Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-4   WIN (9/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.20 $9.20 115%
    EXA (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $42.80 $30.80 257%
    TRI (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-5-9 $156.50 $132.50 552%
CNL-5   WIN (1/9/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    TRI (1/9/10/12)-(1/9/10/8/12)-(1/9/10/8/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00  10-9-1 $51.40 $3.40 7%
    SFT (1/9/10/12)-(1/9/10/8/12)-(1/9/10/8/12)-(1/9/10/8/12) 96 $0.10 $9.60  10-9-1-12 $33.37 $23.77 248%
    DD (9/5/4/3)-(1/9/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-10 $43.90 $27.90 174%
CNL-6   DD (1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-3 $17.70 $5.70 48%
    PK3 (9/5/4/3)-(1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-10-3 $98.20 $50.20 105%
CNL-7   PK3 (1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  10-3-2 $60.30 $12.30 26%
CNL-9   WIN (9/11/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $19.40 $11.40 143%
    EXA (9/11/4/10)-(9/11/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-9 $22.50 $10.50 88%
    DD (3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-4 $30.70 $14.70 92%
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00  2-3-4 $93.70 $29.70 46%
    PK4 (2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 192 $1.00 $192  3-2-3-4 $253.40 $61.40 32%
    PK5 (1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 768 $1.00 $768  10-3-2-3-4 $2788 $2020 263%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :564     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INDEFATIGABLE 9 5 5 31   1½ 1 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 2.40  
JOE PHILLIPS 1 6 6 9   7 2 (raven kerri)ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00 9% 10.50 28.80 P
OFFICER COUNTRY 5 9 9 8   8 3 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 4.50 10% 9.40 5.00 S
JUPITER BLUES 6 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 4 (mcgoey monica)ROCCO S 122 10.00 27.60  
FLY FLY AWAY 4 2 4 4   3 53 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.30  
CITY PLAN 3 8 83 7   6 6 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 12.30  
ERIC THE SALESMAN 8 3 2nk 1nk   5 7 (zook w)CARDOSO DAVID 122 10.00 15.80  
KINGPIN 2 1 31 5   4 8 (stidham micha)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 31% 2.30 1.70  
BOONDOGGLE 7 7 73 6   9 9 (hester leanne)CASTANON L 122 30.00 52.50  
SCR  ALL FOOLS DAY               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  I'M MONEY               (cahill steven )GOLIBRZUCH S 122 15.00    
 
CNL-2   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:142 1:261   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL'S DIAMANTE 6 3 21 21 1½ 16 1 (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 24% 3.20 0.90 W
WAIT FOR TOMORROW 5 5 3 3 4 47 2 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 6.60 P
10  OLD FASHIONED GIRL 10 9 42 4 3 26 3 (mcentee p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 49% 1.00 3.60 S
NURSE CARALYN 8 8 63 5 5 37 48 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5.80  
IDA BOSS 7 7 53 7 8 58 5 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 10.30  
TRANQUILA RUBY 9 10 8 83 7 69 611½ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00 83.80  
JASSAI 4 4 7 6 6 710½ 712½ (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00 45.20  
FIFTH CIRCUIT 2 1 11 11 2½ 810¾ 816¼ (mccutchen jas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00 13.20  
TALKIN' SASSY 1 2 10 93 910¼ 925¾ 948¾ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 74.60  
AIN'T NO SUNSHINE 3 6 9 106 1015¼ 1026¾ 1051¼ (cooney su)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 44.40  
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL               (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00    
SCR  COPPER BOUND               (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SCR  ONE COOL CHICK               (santillana fr)FUENTES MARIO 119 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A LAKER               (david ca)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
 
CNL-3   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAL BEACH 1 8 41 4   1½ 1 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 1.80  
STORMY PATTERN 4 3 2½ 3½   32 2 (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 3.80  
FREE SOUL 6 4 52 52   43 3 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 37.50  
JOHN THE BEAR 2 7 7 8   77 4 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 6.00 14.00  
SWOT ANALYSIS 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 57 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 66% 0.50 2.50  
CHARGE TO VICTORY 7 5 8 7   6 6 (howard da)CARRASCO R 124 8.00 6% 16.90 5.50  
PRIVET MOON 5 2 31 2nk   56 711¼ (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 7.80  
10  GALAXY MUSIC 8 6 6 64   89 811¾ (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 41.80  
SCR  DESERT RULER               (romero r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 15.00    
SCR  RADIEUX               (catalano l)ROCCO S 122 30.00    
 
CNL-4   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREME LAW 2 2 1nk 1nk   11 1nk (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00 16% 5.20 7.60 W
OCCASIONAL MOON 4 3 31 4   21 2nk (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 19% 4.30 5.20 P
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE 7 6 6 6   52 3½ (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 118 5.00 27% 2.70 2.20 S
LAMARVELOUS 5 4 5 5   6 4 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00 22.70  
CAPITAL CONQUEST 1 1 4 3   31 5 (lake a)CRUZ ANGEL 118 20.00 16.00  
10  FOLE'S NOTION 8 7 8 7   7 67 (pickett c)CARRASCO R 121 6.00 4.10  
RUNNING RIVER 6 5 2nk 2nk   4 78 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 8.60  
CALMING STORM 3 8 7 8   8 810 (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 3.50 17% 4.80 3.20  
SCR  DUCKPINS               (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER               (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
 
