Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(10/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1)-(10/6/5/4)-(3/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-2   WIN (10/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/4)-(10/6/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/4)-(10/6/5/4/7)-(10/6/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/5/4)-(3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/4)-(3/9)-(9/5/4/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-3   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/9)-(9/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/9)-(9/5/4/3)-(1/9/10/12) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-4   WIN (9/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/4/3)-(1/9/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/3)-(1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (1/9/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/12)-(1/9/10/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/12)-(1/9/10/8/12)-(1/9/10/8/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/12)-(2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/10)-(3/7/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/10)-(3/7/5/10)-(3/7/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/10)-(9/11/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (9/11/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/4/10)-(9/11/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/11/4/10)-(9/11/4/10)-(9/11/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE PHILLIPS Aug11 Jul27 Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 (raven kerri)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
2  KINGPIN Aug10 Jun23 Aug17 Jun29 May22 (stidham micha)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  CITY PLAN Aug18 Jul21 Jul13 Jun16 Jun04 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
4  FLY FLY AWAY Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 May06 Apr14 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  I'M MONEY Jul22 Jun30 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 (cahill steven )GOLIBRZUCH S 122 15.00    
6  OFFICER COUNTRY Aug18 Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 May12 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 4.50 10% 9.40    
7  JUPITER BLUES Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 May28 (mcgoey monica)ROCCO S 122 10.00    
8  BOONDOGGLE Jul22 Jul15 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 (hester leanne)CASTANON L 122 30.00    
9  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jul27 Jul15 Jun06 May30 Oct04 (zook w)CARDOSO DAVID 122 10.00    
10  INDEFATIGABLE Jul22 Jul05 May31 May07 Dec17 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00    
SCR  ALL FOOLS DAY Jul10 Jun20 Jun07 Apr28 Apr07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
 
CNL-2   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKIN' SASSY Aug17 Jul20 Jun23     (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00    
2  FIFTH CIRCUIT Aug17 Aug04 Apr28     (mccutchen jas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
3  AIN'T NO SUNSHINE Aug05         (cooney su)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
4  JASSAI Jul21 Jun10       (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WAIT FOR TOMORROW Jul21 Jun25       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  APRIL'S DIAMANTE May25         (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  IDA BOSS Aug04 Jul13       (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 ★    
8  NURSE CARALYN Jul13         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
9  TRANQUILA RUBY Aug17 Aug04       (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00    
10  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Jul27 Jul11       (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Jun15   (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00    
SCR  COPPER BOUND Jul04         (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S A LAKER Jul29 Jul15       (david ca)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
SCR  ONE COOL CHICK Aug11 Jul22       (santillana fr)FUENTES MARIO 119 5.00    
 
CNL-3   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAL BEACH Mar04 Dec31 Nov25 Nov04 Oct08 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 ★    
2  JOHN THE BEAR Jun11 May25 Apr29 Feb26 Feb18 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
3  SWOT ANALYSIS Jul20 Jun10 Apr28 Mar05 Feb02 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
4  STORMY PATTERN Jul20 May20 Apr07 Mar03 Jan08 (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00    
SCR  DESERT RULER Jul22 Jul15 Jun23 May06 Apr29 (romero r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 15.00    
6  PRIVET MOON Jul07 Nov13 Oct22 Jan08   (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  RADIEUX May31 May10 Mar22 Dec13 Nov23 (catalano l)ROCCO S 122 30.00    
8  FREE SOUL Aug12 Jul14 Jun10 Oct01 Sep06 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00    
9  CHARGE TO VICTORY Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 May27 May13 (howard da)CARRASCO R 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
10  GALAXY MUSIC Jul20 Jul01 Jun03 Apr08 Feb12 (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00    
 
CNL-4   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL CONQUEST Aug03 Jul04 Jun22 May24 May03 (lake a)CRUZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER Aug07 Jul24 Jun16 May26 May05 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
3  SUPREME LAW Aug13 Jul20 Feb12 Jan06 Dec11 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
4  CALMING STORM Aug04 Jul21 May25 May04   (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  OCCASIONAL MOON Aug11 Jul22 Jul07 Jun21 May29 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  DUCKPINS Aug06 Dec30 Nov27 Sep05   (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
7  LAMARVELOUS Aug03 Apr30 Feb20 Jan21 Nov20 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
8  RUNNING RIVER Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr15 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
9  MIDNIGHT RENEGADE May25         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
10  FOLE'S NOTION Aug03 Jun20 May31 Apr26 Apr13 (pickett c)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
 
