Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-2   Win (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-3   Win (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (2/5/11/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-5   Win (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-6   Win (7/9/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-7   Win (3/10/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-8   Win (2/5/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jul22 Jul13 Jun22 May26 Apr28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
DASHING LASS Jul30 Jul07       (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
ALL THE ENVY Mar17 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Nov16 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMBRACEABLE Jun30 May29 May02     (viands r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50    
IMAGINE RITA Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 Mar07 Feb20 (boyce l)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
SMOOCHINWITHCINDY         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
LINDA'S TAJ Jun22 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
CT-2   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELVIRUS Jul26 Jun15 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
ROCKY DICE Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 May26 May04 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
LOKOYA ROAD Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 May20 May05 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00    
LADDIE LIAM Jun24 Jun02 May12 Apr22 Mar31 (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 14% 6.40    
HAPPY CHAMP Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Jun02 May13 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 28% 2.50    
ROYAL CRUSADER Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 May07 Apr07 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 32% 2.20    
FIVE STAR PHIL Jul21 Jul01 Jun18 Apr02 Feb24 (mancilla ca)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JASONTAKESLONG Jul10 Jun18 May29 Apr02 Feb20 (mancilla a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
 
CT-3   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISTANT FIRE Jul30 Jul07 Jun09 Apr30 Apr01 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 116 10.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Jul21 May27 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
REMYS SHOWTIME Jul27 Jul19 Jun15 May27 May19 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80    
TIMMY Jul25 Jun27 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS YOU AJAX Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May26 May04 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
LEG UP Jul21 Jul07 Jun03 May11 Apr13 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jul12 Jun23 May22 Apr01 Jan27 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 114 6.00 41% 1.40    
ICE COLD FROSTY Jul22 Jun11 May19 Feb12 Dec31 (mancilla carl)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
 
CT-4   08/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANDY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
SOUL CATCHER Jul21         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
DIRECT PROOF Jul21 Jun30       (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
SCR  YACHTSMEN         (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jun30         (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 25% 2.90    
WYSOQUIET Jun30 Jun16 May26     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50    
CANDY FOR JUBA Jul21 Jun30       (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
ALEXANDER GRADY         (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE YOUR TIME         (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  GREATEST NOTION Jul21 Jun30       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
11  RACING HOT LINE         (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-5   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E J'S REVENGE Jul13 May29 Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
OVERLY CRITICAL Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr01 Mar01 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 11% 8.20    
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 Nov13 (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 5% 17.50    
PYEONG CHANG Jun24 Jun02 May18 Apr01 Feb18 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 112 8.00    
FROG TOWN Aug04 Jul14 May18 Apr08 Feb20 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.00 11% 7.70    
LIKE SEGAL Jul16 Jun02 Apr01 Mar16 Jan19 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
MR HOOVER Jul14 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Oct22 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50    
RAD PAISLEY Jun30 Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
CT-6   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL REY DE PAPA         (cornwell james )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOOYAH Jun21 May19 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM FORCE May14 Feb18 Dec26 Nov19 Jul22 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
RUSH TO CANDY Jul26 Jun30 Jun09 May04 Mar26 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
LIL BUDDY Jul29         (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
SMOKIN SMITTY Jul08 Jun22       (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
OCCASIONAL MOON Jul22 Jul07 Jun21 May29 May05 (maldonado jonathan)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
TEMPESTIVO Jul21 Jun16 May05 Apr13   (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
YO VINNIE Jul21 Jul01       (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 110 4.50 15% 5.60    
10  LOCO Jul09 Jun22 Nov09 Oct12 Sep17 (hetrick kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00    
 
CT-7   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICER STONE Jul15 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Apr06 (figgins l)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
TREASURER Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 Mar30 Mar10 (meyers madiso)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00 5% 18.50    
I'M THE MONEY MAN Jul21 Jun30 May19 Apr28 Apr06 (sigler ronald)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 5.00 26% 2.80    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jul21 Jul07 Jun30 Jun03 May19 (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 110 12.00    
O'RIGSBY Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 116 15.00    
VAGABOND VIRGIN Jul22         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
ALDRINALINE Jul21 Oct12 Sep14     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 20.00    
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Jun30 May13 Apr28 Mar31   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 3.50 18% 4.50    
RED HOT TODDY Jul15 May26 Apr07 Feb23 Jan26 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
10  JAZZ WITH DENIS Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
CT-8   08/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS May11 Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 Feb24 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
ELLIES AT WINDSOR Jul20 Jul07 May19 Apr29 Mar18 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 118 1.60 32% 2.20    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jul07 Jun03 May11 Apr28   (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
PATTI BLUE EYES Jul28 Jun24 May25 Mar31 Mar09 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
CAT WITH A NOTION Jul07 May18 Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 (figgins l)RIOS-CONDE A 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
IT'S A REAL HONOR Jun30 Jun03 May11 Apr15 Apr01 (perez ern)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
I SHALLBE RELEASED Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr21 Apr07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jun30 Apr15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
ABUNDANT STORY Jul24         (sharp j)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
10  POWER SONDE Jul07 May18 Apr07 Jan18 Dec01 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.