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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown

Monday - July 24, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

TDN-3

WIN

(3/1/5)

$2.00

$6.00

$8.00

$2.00

33%

EXA

(3/1/5)-(3/1/5)

$1.00

$6.00

1-3

$7.50

$1.50

25%

TRI

(3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5)

$1.00

$6.00

1-3-5

$20.50

$14.50

242%

Simulator Race results

TDN-1

07/24/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($7.5K)

Purse ($18.3K)

3UP

M/F

PT-12:50

See original race card.

:23¹

:47³

1:00³

1:07¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

APPEALING SENORITA

4^1¾

2^½

1^nk

1^1¼

(gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119

3.00

10%

9.00

2.20

SHEZA POP STAR

2^1½

3²

3^3½

2^1¼

(radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119

3.50

45%

1.20

3.60

RONNI'S DAY

1^1½

1^½

2^nk

3^1¾

(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119

8.00

15.20

BAREFOOT BEACH

3^1½

5³

4⁵

4^1¾

(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119

6.00

11.30

8.40

CAN I GO TOO

7^5¼

6⁵

5^5½

5³

(murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123

2.50

1.40

HIGH CUPPER

6^5¼

7⁵

7^6¼

6^6¼

(brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 119

4.50

12.20

9.50

PROPER ETIQUETTE

5^3¼

4^2½

6⁶

7^8½

(poole m)BRACHO A 119

12.00

30.30

TDN-2

07/24/2023

5280ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($11.8K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 1:20

See original race card.

:24

:48

1:13¹

1:39⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

LEOMBRUNO

1^1½

1²

1^4½

1^5½

1⁶

(shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123

1.80

59%

0.70

0.40

RIDING IN THE WIND

5⁸

5⁷

3⁶

2^5½

2⁶

(jackson r)RIVERA R 123

2.00

5.60

DERBYS MONEYMAKER

3²

3³

5^7½

4^9½

3¹³

(shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123

8.00

16.80

PERCENTAGE

4⁵

4^7½

5^12½

4^16¼

(sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123

5.00

19.00

9.40

FORT RAMSEY

2^1½

2²

2^4½

3^9½

5²²

(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123

4.00

19%

4.20

4.00

FARM STRONG

6^8½

6¹¹

6^19½

6^26½

6⁴⁰

(buhrow d)JIMENEZ S 123

15.00

19.50

TDN-3

07/24/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC5

FAST

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($33.9K)

PT- 1:50

See original race card.

:23²

:48¹

1:01¹

1:08

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

NAKSU

2¹

2^½

1¹

1^½

(bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 118

5.00

16.10

3.00

(by DRILL out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)

FEELING EASY

3¹

3^1½

2¹

2^½

(hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113

1.60

56%

0.80

0.70

(by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)

MAYBETHEONE

1¹

1^½

3^1½

3^8½

(lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118

8.00

16.10

5.20

(by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)

NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK

5^6½

5⁷

5^7½

4^12¼

(genovese r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118

3.00

4.90

(by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)

OFFICE CHATTER

4^2½

4^3½

4^7½

5^16½

(hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118

15.00

11.50

(by NATIONAL FLAG out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))

SCR

MIZ KEETA

(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118

2.50

(by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)

TDN-4

07/24/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($12.2K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 2:20

See original race card.

:23²

:47¹

:59¹

1:05³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

MALIBU CLASSIC

2¹

2^nk

1¹

(gorham m)PEREZ E 119

2.00

3.40

ON HIS TOES

3¹

3²

2¹

(londono odin)HALDAR J 119

3.50

20%

4.00

5.70

SMUDGE THE CAT

1¹

1^nk

3^1½

(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119

2.50

48%

1.10

1.30

THE EQUINEST

4^1¼

4^1½

4^2¼

4^3¼

(bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 123

6.00

6.40

ST. LUKES

6^2¼

5²

5^5¾

5^3½

(reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119

8.00

14.60

3.90

STRONG AGAIN

5^1¼

6^2¼

6^5¾

6^6¾

(mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119

5.00

9.60

TDN-5

07/24/2023

5280ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($12.6K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 2:50

See original race card.

