Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-4   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $18.40 $10.40 130%
    DD (5/9/7/8/2)-(3/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-4 $34.10 $14.10 71%
LRL-5   EXA (7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $36.50 $16.50 83%
    TRI (7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-8-3 $399.20 $369.20 1231%
    SFT (7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3)-(7/1/2/8/3) 120 $1.00 $120  7-8-3-1 $4140 $4020 3351%
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(7/1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-7 $43.00 $23.00 115%
    PK3 (5/9/7/8/2)-(3/6/1/4)-(7/1/2/8/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00  9-4-7 $56.50 $6.50 13%
LRL-6   PK3 (3/6/1/4)-(7/1/2/8/3)-(10/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-7-2/10 $46.10 $16.10 54%
LRL-7   PK4 (3/6/1/4)-(7/1/2/8/3)-(10/1/8)-(4/8/3/2) 240 $0.50 $120  4-7-2/10-8 $244.25 $124.25 104%
LRL-10   DD (7/4/8/3/1)-(5/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-2 $29.70 $9.70 49%

Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT 6 1 56 6 5 2½ 1 (downing will)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00 8.40  
RED WIND 1 4 33 35 2 33 2 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 25% 3.10 2.20 P
CANADIAN GINGER 3 3 2nk 1½ 1 1½ 33 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 18% 4.70 4.90 S
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT 4 8 7 710½ 711 56 4 (sweezey kent)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.50 28% 2.60 8.80  
CUPIDS DREAM 5 2 4 45 46 45 5 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
MARY JANE CHROME 7 7 8 59 6 7 6 (geralis ema)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 12.00 5.80  
CALL ON CLARA 8 10 912¼ 915 813½ 8 7 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 30.00 5% 19.00 61.60  
11  LINNY KATE 10 9 1nk 2½ 3 6 88 (noda orland)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00 3.60  
10  TOUT ENSEMBLE 9 6 1014¼ 1015¼ 1015¾ 1013½ 911 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 30.00 20.60  
EVANGELINE ALLONS 2 5 67 811½ 913¾ 912½ 1016 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 50.00 97.90  
SCR  PRINCESS JAVONCIA               (hendriks )HERNANDEZ F 123 4.50    
 
LRL-2   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:58
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:124 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG LUCKY 5 1 12 1 11 12 1 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 1.50  
FOOL YOURSELF 2 3 4 4 21 22 2 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.80 45% 1.20 3.30 P
ANNA ROCKS 6 2 22 3 56 46 3 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 16.20  
CHELSEA WALL 1 6 6 6 4 36 4 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.50  
CANOODLE 4 4 32 2 3 5 5 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 8.00  
SWEET TALIA 3 5 5 54 610 612¼ 619¾ (mcfarlane b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
 
LRL-3   08/19/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :463 :58     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIDEWATER 8 7 43 53   1½ 11 (aguirre ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 4.50 6% 15.20 1.70 W
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
WINDSOR PARK 6 8 7 6   4 21 (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 3.00 6.70  
  (by MASTERY out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ROCKINGHAM JOE 5 1 11 1   2½ 3 (downing wil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.80 59% 0.70 1.50 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DYNA BLAST 4 2 64 43   3 4 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 12.00 9.50  
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of ELUSIVE SURPRISE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LUNAR DASH 7 4 31 2   54 56 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00 5% 18.10 7.70  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of DIBBLE DASH by JUMP START)
STORMY FIRE 3 6 8 78   77 6 (demario)BRICENO GREGOR 121 30.00 62.60  
  (by XIXIXI out of STORMY BAY by GIO PONTI)
SMOOTH MOTION 2 3 21 32   6 7 (preciado gua)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of RAISING AIDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SERGEANT SHERMAN 1 5 5 8   811 814½ (howard davi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 30.00 66.10  
  (by V. E. DAY out of PTARMIGAN by UNBRIDLED JET)
SCR  SURPRISE HELLO               (mcclure dia)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of HELLO NOW by TIZNOW)
 
LRL-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLA'S GLORY 3 7 710¾ 7   54 1½ (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
IN MY OPINION 4 5 56 56   4 2½ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 6.00 4.40  
JACKSON'S DIXIE 6 1 4 42   2 3 (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.50 26% 2.80 4.80 S
POGGIBONSI 2 4 1nk 2nk   1 4 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 31% 2.20 1.50  
1A  GOLDIENESS 5 3 3½ 31   32 5 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 21% 3.90 2.80  
VOODOO MAMA JUJU 7 2 6 6   711½ 614 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 117 15.00 18.80  
SISTER SUPREAM 1 6 2nk 1nk   6 714¾ (gorham)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00 18.90  
SCR  BIOGENIC BABE               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50    
 
