Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(2/4/1)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/2/5)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/2/6)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/3/1)-(5/7/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/7/6/4)-(7/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(7/8/4)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Jun12 May28 May09 Apr10 Mar01 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
2  OPULENT WAYS Jun14 May29 Oct11 Oct03 Sep22 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
3  NATIVE VALLEY Jul18 Jun12 May02 Dec29 Dec11 (patton luke)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENNEDIE SKY Jul10 Apr10 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
5  PROUD MAID MARIAN Jul10 Jun14 Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARIANNA QUEEN Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr18 Mar29 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
7  CALENDULA Jun12 May22 Apr05 Mar19 Feb26 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 Apr24 Apr12 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 9% 10.70    
2  MAMAS HOME COOKING Jun24 Jun14 Apr29 Jul10 Jun11 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  TURBO POWER Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 Apr06 Mar19 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 12.00    
4  GRANDE RED Jul10 Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  BILLY BEACOUP Jul17 May20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
6  STARS N SPACE Jul25 Jul04 Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-3   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY POWER Jun26 May25 May11 Apr26 Apr13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
2  NOT A WILD BRAT Jul19 Jun19 May22 May03 Apr12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Jul17 Jun12 May20 Apr27 Mar06 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
4  LARSA Jul05 Jun26 Jun06 May24 May11 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 36% 1.70    
5  DIVA POWER Jul17 Jun15 May20 Apr27 Mar08 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  SARAH JANE Jul14 Jun19 May20 Apr12 Mar16 (bates l)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
 
TDN-4   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON WISDOM Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 May16 Mar21 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
2  ROYAL DRAGOON Jul24 Jul05 May23 Apr15 Apr03 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Jul12 Jun15 May31 May10 May02 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LAUDA SPEED Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May08 Apr12 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
5  DISCLOSURE Jul12 Jun13 May31 May10 Apr15 (skerrett j)RIVERA R 114 5.00    
6  BREEZY MONEY Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 Dec20 Nov28 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
TDN-5   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Jun21 May30 Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOX STEP Jul17 Jun01 May20 Feb14 Jan28 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
3  SPARKLING JEWEL Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 15% 5.70    
4  SCATERRA May15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep20   (syed riaz)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00    
5  KICHI KITSU May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 Jan31 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 59% 0.70    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Jul17 Jun15 May20 Apr26 Apr10 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jul20 Jun19 May31 Sep27 Aug25 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
2  CEVICHE Jul25 May30 May09 Mar15 Feb02 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00    
3  LIBERTY BELLE Jul11 Jun13 May31 Apr13 Feb28 (londono odin )BRACHO A 123 3.50    
4  BLAZING ZENNA Jul11 Jun13 May22 May09 Apr05 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUSHING BETTY Jul11 Jun13 May30 May15 Apr24 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
6  BOURBON BUNS Jul19 Jul03 May31 May02 Mar07 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRINCESS HALIME Jul19 Jul11 May31 May22 May06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-7   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 May09 Apr26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
2  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jul11 Jun27 Mar27 Mar09 Jan11 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Jul11 Jun20 Jun07 May23 May08 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
4  NAMBITI Jun27 Jun10 May31 May09 Apr27 (tumblin andr)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  VISUAL MISSION Jul11 Jun13 Jun02 May16 May08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
6  SPEEDY MOBILE Jul11 Jun13 May08 Apr04 Feb28 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
7  GOLD N SILVER Jul05 Jun14 May16 May02 Apr13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 71% 0.40    
8  ATTACK ANGLE Jul12 Jun26 Jan12     (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Jun12 May06 Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 6.00    
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jun27 Jun02 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00 12% 7.30    
3  DISCREET ENERGY May25 Jan03 Nov19 Sep12 Aug25 (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
4  SALUTE THE KID Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 May11 Nov30 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 3.50 18% 4.40    
5  SORORITY SISTER Jul22 May25 Apr27 Apr10 Feb23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  VILLAGE CAT Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr25   (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
7  SUGAR LOVES IT Jun20 Jun01 May15 Apr25 Oct05 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 117 2.50 14% 6.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.