Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(4/6/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/1/5)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/6/1)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/4/3)-(4/7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(9/6/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(9/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/2/8/5)-(9/6/2/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN I GO TOO Jul04 Jun13 May25 May11 Apr27 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50    
2  HIGH CUPPER Jul05 Jun12 May29 Oct06 Sep21 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.50 8% 12.20    
3  SHEZA POP STAR Jul05 Jun12 Nov19 Oct25 Oct13 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  RONNI'S DAY Jun26 May17 May24 May03 Mar18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
5  PROPER ETIQUETTE Jul05 May24 May03 Mar16 Dec30 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Jul06 Jun24 Jun12 May10 Apr10 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
7  BAREFOOT BEACH Jul05 Jun12 May24 Jan18 Jan04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
TDN-2   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARM STRONG Jul04 Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 Sep21 (buhrow d)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
2  DERBYS MONEYMAKER Jun15 May17 Apr24 Dec12 Nov29 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00    
3  PERCENTAGE Jul10 Jun06 May17 Mar14 Feb09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEOMBRUNO Jul10 Jun15 May29 May03 Sep12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
5  RIDING IN THE WIND Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 2.00    
6  FORT RAMSEY Sep22 Aug23 May03 Apr18 Mar15 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-3   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKSU         (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 118 5.00 6% 16.10    
  (by DRILL out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
2  OFFICE CHATTER Jun24         (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  FEELING EASY Jun24         (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 1.60 56% 0.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
SCR  MIZ KEETA         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  MAYBETHEONE         (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
  (by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)
6  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK         (genovese r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 3.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
TDN-4   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG AGAIN Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 Apr07 Mar18 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
2  THE EQUINEST Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 May17 May08 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
3  ON HIS TOES Jun05 Apr27 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  SMUDGE THE CAT Jul03 Jun13 May20 Apr27 Apr03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  ST. LUKES Oct24 Oct11       (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  MALIBU CLASSIC Jun29 May10 Apr19 Nov03 Sep01 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 2.00    
 
TDN-5   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jul10 Jun13 May16 May01 Feb27 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHELL FIRE Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 May06 Nov28 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00    
3  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jun27 Jun01 May15 Apr27 Mar30 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
4  SNAP HOOK Jun06 Jan06 Dec09 Sep30 May20 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
5  MASTER OF WAR Jun24 Jun13 May24 May06 Apr04 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 2.50    
6  ALGORIX Jul03 Jun14 May16 Apr13 Mar14 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-6   07/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM KEEPER Jun04 Apr16 Mar23 Dec30 Nov04 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
2  ROYAL DRAGOON Jul05 May23 Apr15 Apr03 Mar09 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  LATIN SPICE Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 May29 May17 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  MANSFIELD TIGER Jun01 Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 Sep26 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Jul05 Jun15 May31 May16 May02 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 116 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Jul05 Jun24 Jun05 May17 Apr26 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 10.00    
 
TDN-7   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA CINCO Jul04 May24 May06 Apr24 Mar21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  QUEENIE ROSE Jul04 Jan23 Dec29 Dec08   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 10.00    
3  SAVESOMEFORME Jul04 Mar23 Feb23 Jan16 Dec30 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SERGER Jul04 May24 Nov30 Oct29 Sep15 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  HERE COMES DOLLY Jun24 Jun01 May15 Dec30 Dec15 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 117 12.00    
6  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 Dec30 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00 22% 3.40    
7  EXACTITUDE Jun24 May24 May03 Apr26 Mar29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
8  MAP TO MY HEART Jul06 May15 Apr21 Feb20 Jan29 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50    
 
TDN-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGE TU RICHES Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 (faulkner rodn)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  SPECIALIZED         (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
3  FIERCELY BRAVE May29 Aug01       (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 20.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
4  SHOWTIME BOY Jun29 May29 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
5  MOR CRAFTY         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  KNOCK WOOD Jun19 May29 May11     (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
7  HARSH TRUTH Jun19 May29 May11 Mar09 Feb21 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
8  EL SORDO Jun19         (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  ORFANO Dec19 Nov16 Oct10     (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
10  SYNERGISTIC May29 May11 Apr25     (lopez jacin)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
11  BAD BOY BOOGIE Feb21 Jan19 Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.