Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.80 $9.80 163%
FL-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-6 $80.00 $62.00 344%
FL-4   EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $14.40 $2.40 20%
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-1 $9.95 $6.95 232%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   08/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:144 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KODIAK BROWN 1 1 5 53 5 52 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 44% 1.30 6.90 W
FLAT BILL 4 2 4 4 33 2½ 2 (gutterso)DAVIS A 122 6.00 11.10  
KINGFISH 3 5 66 6 67 42 3 (grabowski john)COA J 122 4.00 18% 4.60 1.60 S
FAR AWAY LOOK 5 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 4 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 1.50  
MASETA 2 6 1½ 1½ 1½ 31 58 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 5.00 16% 5.30 5.30  
QUAD PARTY 6 3 3 3 43 66 619 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 12.80  
 
FL-2   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144 1:433   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE CAP 5 5 517 524 516½ 53 1 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 2.50 37% 1.70 6.70 W
MILAGROSO 1 1 1½ 11 1 1½ 2 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.00 0.85  
DANCINWITHJAKE 2 3 49 410 4 2½ 3 (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 6.00 18.90  
LOOKIN GRAND 4 2 2½ 21 3 31 4 (fung christop)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 34% 2.00 1.35  
TOM'S LEGACY 3 4 33 32 2 41 510½ (bartlett)DAVIS A 116 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  SHARPOON               (henry ortis)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 5.00    
 
FL-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WABAUNSEE 1 4 11 2nk   1nk 1 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00 3.30  
LADY QUINN 3 3 32 1nk   2nk 2 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 3.50 27% 2.80 4.80 P
SWEET INVASION 2 5 4 4   3 3 (acquilano j)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 6.00 8% 12.10 4.10 S
PRETTY MISS KEENS 5 1 21 3½   4 412½ (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 39% 1.50 1.00  
TRUE DESTINY 4 2 54 5   5 513½ (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 8.00 6.60  
SCR  AMORE FIRE               (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 2.00    
 
FL-4   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:143 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANIS JOPLIN 5 3 11 11 12 15 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.35 W
ISABEL LUVS GOLD 3 4 4 42 22 25 2 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 5.00 10% 8.70 8.40 P
FLURRY OF ROSES 1 1 55 54 57 415 314¾ (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 12% 7.10 7.00 S
STAR SPEAKER 6 5 21 21 32 311 416¼ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 18.10  
ICE LOVE 2 6 67 64 6 616½ 517¼ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 4.60  
TUMBLES 4 2 31 3 4 515½ 621 (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 22.60  
 
FL-5   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:232 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH COAST (IRE) 5 2 3 2   1nk 14 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00 43% 1.40 1.35 W
N Y RIESLING 6 4 1½ 1   2nk 24 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 5.50  
CLINGMAN 1 5 44 47   34 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 17% 5.00 4.20 S
FIGHTER KITE 2 1 2½ 36   56 4 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 120 10.00 41.50  
SORPRESO 3 6 610½ 611   68 5 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 2.50 9.70  
MATT DOYLE 4 3 5 57   4 67 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 124 5.00 17% 5.00 1.95  
 
FL-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE WILL 3 5 4 3   33 1¼ (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 3.50 3.55  
WAHEEL 6 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80 P
SON OF DARKNESS 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (sells rachel)COA J 122 4.50 5.00  
DEVIL OR ANGEL 5 3 65 5   46 4 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 18% 4.40 2.55  
DEVIOUS BANKER 1 6 33 46   5 5 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
BLUES CITY 2 4 5 6   6 613½ (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 8.00 33.00  
 
FL-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arctic Queen Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 1 2 42 33   1nk 1 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.35 W
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LITTLE ROCKET by KOKAND)
CURLY GIRL 5 4 31 23   33 2 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 3.25  
  (by NYQUIST out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
QUEEN ARELLA 6 1 11 13   2nk 3 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 6.00 13% 6.60 1.45 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNBRIDLED SONYA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DAREDEVIL BULL 4 6 53 5   47 4 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 118 8.00 11% 8.40 14.50  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DOWNSTREAM BULL by HOLY BULL)
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 3 21 47   510½ 5 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 6.00 20.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY NOBLE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SNIFF 2 5 6 611¼   614½ 617½ (huertas )DAVIS A 118 8.00 18.40  
  (by POSSE out of SHOW READY by PROSPER FAGER)
SCR  EROS'S GIRL               (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 3.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of ASPREE by FREUD)
 
FL-8   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 2 5 5 54 57 53 1¾ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 17.10  
BINGO JOHN 1 3 31 32 44 31 2¾ (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 43% 1.30 1.05 P
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 5 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 1nk 3 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 12.00 8.20  
1A  B C GLORY DAYS 4 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.50 8.60  
BEACH BOY AL 3 4 43 43 33 4 58 (englehart jer)DAVILA R 124 5.00 20% 4.00 1.10  
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY               (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
SCR  INTERSTATE               (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE VIC               (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00 12% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.