The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $19.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-1-5 3 0 $11.35 -3.00
FL-2   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 6.80
    Exacta (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-2 2 0 $33.00 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 6-2-5 3 0 $46.12 0.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-6 2 1 $54.00 $54.00 42.00
FL-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -0.30
    Exacta (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-3 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 2.40
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 1-3-5 3 0 $4.55 0.00
    Daily Double (6/3)-(3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6-1 2 1 $37.00 $37.00 29.00
FL-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.60 -4.00
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3-5 2 0 $20.80 -4.00
    Daily Double (3/1)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-3 2 0 $25.00 -8.00
    Daily Double (3/1)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-6 2 0 $3.30 -8.00
    Pick Three (6/3)-(3/1)-(1/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 6-1-3 3 0 $38.50 -4.00
    Pick Three (6/3)-(3/1)-(1/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 6-1-6 3 0 $6.70 -4.00
FL-5   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.10 -6.00
    Exacta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $66.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-3-6 3 0 $56.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 0 $29.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/1)-(1/5)-(1/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-3-5 3 0 $12.75 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/1)-(1/5)-(1/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-6-5 3 0 $2.40 -6.00
FL-6   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $28.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-3-6 3 0 $17.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/6/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-5 2 0 $21.00 -18.00
FL-7   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.40 -6.00
    Exacta (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $6.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-4-2 3 0 $9.55 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(7/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-1 2 0 $14.80 -18.00
FL-8   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.50 $2.50 -3.50
    Exacta (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $10.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-5-1 3 0 $7.25 -3.00
    Daily Double (7/4/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-2 2 0 $6.50 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(7/4/2)-(6/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 5-1-2 3 0 $4.85 -13.50

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:224 :464 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE MILTIE 2 2 3 42   21 11 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 W
IRON HORIZON 1 1 1 11   11 21 (d'alessandro r)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50 3.45  
NOAH'S DESTINY 5 3 2 3   32 3(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 22% 3.60 3.15 S
CONTROL ALT DELETE 4 6 44 21   44(englehart je)DE EMANUEL 120 4.50 2.30  
FOOT TRAFFIC 6 4 58 58   510½ 511 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
HONEST CHANCE 3 5 610 611   614½ 615 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 33.75  
 
FL-2   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
:251 :494 1:15 1:444   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTIN HOOFMAN 5 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 21(bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.00 30% 2.40 4.40 W
DARK MARKET 2 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 12(englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 3.50 0.85  
DANNY'S A COWBOY 4 5 56 5 412½ 320½ 313¼ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 11.90  
REGAL EMPIRE 1 1 44 4 312½ 420½ 413¼ (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00 4.00  
MICHAEL LEIS 3 4 31 3 512¾ 524½ 524¼ (sells rachel)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.25  
SCR  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE               (cook w)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 8.00    
 
FL-3   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:223 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE EMPRESS 1 5 5 53   11(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.50 13% 6.90 0.85 W
NO CHALK 3 2 4 2   45 2(iorio jr)COA J 122 2.00 49% 1.00 2.00 P
BEHIND THE COUCH 5 3 12 1   33(englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 122 3.50 5.80  
ISLE STORM 4 1 32 3   59 415½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 18.90  
DAREDEVIL BULL 2 4 22 42   25100 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 124 5.00 5.20  
 
FL-4   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
:251 :503 1:151 1:432   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINTAGEL 2 2 21 2nk 23 212 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00 2.80  
THREE CUPS FULL 4 3 11 1nk 13 122 (sharp joe)DAVILA R 120 1.80 31% 2.20 1.20 P
HAPPY TIME 3 4 3 31 35 33(acquilano jam)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 5.00 6.00  
THE HONORABLE EYE 1 1 4 46 413 411½ 49 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 43% 1.40 1.75  
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN               (johnson clevela)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  VARSITY DOLL               (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
 
FL-5   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
:244 :494 1:151 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE DESTINY 5 1 2 23 2½ 18 112¼ (progno christoph)COA J 118 5.00 1.55  
RENNINAS ROSE 3 5 56 67 67 512½ 212¼ (falk jacq)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 26.00  
IOVA 6 3 45 4 4 311½ 312¼ (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 14% 5.90 5.70 S
BON FIRE DIVA 4 4 1 13 1½ 28 413¾ (williams omani)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 5.50  
QUIET HORIZON 2 6 68 56 3 412½ 516½ (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 122 2.00 8% 10.90 9.10  
DARE TO BE GREAT 1 2 34 3 5 615½ 620½ (grusmark karl)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.50 43% 1.30 1.50  
 
FL-6   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:23 :471 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO 4 1 12 1   15 1(englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 120 5.00 8% 11.40 1.60 W
MIDNIGHT EMPRESS 2 4 22 2   25 2(buckley j)NAVARRO J 120 6.00 4.70  
MY LITTLE ONE 6 2 33 46   38 3(babcock edward)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 4.00 3.15  
1A  PRINCESS RILEY 5 6 65 3   410 413¼ (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 124 1.60 42% 1.40 3.15  
BOLD BEE BEE 1 3 4 5   619 520¼ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00 12.50  
GIANT BOTTLE 3 5 5 6   518 623 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 19% 4.20 8.10  
SCR  JOVIO               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 1.60    
 
FL-7   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:244 :492 1:141 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GOT GAME 1 3 11 11 11 14 1(ronen assaf)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 5.00 0.70  
SMART BROAD 3 2 21 21 21 24 2(shaffer richa)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 15% 5.60 2.15 P
CALL ME CARMELITA 2 1 5 42 36 316 320¾ (bartlett william )ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 26.25 S
WINTER SIREN 7 7 7 7 712½ 520½ 420¾ (lopez d)DIAZ J 115 10.00 73.50  
IM GONNA WIN 4 5 4 5 511½ 621½ 524¼ (lecesse michael)COA J 122 10.00 13.00  
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 6 6 6 6 4 418 625½ (lecesse m)NAVARRO J 122 3.00 58% 0.70 3.90  
DISCO PARTY 5 4 3 32 612 731½ 743¾ (lopez roberto)CAMILO D 122 15.00 ######  
SCR  SALOON GIRL               (dean ii)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 4.00    
 
FL-8   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
:25 :493 1:153 1:441   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET DESANTIS 2 3 4 5 42 1½ 1(ferraro anthon)COA J 120 2.50 20% 4.00 0.25 W
DONS LAST CALL 4 5 5 4 3 32 2(acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 8.20  
SCOUTING PARTY 1 2 1½ 11 11 2½ 3(sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 5% 18.40 9.20 S
INDYAN PENNY 6 4 64 6 6 56 4(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 6.00 12.10  
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY 3 1 2½ 21 21 46 510¾ (monserrate marisa)ROHENA M 120 8.00 23.10  
REAL GOOD VYBZ 5 6 3½ 31 52 69 614¾ (williams omani)ROHENA JR 124 3.50 49% 1.00 8.00  
SCR  FRANKIE C               (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.