Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-3   Win (4/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-4   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-5   Win (9/4/8/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-6   Win (8/7/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-7   Win (4/9/3/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-8   Win (5/10/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-9   Win (7/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-10   Win (11/4/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-11   Win (6/11/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRONE Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 May27 May04 (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50    
AFRAID NOT Aug18 Jul14 Apr08 Oct07 Sep07 (gomens julie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00    
WARIDI CANDY Aug02 Apr16 Mar10     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
HOT BOTTOM GIRL Aug10 Jul19 Mar03 Jan21 Nov13 (kelly blak)GALLARDO A 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
DETERMINED EMPIRE Aug02 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr16 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
POR UNA CABEZA Feb19 Jan08 Nov29 Oct22 Sep24 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.60 22% 3.50    
 
CNL-2   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALED IN A PANIC         (aguirre antho)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
CONNECTAMUNDO Aug26         (mcmahon hug)LEPAROUX R 119 2.50    
SCR  TISHA Aug25 Aug11 Jun25     (parra hernan)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 10.00    
COAL MINER         (mccutchen j)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
BANKER BLAYNEY         (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
IMPERIALTY Aug25 Aug10 Jul27     (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 1.80    
KATRIEL Aug17         (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
MR. RUIZ Aug25         (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
 
CNL-3   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIZZY Aug31 Jun17 May21 May05 Mar24 (mcgoey monica)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00    
SUWANNEE CHICK Aug17 Aug04 Jul01 May03 Apr16 (parra herna)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
BEASTIE GIRL Aug17 Aug02 May18 Apr26 Mar22 (rountree cathy)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00    
PANOTTI Aug19 Jul27 Mar25 Feb25 Jan25 (o'connell kathle)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
MISTY MAUVE Aug19 Jul27 Jul15 May19 May13 (sanchez-salomon ro)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
SCR  YANKEE DOLLAR Aug06 Jul27 Jun21 May31 Mar26 (vitali mar)GALLARDO A 123 1.50    
STARRY HOPE Aug24 Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 May11 (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
DIVINE EXCHANGE Jun25 May19 Apr30 Apr09 Dec26 (gutierrez fa)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
BALI KUTA Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 May27 Mar03 (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
10  INANNA'S QUEST Jul27 Jul13 Jul07 Jun14 May27 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
CNL-4   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TOO EARLY Aug24 Jul02 May07 Mar23 Feb19 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 1.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S LIKE THUNDER Aug26 Jul20 Jun15 May24 Sep07 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jul23 May27 Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.80    
FIRELANE Aug26         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Aug26 Aug02 May24 May05 Mar18 (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
TRIBEST (ARG) Aug09 Jul05 May24 May06   (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Aug05 Jun04 Apr15 Mar26 Feb11 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
STAR FOX Aug18         (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
 
