Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
TDN-4   Win (4/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $26.00  
TDN-5   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-6   Win (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
TDN-7   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20  
TDN-8   Win (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MITESSE 5 1 11½ 1½   1½ 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 42% 1.40 0.20 W
4  TIME FOR CUPID 4 4 31½ 2½   2½ 2½ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 37% 1.70 4.50 P
2  MAY BEAU 2 5 53 42½   32½ 32¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00 18.50  
1  O K BABY 1 3 21½ 31½   47½ 411¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
3  DREAM TO WIN 3 6 66½ 57½   511½ 511¼ (brown glenroy)HALDAR J 119 3.50 12.50  
6  EASTER PRIDE 6 2 42½ 68   615½ 621 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 8.00 16.90  
 
TDN-2   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SILENCING 4 1 31½ 31½   2½ 1hd (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 1.30  
6  LEWD 5 2 41¾ 41¾   3½ 2hd (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 2.20  
2  FIONA 2 5 52¾ 53¾   52 3½ (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 22% 3.60 8.20 S
3  ROSE KNOWS 3 4 1nk 11½   1½ 41½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.00  
1  SKY 1 3 2nk 21½   41 55 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 18.70  
SCR  TRULY A DREAM               (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-3   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TO WIN 4 6 67½ 45½ 42 21 1nk (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
5  TANTRUM 5 4 44½ 32½ 31½ 31 2nk (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 5.30  
2  MOBIL SOLUTION 2 2 55 55½ 53½ 43 37¼ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 6.00 19.70  
1  ALTISSIMO 1 3 2nk 21½ 21½ 54½ 419¼ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 28% 2.60 6.90  
3  HOPPY GILMORE 3 5 33½ 67½ 69½ 69½ 534½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 16.20  
6  MORESTRIDE 6 1 1nk 11½ 11½ 11 6100 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 41% 1.40 0.40  
SCR  I WANNA WIN               (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NOSEY POWER 4 6 75½ 54   23 12 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 12.00  
4  COLOR BEARER 3 4 1nk 1½   13 22 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 4.00 22% 3.60 2.30 P
1  RAISE YOU ONE 1 5 53½ 64¼   34 35 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 118 15.00 58.10  
7  MY TICKET 6 8 87 86¾   76 46½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 22% 3.60 2.20  
6  MY HOMBRE 5 2 2nk 2½   44 59¼ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 2.00  
9  MARQUITOS M 8 1 42½ 41   54½ 610½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 6% 14.80 17.90  
3  WHY KENNY WHY 2 7 65 75¼   65½ 712 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 30.40  
8  MOMENT IN THE DARK 7 3 3½ 3½   87½ 819¾ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 19% 4.20 8.70  
SCR  AGNELLO CITY               (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SECRET FIX 2 2 11 11 12 16½ 19¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.90 W
4  RED HOT LASS 3 3 43½ 33 22 26½ 29¼ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 28% 2.50 1.40 P
6  MARKET SUCCESS 5 4 57½ 56 45 39 310¼ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 5.20  
2  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 1 5 33 43½ 56½ 412½ 415¾ (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
5  PURITY 4 1 21 21 35 515 5100 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 8.10  
SCR  DUNVEGAN DOLL               (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  K P SILVER BULLET 2 7 76¼ 42½   1nk 1½ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 24% 3.20 3.00 W
7  PAT DADDY 7 1 65¼ 52¾   5½ 2½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 24% 3.10 1.20 P
1  TUFF ATTACK 1 6 42¾ 31   3.2 34 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 21.70  
4  DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 5 2nk 2nk   4¼ 46 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 6% 14.70 7.60  
3  UNCAPTURED PULSE 3 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 57¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 20% 4.10 5.00  
5  EXONERATED PREZ 5 3 53¾ 73¼   64½ 610¼ (genovese )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 7.90  
6  VALIANT THOR 6 2 3.2 62¾   76½ 717½ (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 8.80  
 
TDN-7   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEER CHASER 5 1 1nk 1½ 12½ 15 18¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 2.10  
6  STRIKE APPEAL 6 2 51¼ 2½ 22½ 25 28¾ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 48% 1.10 5.00 P
1  COMPLY (NZ) 1 3 2nk 52¼ 57½ 48½ 39¾ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 9% 9.90 3.80 S
4  SO DIALED IN 4 6 41¼ 32 33½ 37 410½ (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 16% 5.40 1.50  
2  SURF AND TURF 2 5 63¼ 65¾ 610½ 611 513 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 10.00 40.20  
3  FRANCO (MEX) 3 4 3.2 42 47½ 59 614¾ (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 8.10  
 
TDN-8   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:134     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROWDY DAISY 6 3 1½ 1½ 11 15 14¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.00 W
4  LADY GIULIANA 2 1 42 35 33½ 36 24¾ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 5.00 3.00  
7  MANGORITA 5 5 52¼ 47 45½ 46 35½ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 4.50 21% 3.70 6.20 S
9  BELLAVALENCIA 7 6 2½ 2½ 21 25 46¾ (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 3.10  
6  WELLOILEDCAT 4 2 68¼ 614½ 515½ 512 517 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 46.30  
3  TIPARILLO 1 7 715¼ 723½ 722½ 628 642 (buck)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7% 12.80 24.50  
5  WHAT KNOT 3 4 32 59½ 616½ 7100 7100 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 20.00 11% 8.50 19.80  
SCR  CONDUTTORE               (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE               (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.