Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/1)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/5)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/4/2)-(6/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON HORIZON Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 May14 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50    
2  UNCLE MILTIE Aug16 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  HONEST CHANCE Aug02 Jul05 Jun05 May23 May02 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
4  CONTROL ALT DELETE Jul26 Jun11       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 4.50    
5  NOAH'S DESTINY Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 May15 Apr24 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  FOOT TRAFFIC Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun12 May24 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL EMPIRE Aug09 Jun19 May22 Jun03 May17 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00    
2  DARK MARKET Aug07 Jul10 Jun19     (englehar)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
3  MICHAEL LEIS Aug16 Aug02 Jul10 May13 Dec10 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Jul19 Jun28 Nov16 Oct19 Oct04 (cook robert)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 8.00    
5  DANNY'S A COWBOY Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 May30 Jan05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
6  DESTIN HOOFMAN Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 May30 May15 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
FL-3   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE EMPRESS Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May20 Apr28 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.50 13% 6.90    
2  DAREDEVIL BULL Aug14 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May24 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
3  NO CHALK Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May22 May09 (iorio jr)COA J 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
4  ISLE STORM Aug08 Jun26 May09 Oct26 Oct18 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
5  BEHIND THE COUCH Aug08 Jun26 May16 Mar05 Feb18 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 3.50    
 
FL-4   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HONORABLE EYE Jul17 Jun26 May29     (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 43% 1.40    
  (by HONOR CODE out of AINSLEY by OFFICER)
SCR  VARSITY DOLL Aug07 Jul05       (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MODERN GIRL by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
3  TINTAGEL Aug15 Jun13 May31 Nov01 Oct10 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OLYMPIC MEDALLIST by MEDALLIST)
4  HAPPY TIME Aug15 Jul17 Jun26 May29 Dec29 (acquilano j)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
5  THREE CUPS FULL Aug07 Jul03 May27     (sharp joe)DAVILA R 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN Jul29 Jul08 Jun15 Apr22 Mar18 (johnson )DAVIS A 120 6.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
FL-5   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO BE GREAT Jul19 Jun21 May31 May22 May08 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.50 43% 1.30    
2  QUIET HORIZON Aug09 Jul19 Jul11 Jun21 May31 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 2.00 8% 10.90    
3  RENNINAS ROSE Aug09 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
4  BON FIRE DIVA Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jan08 Nov03 (williams oman)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
5  TRUE DESTINY Aug14 Jun28 Jun14 Jun05 Aug08 (progno christo)COA J 118 5.00    
6  IOVA Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 Jan03 Nov23 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 14% 5.90    
 
FL-6   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRINCESS RILEY Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 May30 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  JOVIO         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 1.60    
2  BOLD BEE BEE Aug08 Jul31       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
3  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Aug16 Jul25 May28 Apr23   (buckley)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
4  GIANT BOTTLE Aug16 Jul11 Apr03 Mar25   (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Jul31         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 5.00 8% 11.40    
6  MY LITTLE ONE Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 4.00    
 
FL-7   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GOT GAME Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 Jun02 (ronen assaf)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 5.00    
2  CALL ME CARMELITA Aug15 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 May24 (bartlett willia)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SALOON GIRL Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 115 4.00    
4  SMART BROAD Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 May31 May17 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
5  IM GONNA WIN Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 Jul26 Jul12 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 10.00    
6  DISCO PARTY Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 Sep28 Sep12 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 122 15.00    
7  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA May17 Apr20 Mar31 Feb19 Nov10 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
8  WINTER SIREN Aug15 Aug01 Jul05 Jun27 Jun12 (lopez d)DIAZ J 115 10.00    
 
FL-8   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOUTING PARTY Aug08 Jul25 Jun26 May29   (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 5% 18.40    
2  SWEET DESANTIS Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 Feb08 Jan07 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (monserrate ma)DAVILA A 120 8.00    
SCR  FRANKIE C Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 May31 May16 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00    
5  DONS LAST CALL Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 May20 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00    
6  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May30 May16 (williams omani)ROHENA JR 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
7  INDYAN PENNY Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.