Handicappers' Race Results
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Colonial Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CNL-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
CNL-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $41.20  
CNL-3   Win (4/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $32.00  
CNL-4   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.00  
CNL-5   Win (9/4/8/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.60  
CNL-6   Win (8/7/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
CNL-7   Win (4/9/3/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 2.40
CNL-8   Win (5/10/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
CNL-9   Win (7/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $25.80  
CNL-10   Win (11/4/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $15.40  
CNL-11   Win (6/11/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.20  
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:13 1:371   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POR UNA CABEZA 6 3 33 43 31½ 2½ 1¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.60 22% 3.50 1.70 W
3  WARIDI CANDY 3 2 21½ 21½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (de hora)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 12.30  
2  AFRAID NOT 2 1 43½ 33 42½ 41½ 32 (gomens julie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 4.40  
1  KRONE 1 4 65 65 65½ 64 42½ (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50 2.10  
5  DETERMINED EMPIRE 5 6 54 54 54 53½ 54 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 124 2.50 29% 2.50 3.70  
4  HOT BOTTOM GIRL 4 5 11½ 11½ 1nk 3½ 66½ (kelly blak)GALLARDO A 124 10.00 15% 5.80 13.10  
 
CNL-2   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :461 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KATRIEL 6 1 11½ 12½   14 17¼ (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 19.60  
6  IMPERIALTY 5 2 52½ 43   24 27¼ (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 1.80 1.90  
2  CONNECTAMUNDO 2 3 21½ 22½   35½ 37½ (mcmahon hug)LEPAROUX R 119 2.50 1.40  
4  COAL MINER 3 7 73½ 63¾   59½ 417¾ (mccutchen j)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 26% 2.80 4.40  
8  MR. RUIZ 7 5 31½ 53¼   610 518¾ (parra hernan)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 15.00 16.10  
5  BANKER BLAYNEY 4 4 42 33   48½ 624 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 19% 4.30 12.30  
1  DIALED IN A PANIC 1 6 63 73¾   712 725¾ (aguirre antho)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 19% 4.30 9.10  
SCR  TISHA               (parra hernan)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 10.00    
 
CNL-3   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:122 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIZZY 1 2 12 1½ 11 12 1½ (mcgoey monica)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00 15.00  
10  INANNA'S QUEST 9 7 53½ 41½ 31½ 22 2½ (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 8% 11.80 5.90 P
9  BALI KUTA 8 4 43 31½ 42 43 33½ (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 21% 3.70 1.90 S
4  PANOTTI 4 8 85½ 95¼ 96½ 85¾ 44½ (o'connell kathle)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 31% 2.20 1.90  
3  BEASTIE GIRL 3 6 63½ 73¾ 86 65¼ 55 (rountree cathy)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 29.10  
7  STARRY HOPE 6 1 22 2½ 21 33 65 (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00 27.70  
8  DIVINE EXCHANGE 7 3 74 63½ 54 55 75¼ (gutierrez fa)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00 18% 4.50 12.30  
2  SUWANNEE CHICK 2 5 32½ 52 64 75¼ 89¼ (parra herna)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 32.70  
5  MISTY MAUVE 5 9 95¾ 85¼ 74½ 96¼ 910 (sanchez-salomon ro)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 5.10  
SCR  YANKEE DOLLAR               (vitali mar)GALLARDO A 123 1.50    
 
CNL-4   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:122 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAKESIDE GETAWAY 2 2 21½ 21 2½ 12 13¾ (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.80 1.50  
5  GOOD ACCELEBRATE 4 7 76½ 76½ 63 22 23¾ (williams l)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00 17.60  
6  TRIBEST (ARG) 5 3 43½ 42 41½ 32 34¼ (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 119 8.00 16% 5.30 5.60 S
1  WAY TOO EARLY 1 6 54½ 63½ 52½ 42½ 45½ (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 1.50 25% 3.00 1.80  
8  STAR FOX 7 5 11½ 11 1½ 54½ 513¾ (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 6.00  
7  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR 6 4 65 53 73½ 610½ 623¼ (o'connell )GALLARDO A 119 6.00 22% 3.50 9.00  
4  FIRELANE 3 1 32 31 31½ 712½ 731 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 32.10  
SCR  SHE'S LIKE THUNDER               (allen fer)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
 