:24¹

:48²

1:13³

1:39²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

MASTER OF WAR

3^1½

3¹

1^nk

1²

1^½

(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121

2.50

7.30

SHELL FIRE

4^2½

5^1¼

3^1½

2²

2^½

(bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123

2.00

1.50

NOBLE BEHAVIOR

1¹

2^nk

3²

3^5¾

(londono o)BRICENO M 114

10.00

19.00

9.40

VALHALLA AIR BASE

2¹

5^2¾

4^5½

4^9¾

(zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119

6.00

7.60

ALGORIX

6⁵

6^4¾

6^6¼

6^10½

5^13½

(vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123

3.00

19%

4.20

3.20

SNAP HOOK

5^2½

4^1¼

4^2½

5^9½

6^15½

(canegata james)FELICIANO R 121

4.50

46%

1.20

2.60

TDN-6

07/24/2023

5610ft

DIRT

RC10

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($32.5K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 3:20

See original race card.

:23³

:47⁴

1:12²

1:38⁴

1:45²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

ROYAL DRAGOON

6^12½

6⁸

6^5¾

1^nk

1^1¼

(urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119

6.00

11.40

LATIN SPICE

2^½

1^nk

2^nk

4^¼

2^1¼

(vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123

4.50

11%

7.80

4.10

JOHN'S ROCK

4³

4^1½

4^1¾

5^1¼

3^1¼

(vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 116

3.50

41%

1.40

1.30

TIMESATAPPIN

5^4½

5²

5^2¾

3^.2

4²

(loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115

10.00

36.40

DREAM KEEPER

1^½

3^½

1^nk

2^nk

5^2¾

(cowans willia)BRACHO A 119

2.50

3.90

MANSFIELD TIGER

3¹

2^nk

3^.2

6^2¼

6^7¼

(eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119

2.00

25%

2.90

2.40

TDN-7

07/24/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC10

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($35.8K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 3:50

See original race card.

:22⁴

:46¹

:59

1:12³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

EXACTITUDE

1^nk

1¹

1^4½

1²

(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119

2.00

23%

3.30

2.70

QUEENIE ROSE

7⁶

4^6½

3^6½

2²

(cline robert)ROSARIO L 119

10.00

20.10

MAP TO MY HEART

2^nk

2¹

2^4½

3³

(wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123

2.50

2.70

SERGER

4^3½

5^6½

4^7½

4^3½

(zielinski richar)RIVERA R 115

3.50

32%

2.10

1.30

MARGARITA CINCO

3^½

3⁵

5^7½

5^5¾

(ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119

15.00

41.00

SAVESOMEFORME

8^9½

8^10¾

8^11¼

6^6¾

(gorham m)PEREZ E 115

12.00

19.00

25.40

SEEYOUINMOTOWN

5^4½

7^7¼

7^9¾

7^8½

(rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115

6.00

22%

3.40

9.20

HERE COMES DOLLY

6^5½

6^6¾

6^9½

8⁹

(zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 117

12.00

16.70

TDN-8

07/24/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC5

FAST

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($33.9K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 4:20

See original race card.

:22³

:46⁴

:59²

1:12²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

ORFANO

4³

3^½

1^1½

1³

(waltz brian)BRACHO A 119

3.00

41%

1.40

1.30

(by BODEMEISTER out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)

SYNERGISTIC

3²

2^½

2^1½

2³

(lopez jacin)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119

12.00

40.90

(by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)

KNOCK WOOD

7^4¼

5²

3^3½

3^4¼

(tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123

3.50

34%

2.00

7.20

(by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)

SPECIALIZED

8^6¾

7^7½

4^7½

4^6¼

(gorham m)PEREZ E 119

4.50

★

2.00

(by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)

HARSH TRUTH

11^11¾

11^11¼

7^12½

5^12½

(skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119

12.00

29.40

(by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)

SHOWTIME BOY

2¹

4¹

6¹⁰

6^15¾

(zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119

8.00

25.30

(by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)

EL SORDO

10^7¼

10¹¹

10^15½

7^18¼

(romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119

15.00

19.00

21.70

(by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)

ROUGE TU RICHES

9^7¼

9^9½

9^14½

8^19½

(faulkner rodn)GUERERE ANGEL 119

20.00

77.60

(by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))

FIERCELY BRAVE

5⁴

6^5½

8¹³

9^20¾

(tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123

20.00

98.80

(by AIKENITE out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)

BAD BOY BOOGIE

1¹

1^½

5⁹

10^21¾

(huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119

6.00

5.20

(by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)

MOR CRAFTY

6⁴

8^8½

11^19½

11^29¾

(guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119

10.00

19.00

41.50

(by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.