CNL-5   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPAZO Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun09 (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
FINGAL Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jan22 Jan13 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00    
BRUCE BANNER Aug26 Aug04 Jun07 May11 Apr21 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 123 12.00    
SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jun03 May04 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
REMEMBERING WILBUR Aug11 Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 May25 (sanchez-salomon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
OHANA HONOR Aug03 Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 Nov06 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
ELEVATED FOREVER Aug11 Jul22 Jun15 Jun02 Jan28 (garrido raul)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 20.00    
BRYCE CANYON Aug19 May28 Apr30 Mar25 Feb26 (kelly blake)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 5.00 8% 11.20    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jul22 Jun24 Apr08 Mar10 Feb26 (delgado jo)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
10  THE HAPPY GIANT Aug26 Jul31 Jul14 May19 Sep07 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
11  COMMANDER KEITH Aug10 Jul01 May05 Apr22 Mar25 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00    
12  SMALL FIELD Aug26 Aug12 Aug03 Apr22 Sep07 (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 125 20.00    
13  VELOCE Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 May12 May06 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   09/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Da Hoss Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMOS Jul21 May25 May04 Mar17 Feb18 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  ALEXIS S Aug22 Jul15 May29 May12 Mar12 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
MAYA PRINCE Aug17 Jul14 Jun24 May28 Apr29 (trombetta micha)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00    
BIZ BIZ BUZZ Aug12 Jul02 Jun11 Feb19 Dec23 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
ALOGON Aug22 Jul22 Jun18 May25 Jan20 (allard t)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
YES AND YES Aug13 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 May06 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SOUPER QUEST Aug26 Jul27 Dec08     (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
NOBALS Aug05 Jul07 May06 Apr22 Mar23 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 126 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  OUTLAW KID Aug05 Jul26 Jul01 Jun15 Dec30 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
10  HIGH LIMIT ROOM Aug13 Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar27 (camejo jose)TORRES A 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
CNL-7   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Kitten's Joy Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP TONES Jul27         (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
RANDAZZO Aug12         (stidham mic)TORRES A 120 10.00    
TRIPLE ESPRESSO         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
TOK TOK Jul27         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
SILVER FRONT Aug25 Aug17       (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
MISSION READY Sep01 Aug25       (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
MANABI Aug03         (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
SKELLIG ISLAND Jul27         (maker j)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
MASSIF Aug05 Jul14       (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
10  BLUE CREEK Aug19 Aug03       (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jul03         (cox h)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 12.00    
12  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Aug19 Aug05 Jun22     (saville nial)SANCHEZ J 117 30.00    
13  DETERMINED SAIL Aug19 Jul13       (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   09/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Exacta Systems Rosie's Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI DINERO Aug11         (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUDDY BUDDY Aug19 Jul27       (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
TOUPIE (GB) Jul01         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 117 5.00    
WOODCOURT Aug12 Jun17 Apr20     (walsh p)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 8.00    
NO NAY METS (IRE) Jul30 May13       (weaver george)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
A G DIAMOND Jul27 Jun17 Jun03     (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 15.00    
SEBASTIAN RUN Aug18 Jul08 Jun17     (delgado jo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
ATMIDNIGHT Aug19 Jul22       (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 12.00 16% 5.10    
GONE ELVIS Jul28 Jul04       (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 30.00    
10  KING KONTIE Aug05 Jul14       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
11  AIR RECRUIT Aug05         (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
 
CNL-9   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Virginia Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOT CAUSE Jun22 May12 Mar19 Aug14   (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00    
TUFANI Jul15 Jun24 May24 Apr15   (stidham michael)BOYCE FOREST 118 12.00 7% 13.20    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Aug13 Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 Dec09 (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 118 30.00    
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Jul09 Nov05 Sep01 Jul24   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
BROADWAY GIRLS Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 Feb12 (o'neill doug)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00    
THIRTY THOU KELVIN Jul15 Jun11 May19 Mar25 Feb12 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
MISSION OF JOY Jul08 Jun03 May05 Mar11 Jan18 (motion g)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
ALPHA BELLA Aug10 May13 Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
 
CNL-10   09/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM New Kent County Virginia Derby Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL Jul15 Jun03 Apr07 Mar11 Nov26 (terranova )GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
GIGANTE Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 May17 Nov26 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
RUNAWAY STORM Aug03 Jun16 May11     (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SALUTE THE STARS Jul22 Jun17 May14 Aug27 Jul30 (cox h)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
DATAMAN Aug13 Jun28 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
MONDEGO (GB) Aug05 Jul08 Jun02 May07 Apr08 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Aug13 Oct16 Aug20 Jul23   (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 10.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Aug23 Jun25 Jun11 Feb18 Jan08 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
INTEGRATION Aug12         (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
10  ARI GOLD Aug13 Jul20 Dec10 Nov06 Oct02 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  PROGRAM TRADING (GB) Aug05 Jun25 May14     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-11   09/09/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Colonial Cup Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SERIFOS Jul27 Jun18 May20 Oct20 Sep10 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT Aug26 Jul28 May19 Dec01 Oct28 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
STARTING OVER Jul30 Jun04 Mar10 Feb04 Nov13 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
MCLOVIN Aug06 Jul08 Sep10 Jun03 Apr24 (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
MONAASIB Aug13 Jul01 May27 Apr28 Feb17 (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00    
TEMPLE Jan28 Nov26 Oct14 Sep10 Jul23 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
DYNADRIVE Aug26 Jun17 May06 Nov26 Oct09 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM Aug18 Feb17 Jan20 Sep10 Aug21 (bourke liam)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONG TIDE Aug23 Aug12 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (lauer micha)TORRES A 122 6.00    
10  SY DOG Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 Aug06 Jul09 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
11  GLIDER Aug12 Jul20 May04 Mar25 Feb25 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.