Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $15.60  
TDN-2   Win (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-3   Win (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-4   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-5   Win (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
TDN-6   Win (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
TDN-8   Win (8/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 1 4 1nk   12 1 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 6.80  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 4 2 31 2nk   22 2 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00 4.10  
GO RAY 2 6 5 5   4 3 (pattah shaha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 19% 4.30 3.70 S
THELMA LUCILLE 1 4 2nk 42   5 4 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 4.60  
MOST ADORABLE 3 3 1nk 3½   3 57 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 29% 2.40 1.40  
RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT 6 5 6 6   6 6 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 9.00  
SCR  SHESANOTHERSONG               (patton luke)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING FOR KEEPS 2 2 1nk 1   11 1¾ (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 115 3.00 28% 2.60 1.40 W
PROSECUTOR 4 5 52 4   21 2¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 4.00 4.60  
LITTLE TOY GUNS 1 6 64 6   43 3 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 4.50 7% 13.40 5.70 S
FLAG RAISER 3 7 79 710¼   55 45 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
SURROUNDER 6 3 31 3   3 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 14.10  
BLAKE'S RYEN 5 4 2nk 2   6 618¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
STARS N SPACE 7 1 4 56   713½ 720¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 10.60  
 
TDN-3   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA DUDE 4 4 3 22   2 1 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.70 W
LOCKDOWN LOVER 2 3 11 12   1 2 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 1.80 21% 3.80 1.40 P
TWELVE MINUS ONE 3 2 21 32   3 3 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 2.30  
EL BANDIDO 5 1 5 48   4 4 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 31% 2.20 8.70  
EAST BY WEST 1 5 45 5   510 512 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 21.90  
SCR  ALTAIR               (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCR  ALWAYS SPRING               (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00    
 
TDN-4   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POETIC VERSE 2 4 11 2nk   1½ 1 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 1.60 10% 9.20 1.40 W
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 5 32 1nk   2½ 2 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30 P
PASSIONFORTREASURE 1 6 6 5   3½ 3 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 6.40  
MALICED 6 1 42 3.2   4 4 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 4.00 4.70  
COMMAND STRIKE 4 2 21 4¼   52 5 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 1.80 66% 0.50 1.40  
SIERRA DIAMOND 5 3 5 6   6 613½ (casalinova )BRICENO M 114 15.00 39.20  
 
TDN-5   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFLEE TRICKY 7 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 16 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 6% 14.60 5.50 W
COUNTRY STYLE 4 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 26 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 13.70  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 1 5 3 4   3 310 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 29% 2.50 2.50 S
DOMINUS O'S ME 3 3 6 6   6 410½ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 3.00 11% 7.90 4.30  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 7 5 5   4 511½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 34.20  
DANCE DRAMA 6 6 43 34   5 615¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 31% 2.30 1.00  
OH EYE SEE 5 4 79 710¼   710¼ 717 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00 65.40  
 
TDN-6   07/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:13     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TRAPPE 4 6 21 12 1 1 1¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 1.40  
DIAMONDS N DEW 6 1 32 32 2 2 2¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 2.00 41% 1.40 2.00 P
HIGH FIRE 1 4 66 6 6 58 34 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 7.30  
SHE'S CRAFTY 3 7 77 7 710 48 4 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 12.00 7% 14.10 20.00  
QUARANTINA 7 2 11 4 3 3 5 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 46.90  
BALLROOM BLITZ 5 3 4 5 58 6 610¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
ANNMARIA 2 5 54 22 4 7 711 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20 6.10  
 
TDN-7   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ME UP BABY 3 2 14 1   17 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 23% 3.30 3.70 W
SQUID 5 4 57 410   37 2 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.00 17% 4.70 1.80 P
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 2 5 46 3   4 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 121 2.00 32% 2.10 1.10 S
LOFTHOUSE 4 1 24 2   27 410½ (cline c)RIVERA R 119 6.00 8.10  
PROSPECTIVE FORUM 6 3 35 511½   511¾ 514½ (atala jose)DIAZ I 121 8.00 12.40  
CEVICHE 1 6 611½ 617   616¼ 615 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00 62.00  
SCR  AWESOMELY SHY               (west m)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROJAN TALE 7 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 1hd (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 117 3.00 36% 1.70 2.40 W
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 6 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2hd (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 1.20  
AMERICAN PRINCE 4 3 3½ 34   3 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 34% 1.90 3.00 S
DOCTOR WU 1 5 6 610   4 4 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
SUDDEN SHIFT 2 7 54 47   510 511 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 3.50 9.20  
CREDIT RIVER 3 6 7 714   713 611¼ (castro a)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.60  
CHOCO ROCO 5 4 4 59   610½ 715¼ (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 56.30  
SCR  MR. BOUMA               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.