Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/2/1/5)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(7/6/3)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(4/2/3)-(6/1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(6/2/3/5)-(2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(2/4/6)-(8/5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE Jul05 Jun10 Jan16 Dec27 Dec13 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  GO RAY Jun19 Jun05       (pattah sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  MOST ADORABLE Jul05 May31 May11     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SHESANOTHERSONG Jul13 Jul03 Jun19 May31 Sep29 (patton luke)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
5  HAUGHTY PRAISE Jul13 Aug19 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jul09 Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
7  RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT Jul03 Jun10 Jun05 Aug18 Jul05 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE TOY GUNS Jul04 Feb16 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 4.50 7% 13.40    
2  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Jul04 Jun05 Apr27 Apr12 Oct11 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  FLAG RAISER Jul04 Jun14 Apr27 Mar29 Mar06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  PROSECUTOR Jul04 Jun14 Feb14     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 4.00    
5  BLAKE'S RYEN Jul05         (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SURROUNDER Oct13 Sep12 Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
7  STARS N SPACE Jul04 Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 Aug13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALTAIR Jul12 Jun27 Jun02 Feb26 Feb05 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
2  EAST BY WEST May23 Feb04 Jan12 Dec09   (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
3  LOCKDOWN LOVER Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 Aug03 Jul13 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
4  TWELVE MINUS ONE Jul10 Jun19 May25 May11 Apr25 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
SCR  ALWAYS SPRING Jul10 Jun20 May29 May11 Nov09 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00    
6  NAPA DUDE Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 May06 Apr05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  EL BANDIDO Jul12 Jun27       (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-4   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSIONFORTREASURE Jul12 Jun07 May15 Apr27 Apr07 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00    
2  POETIC VERSE Jul05 May10 Apr27 Nov02 Oct03 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 1.60 10% 9.20    
3  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Jun26 Jun07 May15 Apr27 Feb28 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COMMAND STRIKE Jun26 Jun07 May15 Sep07 Aug06 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 1.80 66% 0.50    
5  SIERRA DIAMOND Jul03 May30 Apr24 Mar02 Feb02 (casalinov)BRICENO M 114 15.00    
6  MALICED Jun24 Jun07 May09 Apr13 Mar27 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
 
TDN-5   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul05 Jun20 May11 Apr24 Sep29 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Jul06 Jun01 May15     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
3  DOMINUS O'S ME Jul06 Jun01 May15 Apr25 Nov15 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 3.00 11% 7.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
4  COUNTRY STYLE Jul06 Jun20 Jun01     (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
5  OH EYE SEE Jul12 Jun19 May15 Apr25 Mar30 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
6  DANCE DRAMA Jun01         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by KEEN ICE out of JOSSY DO IT by PROUD ACCOLADE)
7  OFFLEE TRICKY         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 6% 14.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
 
TDN-6   07/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FIRE Jul03 Jun12 Sep23 Aug13 Jul21 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50    
2  ANNMARIA Jul03 Jun13 May22 Jan09 Dec19 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  SHE'S CRAFTY Jul03 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 12.00 7% 14.10    
4  RIGHT TRAPPE Jul03 Jun19 May31 May09 Mar25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
5  BALLROOM BLITZ Jun07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 Nov15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIAMONDS N DEW Jun15 May25 May10 Apr27 Apr15 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
7  QUARANTINA Jun21 Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEVICHE May30 May09 Mar15 Feb02 Jan04 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
2  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jul11 Jun27 May30 May11 Apr25 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  AWESOMELY SHY May04 Mar15 Feb14 Jan09 Dec08 (west m)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
4  WINE ME UP BABY Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 Apr11 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  LOFTHOUSE Jun09 Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 Dec09 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
6  SQUID Jun27 Jun02 May13 Apr10 Mar16 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.00 17% 4.70    
7  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Jun19 May30 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 (atala jose)DIAZ I 121 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR WU Jul01 Jun15 May14 Apr11 Mar27 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. BOUMA Jun21 May30 May09 Apr13 Mar09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50    
3  SUDDEN SHIFT May24 May08 Apr18 Nov23 Nov03 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 3.50    
4  CREDIT RIVER Jul10 May10 Apr15 Mar22 Feb08 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMERICAN PRINCE May20 May05 Apr09 Feb25 Jan05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 34% 1.90    
6  CHOCO ROCO Jun25 Jun13 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00    
7  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jun24 May29 Apr15 Mar23 Feb17 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50    
8  TROJAN TALE Jun24 Jun02 May05 Feb16 Nov30 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 117 3.00 36% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.