CNL-5   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:11 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OHANA HONOR 6 6 87½ 86 95¼ 31½ 14 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 2.80  
2  FINGAL 2 5 32½ 32½ 32 2½ 24 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00 ★ 4.80 P
4  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 4 4 65 64½ 74¼ 86 34 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 11% 7.80 2.80 S
13  VELOCE 13 8 76½ 74½ 64 42 44¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
9  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 55 (delgado jo)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 55% 0.80 5.90  
8  BRYCE CANYON 8 10 108¾ 108½ 106¼ 107¾ 65¼ (kelly blake)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 5.00 8% 11.20 7.30  
11  COMMANDER KEITH 11 7 54½ 53½ 54 64½ 76¾ (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00 75.20  
12  SMALL FIELD 12 9 98½ 98 85¼ 96¼ 87¾ (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 125 20.00 8.60  
3  BRUCE BANNER 3 1 21 2½ 2½ 53½ 910 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 123 12.00 28.70  
1  COPAZO 1 2 42½ 43 43½ 74½ 1012 (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00 72.70  
10  THE HAPPY GIANT 10 11 1210¾ 1111½ 118¼ 1110¾ 1112½ (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00 38.10  
5  REMEMBERING WILBUR 5 12 1110¾ 1211¾ 129¼ 1213¾ 1214½ (sanchez-salomon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 42.20  
7  ELEVATED FOREVER 7 13 1312¾ 1314¾ 1317¼ 1328¾ 1344 (garrido raul)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 20.00 93.60  
 
CNL-6   09/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Da Hoss Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:214 :434 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NOBALS 7 2 21 21½   31½ 1nk (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 126 3.00 32% 2.20 1.20 W
5  ALOGON 4 3 31½ 31½   2nk 2nk (allard t)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
7  SOUPER QUEST 6 1 11 11½   1nk 31¾ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 25% 3.00 2.80 S
4  BIZ BIZ BUZZ 3 5 53½ 53   42 42¼ (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 9.80  
3  MAYA PRINCE 2 8 85¾ 74   62¾ 52½ (trombetta micha)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00 10.70  
6  YES AND YES 5 7 63¾ 63½   52½ 63¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 9.50  
1  MOMOS 1 4 75¾ 84¼   83¾ 75 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00 23.20  
10  HIGH LIMIT ROOM 8 6 41½ 42½   73¼ 85¼ (camejo jose)TORRES A 122 10.00 20% 4.00 9.50  
SCR  ALEXIS S               (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
SCR  OUTLAW KID               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
 
CNL-7   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Kitten's Joy Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:15 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOK TOK 4 1 32 42½ 31 1nk 11¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.00 29% 2.40 5.20 W
3  TRIPLE ESPRESSO 3 13 129 129 128 126½ 21¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 19% 4.20 2.70 P
13  DETERMINED SAIL 13 4 11 11 1½ 2nk 32 (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 117 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50 S
2  RANDAZZO 2 8 74 74¼ 52½ 32 42¾ (stidham mic)TORRES A 120 10.00 11.20  
11  BECAUSE THE NIGHT 11 11 117½ 117 116 84½ 53¼ (cox h)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 12.00 6.10  
6  MISSION READY 6 10 95 95¼ 83¼ 54 63¾ (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 66.60  
7  MANABI 7 6 53½ 85¼ 103½ 64¼ 74 (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 6.00 2.50  
12  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 12 7 21 21 2½ 43½ 84¾ (saville nial)SANCHEZ J 117 30.00 83.90  
9  MASSIF 9 9 105½ 105½ 93¼ 94½ 95¾ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50 23% 3.40 6.60  
10  BLUE CREEK 10 12 1310½ 1310½ 139½ 106 106 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 30.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
8  SKELLIG ISLAND 8 5 42½ 32 41½ 74¼ 116 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00 31.50  
5  SILVER FRONT 5 2 84½ 54 72¾ 116½ 129½ (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00 59.20  
1  SHARP TONES 1 3 64 64 62½ 1312½ 1311½ (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 38.70  
 