CNL-5   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF POWER Jun02 Mar29 Mar03 Feb01 Dec07 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
2  FEMINISTA Aug02 Jul15 Jun20 May26 Nov13 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
3  SWEET FACTOR Jul29 Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 May18 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 20.00    
4  LUCIDITY Aug02 Jan08 Nov19 Oct13 Oct01 (william)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00    
5  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Aug04 Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 May22 (sanchez-pinero a)RIQUELME J 123 30.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS WAVE Jul09 May26 Apr22 Apr01   (h)GIL ALEJANDRO 118 10.00    
7  LITTLE NUTTER Nov05 Oct28 Sep10 Aug13   (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
8  VELOCISSIMA Aug13 Jul23 Jun30 Jun02 Apr29 (romero r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 ★    
9  SPOOKY SPICE Jun01 Apr20 Feb22 Dec10 Oct29 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
10  BALLYHOOLY Aug04 Jun23 Jun02 May07   (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
11  TOVIA Jul14 May18 Apr08 Mar31 Feb03 (cazares )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
12  LUNA WEST Aug05 Jul07 Jun17 Apr07   (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER (BRZ) Aug16 Aug03 Jul05 Jun02 May19 (morzan e)RIQUELME J 123 30.00    
2  GLOBAL SENSATION Jul20 May17 Mar11 Feb17 Dec31 (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  LITTLE G T Jul20 Nov22 Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Aug03 Jul08 Jun24 Dec18 Nov27 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOFFO KID Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Nov24 Oct06 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50    
6  NO ME DIGAS Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun17 May27 (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 30.00    
7  NICKY BEAR Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 May25 May05 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
8  BOCA GUY Jul13 May27 Apr02 Mar03 Dec31 (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 ★    
9  ESOR Jul04 May23 May16 Apr10 Feb27 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEA STREET         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
2  MS. TART         (beattie )GALLARDO A 119 4.00 7% 13.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHEZA SWEET LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  VARIEGATE Aug10 Jul13       (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALWAAN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  FIRST TO ARRIVE Jul22         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
5  DETERMINED BLUE Aug11         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DRINKING DIXIE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  CALL THE QUESTION Aug11 Jul13 Jun03 May05   (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 1.60 18% 4.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
7  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Aug02 Jul11       (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THIRSTY MADAM by STAY THIRSTY)
8  SHARMIN         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00    
  (by MOSLER out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
9  MISSY BOSS Aug11         (allen f)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
SCR  SHORESY Aug03 Jul13       (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CNL-8   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY HOPE Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 May11 Apr20 (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY Aug02 Jun26 Jun12 May16 Dec28 (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
3  SIX FEET APART Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 Apr06 Feb16 (cazares )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 55% 0.80    
4  AUBURN Mar19 Feb12 Feb03 Jan20 Jan04 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
5  BEACH HOUSE Aug12 Jul21 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 8.00 6% 15.60    
6  TRUE ATKA Jul06 May24 May06 Apr08 Mar08 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
7  LADY JEAN Aug03 Jun23 Jun11 May26 May06 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  SPEAK YOUR MIND Aug10 Jul15 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00    
9  LADY NOY Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul01 May20 (parra her)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
10  SUMMER AT THE SPA Aug12 Jul29 Jul11 Jun12 May31 (lake a)ROCCO S 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST LANI Aug12 Jun25 May27 Oct28 Sep17 (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESSIE BLUE Aug17 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 May07 (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  MELINOE Jul18 Jul08 Jun15 Apr23 Feb16 (zook w)CARDOSO DAVID 118 6.00    
SCR  THE MONSTER IRUS Aug11 Aug02 Jul20 Jul01 Apr05 (cascallares nest)AVILES YAN 118 15.00    
4  REBEL CONSORT Aug03 Jul08 Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRAIZER Aug18 Aug02       (william)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00    
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 May13 Apr23 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00    
7  QUARANTINI Aug02 Jul02 Jun10     (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00    
8  NO SHARING Aug05 Jul21 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 118 30.00    
9  FROSTY SECRET Aug17 Jul21 Jul01 May05 Apr26 (manning d)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
10  FORTUNE TELLER Jun21 May24 Apr01 Aug11   (brion ker)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  PASSIONFORQUALITY Aug12         (munoz ca)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 9% 10.00    
12  AIN'T NONCENTS Aug18 Jul27 Jul13     (duffy sean)ROCCO S 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.