 42 5 5 57 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 53.70  
BOURBON BUNS 6 4 5 5 6 6 6 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
BLAZING ZENNA 4 7 7 75 7 7 716½ (mahan jose)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
 
TDN-7   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 7 8 7 5 21 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 5.60  
GOLD N SILVER 7 2 11 1½ 11 11 2¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 71% 0.40 1.00 P
VISUAL MISSION 5 5 5 4 7 5 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 3.00  
NAMBITI 4 4 42 6 3 31 4 (tumblin andrew)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 40.80  
SPEEDY MOBILE 6 6 21 31 21 42 5 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 18.80  
POWERFUL PHIL 3 3 6 8 64 7 6 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 7.40  
SERVE REVENGE COLD 2 8 7 5 43 6 7 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 9.10  
ATTACK ANGLE 8 1 3 2½ 85 8100 8100 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
 
TDN-8   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LOVES IT 6 1 3½ 3.2   1 11 (lopez jacinto)MEJIAS RICARDO 117 2.50 14% 6.40 1.90 W
SORORITY SISTER 5 3 53 5   2 21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 3.70  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 5 4 4   3 3 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00 12% 7.30 2.10 S
FABULOUS CLOWN 1 4 1nk 2nk   4 48 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 6.00 5.40  
SALUTE THE KID 4 2 2nk 1nk   5 512¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 3.50 18% 4.40 4.70  
DISCREET ENERGY 3 6 6 6   6100 6100 (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 60.70  
SCR  VILLAGE CAT               (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.