Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
CT-2   Win (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
CT-3   Win (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
CT-4   Win (2/5/11/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $13.00  
CT-5   Win (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
CT-6   Win (7/9/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
CT-7   Win (3/10/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
CT-8   Win (2/5/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:15     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHINWITHCINDY 6 4 2 2½   11 1 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.00 30% 2.30 2.60 W
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 1 2 7 69   21 2 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 1.20 37% 1.70 0.90 P
DASHING LASS 2 3 5 3   3 3 (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 11.20  
LINDA'S TAJ 7 6 1 1½   4 412¼ (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 11% 8.10 5.00  
EMBRACEABLE 4 7 6 79   5 514¾ (viands r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 7.00  
IMAGINE RITA 5 5 4 5   610½ 624¼ (boyce l)ADAMS L 113 15.00 39.20  
ALL THE ENVY 3 1 3 47   728½ 790 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 39.60  
 
CT-2   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:152 1:43   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CHAMP 4 4 2nk 1nk 12 17 1 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 28% 2.50 3.10 W
LOKOYA ROAD 2 7 6 5 55 27 2 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 3.80  
ROCKY DICE 1 2 5 6 7 59 3 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 9.60  
ROYAL CRUSADER 5 1 3.2 4 44 49 4 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 32% 2.20 5.30  
JASONTAKESLONG 7 6 1nk 2nk 22 3 5 (mancilla a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 1.40  
LADDIE LIAM 3 3 74 7 68 612 6 (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 14% 6.40 14.70  
FIVE STAR PHIL 6 5 4 32 34 712¼ 716 (mancilla ca)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
SCR  ELVIRUS               (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
 
CT-3   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:134     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMYS SHOWTIME 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 11 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 3.10  
THEWITCHISGONE 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 21 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 17% 4.80 1.30 P
LEG UP 5 4 31 33   3 3 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 18% 4.60 6.70 S
MISS YOU AJAX 4 5 6 611¼   510 48 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00 32.40  
TIMMY 3 3 5 5   46 59 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
ICE COLD FROSTY 7 7 42 44   611½ 614½ (mancilla a)CRUZ ANGEL 113 8.00 4.00  
RUN TO DAYLIGHT 6 6 7 713¾   713½ 717 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 114 6.00 41% 1.40 10.90  
SCR  DISTANT FIRE               (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 116 10.00    
 
CT-4   08/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:223 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANDY 1 7 1nk     2nk 1½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5.50  
WYSOQUIET 5 5 2nk     1nk 2½ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50 10.10  
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART 4 4 5     33 3 (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 25% 2.90 2.80 S
TAKE YOUR TIME 8 2 3½     4 4 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
11  RACING HOT LINE 10 1 8     8 5 (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 23% 3.30 3.90  
SOUL CATCHER 2 10 6     6 6 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.60  
CANDY FOR JUBA 6 6 4     5 7 (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 46.30  
ALEXANDER GRADY 7 3 7     7 8 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
10  GREATEST NOTION 9 9 912¾     910¼ 95 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 12.90  
DIRECT PROOF 3 8 1013¼     1016¾ 1010½ (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 30.00 65.10  
SCR  YACHTSMEN               (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
CT-5   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:13     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL 2 2 2nk 1½   12 12 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 11% 8.20 4.90 W
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) 3 5 6 68   3 22 (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 5% 17.50 4.00 P
RAD PAISLEY 8 8 1nk 2½   22 33 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 47% 1.10 1.20 S
FROG TOWN 5 6 7 7   5 4 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.00 11% 7.70 4.90  
PYEONG CHANG 4 3 33 3   4 5 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 9.30  
LIKE SEGAL 6 4 44 47   610½ 616½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 21.90  
E J'S REVENGE 1 1 8 812½   812¾ 717 (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 43.00  
MR HOOVER 7 7 5 57   710¾ 817¼ (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 13.40  
 
CT-6   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCCASIONAL MOON 7 3 1 1   1 1 (maldonado jonathan)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 55% 0.80 0.80 W
TEMPESTIVO 8 7 2 2   2 2 (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 15.30 P
10  LOCO 10 10 53 5   412½ 311 (hetrick kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 14.30  
DREAM FORCE 3 4 3 35   311½ 413½ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 2.40  
YO VINNIE 9 9 42 45   513½ 514¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 110 4.50 15% 5.60 4.30  
EL REY DE PAPA 1 2 8 817   619½ 618½ (cornwell james )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 92.30  
LIL BUDDY 5 8 1022¼ 1029   826 729½ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 56.00  
RUSH TO CANDY 4 5 6 615½   724 829¾ (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00 77.40  
BOOYAH 2 1 910¼ 920   930 939¼ (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 12.00 5% 19.00 48.50  
SMOKIN SMITTY 6 6 7 716   1031 1044¼ (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 ######  
 
CT-7   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT 8 3 11 1½   12 1 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 3.50 18% 4.50 3.00 W
TREASURER 2 1 4 4   22 2 (meyers madiso)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00 5% 18.50 4.30 P
I'M THE MONEY MAN 3 7 9 710½   7 3 (sigler ronald)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 5.00 26% 2.80 2.60 S
O'RIGSBY 5 4 54 5   5 4 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 116 15.00 14.90  
VAGABOND VIRGIN 6 5 3 3   33 54 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 9% 9.60 7.10  
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 4 6 6 6   6 66 (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 110 12.00 11.00  
10  JAZZ WITH DENIS 10 8 21 2½   43 7 (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 21% 3.70 4.80  
ALDRINALINE 7 9 10 1013¼   910¾ 8 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 20.00 53.40  
RED HOT TODDY 9 10 7 811   1012¾ 917¼ (jones e)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 37.80  
OFFICER STONE 1 2 8 911¼   810¾ 1018½ (figgins l)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 53.20  
 
CT-8   08/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:222 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL ATTITUDE 2 6 21     1 1 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 16% 5.40 2.80 W
ELLIES AT WINDSOR 1 8 45     5 2 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 118 1.60 32% 2.20 2.10 P
10  POWER SONDE 9 1 56     6 3 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 20.00 53.60  
PATTI BLUE EYES 3 7 3     2 4 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 8% 10.90 4.10  
IT'S A REAL HONOR 5 9 68     4 5 (perez ern)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 6 4 8     7 6 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 17.00  
ABUNDANT STORY 8 2 913     911 7 (sharp j)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 16.10  
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE 7 3 7     89 816¾ (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 87.60  
CAT WITH A NOTION 4 5 11     3 917 (figgins l)RIOS-CONDE A 118 5.00 24% 3.20 2.60  
SCR  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS               (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.