The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4-2 3 0 $7.10 -6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-6 2 0 $5.70 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 5-6-2 3 0 $18.20 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-5 2 0 $4.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 0 $1.20 -6.00
TDN-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $51.10 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5-2 3 0 $380.30 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(2/3)-(1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 5-5-4 3 0 $41.70 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(2/3)-(1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 5-4-4 3 0 $14.90 -18.00
TDN-4   Win (4/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $26.00 -8.00
    Exacta (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $62.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-1 3 0 $945.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/3)-(1/4/6)-(4/7/8/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-5 3 0 $512.60 -24.00
TDN-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4 2 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4-6 3 0 $6.90 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(4/7/8/9)-(2/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-5-3 3 0 $380.40 -36.00
TDN-6   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 1 $11.00 $11.00 -1.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-7-1 3 0 $147.20 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/7/8/9)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 5-3-2 3 0 $271.30 -48.00
TDN-7   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6 2 0 $22.90 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6-1 3 0 $66.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-2-5 3 0 $40.40 -36.00
TDN-8   Win (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-4 2 0 $6.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-4-7 3 0 $17.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-8 2 0 $9.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4/7)-(1/4/6)-(3/5/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-5-8 3 0 $38.00 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:231 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITESSE 5 1 1 1½   1½ 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 42% 1.40 0.20 W
TIME FOR CUPID 4 4 3 2½   2½ 2½ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 37% 1.70 4.50 P
MAY BEAU 2 5 53 4   33(morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00 18.50  
O K BABY 1 3 2 3   4411¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
DREAM TO WIN 3 6 6 5   511½ 511¼ (brown glenroy)HALDAR J 119 3.50 12.50  
EASTER PRIDE 6 2 4 68   615½ 621 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 8.00 16.90  
 
TDN-2   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:224 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCING 4 1 3 3   2½ 1hd (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 1.30  
LEWD 5 2 4 4   3½ 2hd (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 2.20  
FIONA 2 5 5 5   52 3½ (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 22% 3.60 8.20 S
ROSE KNOWS 3 4 1nk 1   1½ 4(skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.00  
SKY 1 3 2nk 2   41 55 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 18.70  
SCR  TRULY A DREAM               (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-3   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:234 :472 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO WIN 4 6 6 4 42 21 1nk (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
TANTRUM 5 4 4 3 3 31 2nk (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 5.30  
MOBIL SOLUTION 2 2 55 5 5 43 3(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 6.00 19.70  
ALTISSIMO 1 3 2nk 2 2 5419¼ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 28% 2.60 6.90  
HOPPY GILMORE 3 5 3 6 6 6534½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 16.20  
MORESTRIDE 6 1 1nk 1 1 11 6100 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 41% 1.40 0.40  
SCR  I WANNA WIN               (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:223 :47 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSEY POWER 4 6 7 54   23 12 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 12.00  
COLOR BEARER 3 4 1nk 1½   13 22 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 4.00 22% 3.60 2.30 P
RAISE YOU ONE 1 5 5 6   34 35 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 118 15.00 58.10  
MY TICKET 6 8 87 8   76 4(cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 22% 3.60 2.20  
MY HOMBRE 5 2 2nk 2½   44 5(treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 2.00  
MARQUITOS M 8 1 4 41   5610½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 6% 14.80 17.90  
WHY KENNY WHY 2 7 65 7   6712 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 30.40  
MOMENT IN THE DARK 7 3 3½ 3½   8819¾ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 19% 4.20 8.70  
SCR  AGNELLO CITY               (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
:224 :46 1:111     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET FIX 2 2 11 11 12 11(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.90 W
RED HOT LASS 3 3 4 33 22 22(skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 28% 2.50 1.40 P
MARKET SUCCESS 5 4 5 56 45 39 310¼ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 5.20  
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 1 5 33 4 5 412½ 415¾ (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
PURITY 4 1 21 21 35 515 5100 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 8.10  
SCR  DUNVEGAN DOLL               (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:221 :454 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET 2 7 7 4   1nk 1½ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 24% 3.20 3.00 W
PAT DADDY 7 1 6 5   5½ 2½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 24% 3.10 1.20 P
TUFF ATTACK 1 6 4 31   3.2 34 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 21.70  
DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 5 2nk 2nk   4¼ 46 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 6% 14.70 7.60  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 3 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 5(urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 20% 4.10 5.00  
EXONERATED PREZ 5 3 5 7   6610¼ (genovese )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 7.90  
VALIANT THOR 6 2 3.2 6   7717½ (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 8.80  
 
TDN-7   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:243 :483 1:13     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER 5 1 1nk 1½ 1 15 1(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 2.10  
STRIKE APPEAL 6 2 5 2½ 2 25 2(londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 48% 1.10 5.00 P
COMPLY 1 3 2nk 5 5 43(rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 9% 9.90 3.80 S
SO DIALED IN 4 6 4 32 3 37 410½ (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 16% 5.40 1.50  
SURF AND TURF 2 5 6 6 610½ 611 513 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 10.00 40.20  
FRANCO 3 4 3.2 42 4 59 614¾ (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 8.10  
 
TDN-8   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:243 :482 1:134     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY DAISY 6 3 1½ 1½ 11 15 1(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.00 W
LADY GIULIANA 2 1 42 35 3 36 2(skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 5.00 3.00  
MANGORITA 5 5 5 47 4 46 3(diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 4.50 21% 3.70 6.20 S
BELLAVALENCIA 7 6 2½ 2½ 21 25 4(fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 3.10  
WELLOILEDCAT 4 2 6 614½ 515½ 512 517 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 46.30  
TIPARILLO 1 7 715¼ 723½ 722½ 628 642 (buck)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7% 12.80 24.50  
WHAT KNOT 3 4 32 5 616½ 7100 7100 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 20.00 11% 8.50 19.80  
SCR  CONDUTTORE               (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE               (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.