CNL-8   09/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Exacta Systems Rosie's Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:212 :44 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NO NAY METS (IRE) 5 1 1nk 1nk   12 13¼ (weaver george)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 0.30 W
3  TOUPIE (GB) 3 5 32 31½   22 23¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 117 5.00 ★ 6.60 P
11  AIR RECRUIT 11 8 42¼ 43   44 37 (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 7.40  
8  ATMIDNIGHT 8 10 108¾ 79   65½ 47¾ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 12.00 16% 5.10 25.50  
2  RUDDY BUDDY 2 9 119¾ 1110¾   76½ 59¼ (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 72.80  
7  SEBASTIAN RUN 7 2 54¼ 55   54½ 610 (delgado jo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 41.00  
4  WOODCOURT 4 6 98¾ 1010¾   96¾ 710¼ (walsh p)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 8.00 26.00  
6  A G DIAMOND 6 11 66¼ 67   86¾ 811¼ (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 15.00 79.80  
10  KING KONTIE 10 3 2nk 2nk   34 912 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 22% 3.60 12.90  
1  MI DINERO 1 4 88¼ 89¼   107¼ 1012¾ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 70.50  
9  GONE ELVIS 9 7 76¾ 910¼   1112¼ 1125½ (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 30.00 62.40  
 
CNL-9   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Virginia Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:112 1:353   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THIRTY THOU KELVIN 6 1 1½ 11½ 11 2nk 1¼ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 11.90  
1  ROOT CAUSE 1 3 85¾ 86¾ 85¾ 42 2¼ (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00 19.70  
8  ALPHA BELLA 8 4 2½ 21½ 21 1nk 3½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 15% 5.70 3.70 S
7  MISSION OF JOY 7 7 63¾ 65¼ 53½ 31½ 42¼ (motion g)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 43% 1.30 1.10  
3  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 3 6 53½ 55 64½ 62¼ 52¾ (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 118 30.00 29.60  
2  TUFANI 2 2 32 43½ 43½ 72¾ 65½ (stidham michael)BOYCE FOREST 118 12.00 7% 13.20 12.90  
4  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 4 5 42 33½ 33 52¼ 77¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 7.00 3.10  
5  BROADWAY GIRLS 5 8 75¾ 76¾ 75½ 86¾ 811 (o'neill doug)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 11.50  
 
CNL-10   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM New Kent County Virginia Derby Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:10 1:343   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  INTEGRATION 7 1 65½ 76½ 75½ 4¾ 11¼ (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 6.70  
11  PROGRAM TRADING (GB) 9 5 53½ 54½ 53 1nk 21¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 36% 1.80 0.70 P
3  RUNAWAY STORM 2 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 33½ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 34.30  
6  MONDEGO (GB) 5 3 43 43 42½ 3½ 44 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 13.10  
5  DATAMAN 4 8 75½ 64½ 64 52¾ 54¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00 13.90  
2  GIGANTE 1 7 87½ 88 87 62¾ 64¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 6.00 11% 8.10 9.40  
7  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 6 9 910 99½ 99 74¼ 75½ (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 10.00 16.40  
4  SALUTE THE STARS 3 6 21 21 2½ 86¼ 811¾ (cox h)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.00 29% 2.40 7.20  
10  ARI GOLD 8 4 32½ 32 31 99¼ 916 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL               (terranova )GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker j)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
 
CNL-11   09/09/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Colonial Cup Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:234 :50 1:16 1:403 2:044 2:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STARTING OVER 1 31 31½ 32 31½ 2nk 11 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 6.10  
7  DYNADRIVE 5 64 74½ 75 74¼ 31½ 21 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00 18.50  
4  MCLOVIN 2 86½ 86½ 85½ 84¾ 53 31 (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 7% 14.20 4.40 S
10  SY DOG 7 2½ 21 21 2nk 1nk 41¾ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 1.50  
11  GLIDER 8 74½ 64 53½ 53¼ 42½ 54 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 27% 2.70 3.40  
8  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 6 42½ 42½ 42½ 41¾ 66 612 (bourke liam)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
5  MONAASIB 3 52½ 53½ 64 63¾ 77½ 713¾ (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00 62.00  
6  TEMPLE 4 1½ 11 11 1nk 87¾ 842 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 39% 1.60 4.50  
SCR  SERIFOS               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
SCR  STRONG TIDE               (lauer micha)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.