CNL-5   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BALLYHOOLY 9 6 43 43   2 1½ (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 16% 5.40 3.50 W
SPOOKY SPICE 8 5 6 54   32 2½ (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 25% 3.00 1.30 P
SPIRIT OF POWER 1 11 9 9   68 3 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 4.00 35% 1.80 7.50 S
12  LUNA WEST 11 1 1½ 1½   1 4 (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
SWEET FACTOR 3 7 8 7   7 56 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 20.00 59.40  
VELOCISSIMA 7 4 3½ 3½   56 6 (romero r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 11.70  
11  TOVIA 10 2 2½ 2½   42 7 (cazares )GALLARDO A 118 10.00 6.60  
FEMINISTA 2 10 7 8   910¼ 8 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00 34.70  
LITTLE NUTTER 6 3 5 6   8 9 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 7.80  
COLETTE'S SPIRIT 5 8 1113¾ 1114¼   1016¼ 109 (sanchez-pinero a)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 ######  
LUCIDITY 4 9 1011¾ 1012¼   1117¾ 1118 (william)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00 92.80  
SCR  GLORIOUS WAVE               ( )GIL ALEJANDRO 118 10.00    
 
CNL-6   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:132 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE G T 3 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 1¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 33% 2.10 1.40 W
BOFFO KID 5 2 42 4 41 2 2¼ (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 4.20  
GLOBAL SENSATION 2 7 6 6 5 3 3 (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.00 41% 1.40 2.70 S
ESOR 9 4 32 3 31 4 4 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 20.00 28.70  
BOCA GUY 8 3 5 5 6 6 5 (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 6.90  
NICKY BEAR 7 9 9 8 8 7 6 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00 11.40  
PRINCE OF PORTLAND 4 6 7 7 7 5 7 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
POWER (BRZ) 1 8 8 9 9 9 89 (morzan e)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 64.20  
NO ME DIGAS 6 5 2½ 2nk 2½ 8 912¼ (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 30.00 88.30  
 
CNL-7   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:221 :453 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. TART 2 2 4 42   11 13 (beattie )GALLARDO A 119 4.00 7% 13.60 2.10 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHEZA SWEET LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
DETERMINED BLUE 4 1 2nk 2½   21 23 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 9.50  
  (by KANTHAROS out of DRINKING DIXIE by QUALITY ROAD)
FIRST TO ARRIVE 3 6 7 7   6 3 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT 6 4 32 32   33 4 (mcentee p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THIRSTY MADAM by STAY THIRSTY)
CALL THE QUESTION 5 5 5 53   43 5 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 1.60 18% 4.60 2.60  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
SHARMIN 7 8 8 8   7 66 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 47.40  
  (by MOSLER out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
BEA STREET 1 7 6 6   5 7 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 38.40  
  (by STREET BOSS out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
MISSY BOSS 8 3 1nk 1½   8 818¾ (allen f)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 48.70  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
SCR  SHORESY               (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  VARIEGATE               (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALWAAN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CNL-8   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:222 :45 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX FEET APART 2 2 1 13   1 1½ (cazares )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 55% 0.80 2.70 W
STARRY HOPE 1 5 3 23   2 2½ (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 6.10  
10  SUMMER AT THE SPA 8 3 4 3   34 32 (lake a)ROCCO S 123 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
LADY JEAN 6 6 6 6   46 4 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 17% 4.90 2.20  
LADY NOY 7 1 2 44   56 57 (parra her)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 21.40  
BEACH HOUSE 4 4 5 5   6 6 (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 8.00 6% 15.60 2.50  
TRUE ATKA 5 8 812¼ 816½   815¼ 711½ (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00 20.70  
AUBURN 3 7 7 7   712¼ 813 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00 81.00  
SCR  FAST LANI               (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY               (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SPEAK YOUR MIND               (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:131 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL CONSORT 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 1½ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70 W
FROSTY SECRET 6 4 52 5 32 3 2½ (manning d)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 59% 0.70 1.90 P
BESSIE BLUE 1 8 7 84 7 57 3 (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 12.00 19.50  
10  FORTUNE TELLER 7 6 64 6 6 45 4 (brion ker)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
QUARANTINI 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 54 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 4.00  
11  PASSIONFORQUALITY 8 9 86 7 8 811¼ 610 (munoz ca)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 9% 10.00 3.50  
12  AIN'T NONCENTS 9 1 41 3½ 4 611 712 (duffy sean)ROCCO S 124 20.00 22.90  
NO SHARING 5 5 31 4 5 711 812 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 118 30.00 69.00  
BRAIZER 3 7 97 96 9 918¼ 926½ (william)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00 98.60  
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE               (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00    
SCR  MELINOE               (zook w)CARDOSO DAVID 118 6.00    
SCR  THE MONSTER IRUS               (cascallares nest)AVILES YAN 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.