Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
TDN-2   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
TDN-4   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.80  
TDN-5   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $24.80  
TDN-7   Win (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TDN-8   Win (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING SENORITA 6 3 4 2½   1nk 1 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 10% 9.00 2.20 W
SHEZA POP STAR 3 5 2 32   3 2 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.60 P
RONNI'S DAY 4 2 1 1½   2nk 3 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 15.20  
BAREFOOT BEACH 7 1 3 53   45 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 8% 11.30 8.40  
CAN I GO TOO 1 7 7 65   5 53 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 1.40  
HIGH CUPPER 2 6 6 75   7 6 (brown glenroy)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.50 8% 12.20 9.50  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 5 4 5 4   66 7 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 30.30  
 
TDN-2   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEOMBRUNO 4 1 1 12 1 1 16 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 59% 0.70 0.40 W
RIDING IN THE WIND 5 5 58 57 36 2 26 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00 5.60  
DERBYS MONEYMAKER 2 3 32 33 5 4 313 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 16.80  
PERCENTAGE 3 4 45 45 4 512½ 416¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
FORT RAMSEY 6 2 2 22 2 3 522 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 19% 4.20 4.00  
FARM STRONG 1 6 6 611 619½ 626½ 640 (buhrow d)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00 19.50  
 
TDN-3   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKSU 1 1 21 2½   11 1½ (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 118 5.00 6% 16.10 3.00 W
FEELING EASY 3 3 31 3   21 2½ (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 1.60 56% 0.80 0.70 P
MAYBETHEONE 4 2 11 1½   3 3 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 6% 16.10 5.20 S
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 5 5 5 57   5 412¼ (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 3.00 4.90  
OFFICE CHATTER 2 4 4 4   4 516½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00 11.50  
SCR  MIZ KEETA               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU CLASSIC 6 1 21 2nk   2nk 11 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 2.00 3.40  
ON HIS TOES 3 3 31 31   32 21 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 5.70 P
SMUDGE THE CAT 4 2 11 1nk   1nk 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 S
THE EQUINEST 2 4 4 4   4 4 (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 6.40  
ST. LUKES 5 6 6 52   5 5 (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 6% 14.60 3.90  
STRONG AGAIN 1 5 5 6   6 6 (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 9.60  
 
TDN-5   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF WAR 5 6 3 31 1nk 12 1½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 7.30  
SHELL FIRE 2 3 4 5 3 22 2½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 1.50  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 1 2 11 11 2nk 32 3 (londono odi)BRICENO M 114 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
VALHALLA AIR BASE 3 1 21 21 5 4 4 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 7.60  
ALGORIX 6 4 65 6 6 610½ 513½ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 19% 4.20 3.20  
SNAP HOOK 4 5 5 4 4 5 615½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 4.50 46% 1.20 2.60  
 
TDN-6   07/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:122 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL DRAGOON 2 4 612½ 68 6 1nk 1 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 11.40  
LATIN SPICE 3 1 2½ 1nk 2nk 4¼ 2 (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 11% 7.80 4.10 P
JOHN'S ROCK 5 3 43 4 4 5 3 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 116 3.50 41% 1.40 1.30 S
TIMESATAPPIN 6 6 5 52 5 3.2 42 (loudin-smith l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 10.00 36.40  
DREAM KEEPER 1 2 1½ 3½ 1nk 2nk 5 (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.50 3.90  
MANSFIELD TIGER 4 5 31 2nk 3.2 6 6 (eggleston t)BERMUDEZ E 119 2.00 25% 2.90 2.40  
 
TDN-7   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTITUDE 7 2 1nk 11   1 12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.30 2.70 W
QUEENIE ROSE 2 8 76 4   3 22 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 10.00 20.10  
MAP TO MY HEART 8 4 2nk 21   2 33 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 2.70  
SERGER 4 3 4 5   4 4 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 115 3.50 32% 2.10 1.30  
MARGARITA CINCO 1 6 3½ 35   5 5 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 41.00  
SAVESOMEFORME 3 7 8 810¾   811¼ 6 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 12.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 6 1 5 7   7 7 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00 22% 3.40 9.20  
HERE COMES DOLLY 5 5 6 6   6 89 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 117 12.00 16.70  
 
TDN-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORFANO 9 3 43 3½   1 13 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.30 W
10  SYNERGISTIC 10 2 32 2½   2 23 (lopez jacinto)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 40.90  
KNOCK WOOD 6 6 7 52   3 3 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 34% 2.00 7.20 S
SPECIALIZED 2 11 8 7   4 4 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50 2.00  
HARSH TRUTH 7 8 1111¾ 1111¼   712½ 512½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 29.40  
SHOWTIME BOY 4 4 21 41   610 615¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 25.30  
EL SORDO 8 7 10 1011   1015½ 718¼ (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
ROUGE TU RICHES 1 10 9 9   914½ 819½ (faulkner rodney)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00 77.60  
FIERCELY BRAVE 3 9 54 6   813 920¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 20.00 98.80  
11  BAD BOY BOOGIE 11 1 11 1½   59 1021¾ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 5.20  
MOR CRAFTY 5 5 64 8   1119½ 1129¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.