The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Thistledown
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-3 2 1 $11.10 $11.10 -0.90
    Trifecta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-3-4 3 0 $105.30 -24.00
TDN-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $4.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5-2 3 0 $15.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4 2 1 $4.30 $4.30 -7.70
TDN-3   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3-5 3 1 $20.50 $20.50 14.50
    Pick Three (2/3/6/7)-(3/4/6)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 6-4-1 3 1 $29.60 $29.60 -6.40
TDN-4   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 0 $35.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3-4 3 0 $94.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(1/3/5)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 4-1-6 3 0 $56.90 -27.00
TDN-5   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2 2 0 $19.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2-1 3 0 $108.20 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(3/4/5)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-6-5 3 0 $137.10 -27.00
TDN-6   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $24.80 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3 2 0 $52.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3-5 3 0 $89.10 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5)-(1/4/6)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 6-5-2 3 0 $1270.80 -27.00
TDN-7   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
    Exacta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $42.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-8 3 0 $343.10 -24.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 5-2-7 3 0 $332.70 -36.00
TDN-8   Win (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (5/6/8/9)-(2/5/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 9-10 2 0 $34.40 -16.00
    Trifecta (5/6/8/9)-(2/5/6/8/9)-(2/5/6/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 9-10-6 3 0 $164.40 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6/7)-(5/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 7-9 2 1 $9.10 $9.10 -6.90
    Pick Three (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/7)-(5/6/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-7-9 3 0 $65.50 -48.00
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:231 :473 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APPEALING SENORITA 6 3 41¾ 2½   1nk 11¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 10% 9.00 2.20 W
3  SHEZA POP STAR 3 5 21½ 32   33½ 21¼ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.60 P
4  RONNI'S DAY 4 2 11½ 1½   2nk 31¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 15.20  
7  BAREFOOT BEACH 7 1 31½ 53   45 41¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 8% 11.30 8.40  
1  CAN I GO TOO 1 7 75¼ 65   55½ 53 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 1.40  
2  HIGH CUPPER 2 6 65¼ 75   76¼ 66¼ (brown glenroy)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.50 8% 12.20 9.50  
5  PROPER ETIQUETTE 5 4 53¼ 42½   66 78½ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 30.30  
 
TDN-2   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:24 :48 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEOMBRUNO 4 1 11½ 12 14½ 15½ 16 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 59% 0.70 0.40 W
5  RIDING IN THE WIND 5 5 58 57 36 25½ 26 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00 5.60  
2  DERBYS MONEYMAKER 2 3 32 33 57½ 49½ 313 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 16.80  
3  PERCENTAGE 3 4 45 45 47½ 512½ 416¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
6  FORT RAMSEY 6 2 21½ 22 24½ 39½ 522 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 19% 4.20 4.00  
1  FARM STRONG 1 6 68½ 611 619½ 626½ 640 (buhrow d)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00 19.50  
 
TDN-3   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
:232 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKSU 1 1 21 2½   11 1½ (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 118 5.00 6% 16.10 3.00 W
3  FEELING EASY 3 3 31 31½   21 2½ (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 1.60 56% 0.80 0.70 P
5  MAYBETHEONE 4 2 11 1½   31½ 38½ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 6% 16.10 5.20 S
6  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 5 5 56½ 57   57½ 412¼ (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 3.00 4.90  
2  OFFICE CHATTER 2 4 42½ 43½   47½ 516½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00 11.50  
SCR  MIZ KEETA               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:232 :471 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MALIBU CLASSIC 6 1 21 2nk   2nk 11 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 2.00 3.40  
3  ON HIS TOES 3 3 31 31   32 21 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 5.70 P
4  SMUDGE THE CAT 4 2 11 1nk   1nk 31½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 S
2  THE EQUINEST 2 4 41¼ 41½   42¼ 43¼ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 6.40  
5  ST. LUKES 5 6 62¼ 52   55¾ 53½ (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 6% 14.60 3.90  
1  STRONG AGAIN 1 5 51¼ 62¼   65¾ 66¾ (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 9.60  
 
TDN-5   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:241 :482 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MASTER OF WAR 5 6 31½ 31 1nk 12 1½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 7.30  
2  SHELL FIRE 2 3 42½ 51¼ 31½ 22 2½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 1.50  
1  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 1 2 11 11 2nk 32 35¾ (londono odi)BRICENO M 114 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
3  VALHALLA AIR BASE 3 1 21 21 52¾ 45½ 49¾ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 7.60  
6  ALGORIX 6 4 65 64¾ 66¼ 610½ 513½ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 19% 4.20 3.20  
4  SNAP HOOK 4 5 52½ 41¼ 42½ 59½ 615½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 4.50 46% 1.20 2.60  
 
TDN-6   07/24/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:233 :474 1:122 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROYAL DRAGOON 2 4 612½ 68 65¾ 1nk 11¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 11.40  
3  LATIN SPICE 3 1 2½ 1nk 2nk 4¼ 21¼ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 11% 7.80 4.10 P
5  JOHN'S ROCK 5 3 43 41½ 41¾ 51¼ 31¼ (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 116 3.50 41% 1.40 1.30 S
6  TIMESATAPPIN 6 6 54½ 52 52¾ 3.2 42 (loudin-smith l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 10.00 36.40  
1  DREAM KEEPER 1 2 1½ 3½ 1nk 2nk 52¾ (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.50 3.90  
4  MANSFIELD TIGER 4 5 31 2nk 3.2 62¼ 67¼ (eggleston t)BERMUDEZ E 119 2.00 25% 2.90 2.40  
 
TDN-7   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXACTITUDE 7 2 1nk 11   14½ 12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.30 2.70 W
2  QUEENIE ROSE 2 8 76 46½   36½ 22 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 10.00 20.10  
8  MAP TO MY HEART 8 4 2nk 21   24½ 33 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 2.70  
4  SERGER 4 3 43½ 56½   47½ 43½ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 115 3.50 32% 2.10 1.30  
1  MARGARITA CINCO 1 6 3½ 35   57½ 55¾ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 41.00  
3  SAVESOMEFORME 3 7 89½ 810¾   811¼ 66¾ (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 12.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
6  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 6 1 54½ 77¼   79¾ 78½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00 22% 3.40 9.20  
5  HERE COMES DOLLY 5 5 65½ 66¾   69½ 89 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 117 12.00 16.70  
 
TDN-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:223 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ORFANO 9 3 43 3½   11½ 13 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.30 W
10  SYNERGISTIC 10 2 32 2½   21½ 23 (lopez jacinto)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 40.90  
6  KNOCK WOOD 6 6 74¼ 52   33½ 34¼ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 34% 2.00 7.20 S
2  SPECIALIZED 2 11 86¾ 77½   47½ 46¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50 ★ 2.00  
7  HARSH TRUTH 7 8 1111¾ 1111¼   712½ 512½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 29.40  
4  SHOWTIME BOY 4 4 21 41   610 615¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 25.30  
8  EL SORDO 8 7 107¼ 1011   1015½ 718¼ (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
1  ROUGE TU RICHES 1 10 97¼ 99½   914½ 819½ (faulkner rodney)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00 77.60  
3  FIERCELY BRAVE 3 9 54 65½   813 920¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 20.00 98.80  
11  BAD BOY BOOGIE 11 1 11 1½   59 1021¾ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 5.20  
5  MOR CRAFTY 5 5 64 88½   1119½ 1129¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.