Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/3/2)-(5/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(2/7/5)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KODIAK BROWN Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 Oct19 Sep07 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  MASETA Jul19 Jun21 Feb23 Feb04 Jan21 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  KINGFISH Jul17 Jul04 Nov16 Oct31 Sep26 (grabowski john)COA J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  FLAT BILL Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May23 May02 (gutterso)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
5  FAR AWAY LOOK Jul26 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 Sep07 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
6  QUAD PARTY Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 May17 Apr24 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
 
FL-2   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILAGROSO Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 Jun18 May19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.00    
2  DANCINWITHJAKE Jul24 Jun26 Jun12     (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 6.00    
3  TOM'S LEGACY Jul10 Jun19       (bartlett)DAVIS A 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOOKIN GRAND Jul31 Jul10 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (fung christop)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  SHARPOON Jun18 May19 Apr01 Dec09 Nov25 (henry ortis)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 5.00    
6  OVER THE CAP Jul24 Jul03 Jun01 Apr22   (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
FL-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WABAUNSEE Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May23 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00    
2  SWEET INVASION Jul31 Jul12 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 (acquilano j)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 6.00 8% 12.10    
3  LADY QUINN Jul25 Apr27 Apr06 Feb22 Jan26 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 3.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  AMORE FIRE Jul18 Jun21 May15 Apr24 Jul17 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 2.00    
5  TRUE DESTINY Jun28 Jun14 Jun05 Aug08 Jul18 (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
6  PRETTY MISS KEENS Jul11 Jun20 May08 Apr02 Feb17 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
FL-4   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLURRY OF ROSES Jul10 Jun20 Oct24 Sep26 Sep07 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  ICE LOVE Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 Oct10 Sep05 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
3  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 Oct24 Sep26 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  TUMBLES Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 May29 May16 (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00    
5  JANIS JOPLIN Jul17 Jun11 May12 Apr23 Sep29 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  STAR SPEAKER Jul24 Jun06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLINGMAN Jul12 Jun12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  FIGHTER KITE Jul18 Jun28 May16 Nov15   (d'aless)NAVARRO J 120 10.00    
3  SORPRESO Jul25 Jun25 Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 2.50    
4  MATT DOYLE Jul24 Jun28 Feb11 Jan22 Dec15 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  NORTH COAST (IRE) Jul12 Jun26 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00 43% 1.40    
6  N Y RIESLING Jul31 Jun21 May24 May09 Jul26 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00    
 
FL-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS BANKER Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May16 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUES CITY Jul24 Jul12 Jun05 May23 May09 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
3  INVALUABLE WILL Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 Jun14 Jun05 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 3.50    
4  SON OF DARKNESS Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May22 May09 (sells rachel)COA J 122 4.50    
5  DEVIL OR ANGEL Jul17 Jun28 May29 Nov22 Oct18 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
6  WAHEEL Jul18 Jun14 Jan12 Dec10 Nov22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
FL-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arctic Queen Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EROS'S GIRL Jul26 Jul12 May30 Nov15 Oct19 (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 3.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of ASPREE by FREUD)
2  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jul12 Jun14 Nov08 Oct30 Oct03 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LITTLE ROCKET by KOKAND)
3  SNIFF Jun26 May22 Aug01 Jun21 Jun01 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by POSSE out of SHOW READY by PROSPER FAGER)
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Jul25 Jul04 Jun11 May29 May14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY NOBLE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
5  DAREDEVIL BULL Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May24 Oct31 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 118 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DOWNSTREAM BULL by HOLY BULL)
6  CURLY GIRL Jul25 Jun27 May22 Apr27 Apr02 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
7  QUEEN ARELLA Jul12 Jun26 Sep20 Jul22 May09 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNBRIDLED SONYA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FL-8   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  B C GLORY DAYS Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 May06 Mar25 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.50    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec16 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
2  BINGO JOHN Jun28 May31 May07 Apr15 Mar26 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
3  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jul19 Jun12 Apr29 Apr08 Feb12 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
4  BEACH BOY AL Jun28 Nov09 Aug31 Jul03 Mar05 (englehart jer)DAVILA R 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  INTERSTATE Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 May29 May08 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE VIC Jul05 May30 May17 May02 Nov23 (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00 12% 7.70    
7  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Jul19 Jun28 May16 Apr22 Mar10 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.