LRL-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANNON'S ROAR 7 5 54 43 3 1nk 1½ (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
BRYCE CANYON 8 7 67 8 8 32 2½ (kelly blake)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00 7% 13.20 14.50 P
IMAGINE IT ALL 3 1 11 11 11 2nk 3 (frock c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 40.20 S
BATTALION 1 9 9 7 55 5 4 (klesar)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 2.50 20% 4.10 1.70  
HUNTER JOE 5 3 43 53 7 6 5 (smith hamilton)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00 7.00  
SEMPER FI 4 2 21 21 4 7 6 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 10.10  
JOHNG 2 8 8 6 65 8 7 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00 14% 6.40 6.20  
SOVEREIGN WARRIOR 9 4 3 3 21 45 8 (guerrero guada)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 16.50  
JAMMIN STILL 6 6 77 9 9 910¾ 917 (caison )BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00 48.60  
 
LRL-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOX N BEN 9 1 44 3   11 1 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 54% 0.80 1.10 W
MARGIE'S FUN SON 5 9 912¼ 89   55 2 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50 2.00 P
INFINITE SERIES 3 6 8 79   44 3 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 121 15.00 13.80  
AUSTIN FROM BOSTON 7 2 68 5   21 4 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.40  
DOWSING ROD 6 7 34 44   6 58 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 6.20  
ISRAELI ARMY 1 3 1 1   32 613¼ (felici)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00 22% 3.50 10.50  
THE BIG ENCHILADA 2 8 2 2   77 713¼ (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00 30.20  
AFFAMATO 8 5 7 913   912½ 816¾ (klesaris ro)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 5.00 21.50  
FOR HONOR AND LUCK 4 4 57 6   89 918¾ (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 121 20.00 50.90  
SCR  MOONSET               (frock c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 30.00    
 
LRL-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:234 :461 1:104 1:234   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY MUNNI 7 1 3 3 26 24 1 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 12% 7.00 2.90 W
BOB MARCO 6 3 1nk 13 16 14 2 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 112 4.00 4.60  
SILENT MALICE 5 7 6 6 612½ 511½ 3 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 3.50  
UNCAPTURED STORM 2 4 46 4 49 37 4 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
DIXIE DRAWL 1 6 710¾ 712¾ 714½ 612½ 5 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 13.60  
SEVIER 4 2 2nk 23 38 4 6 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60  
GUILLAUME 3 5 5 5 511 713½ 712¾ (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
SCR  MYSTIC LINK               (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 20.00    
 
LRL-8   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM All Brandy Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN KATIE 1 2 6 6 6 3 1hd (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.10 DQ↓5
  (by UNKNOWN out of APRIL LADY by SMART STRIKE)
GOLD DIGGING BROAD 3 3 12 1½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 115 30.00 21.10  
  (by MINESHAFT out of BRUSHED BY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 6 4 22 3½ 2nk 2nk 3¾ (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 117 2.00 48% 1.10 1.60 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
CHELICHNA 5 7 7 7 7 7 41 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.80 S
  (by SEVILLE out of IRON MAGGIE by WAR CHANT)
AMPLIO ESQUEMA 4 6 33 4 56 4 5 (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 8.80  
  (by SEVILLE out of BROAD OUTLINE by SMART STRIKE)
10  DRY WELL 7 8 5 5 43 5 63 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 120 30.00 65.40  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of PERVERSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  COCONUT CAKE 8 5 4 2½ 32 6 73 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80 9% 9.70 2.40  
  (by BANDBOX out of ENGLISH MUFFIN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
POLICE WOMAN 2 1 811 812¼ 812¾ 8 8 (woodit joseph)DELGADO A 120 50.00 41.90  
  (by CONGRATS out of OFFICER BUNS by OFFICER)
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION               (albertrani thoma)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of NO MEANS NO by POLICE CAR)
SCR  INTREPID DAYDREAM               (capuano a)TBA 120 1.20    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
SCR  MALIBU BEAUTY               (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE               (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 120 3.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TAYLOR JAGGER by STUDENT COUNCIL)
 
LRL-9   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Find Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELD PASS 3 9 7 5 5 32 1¼ (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 2.00 20% 4.00 4.10 W
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
CRABS N BEER 4 2 4 3 3 2 2¼ (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 6.00  
  (by BLOFELD out of GET'M UP PRONTO by KITALPHA)
WISH ME HOME 7 1 1 1 13 1 3¾ (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 15% 5.80 7.40 S
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNTILTHEREWASYOU by BIG BROWN)
THE ADDISON POUR 2 8 911 810 811½ 65 41 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 5.00 6% 15.30 3.10  
  (by TONALIST out of GRASER by MOTIVATOR)
11  TAPPIN CAT 9 4 2 2 23 4 53 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 10.00 23.30  
  (by TRITAP out of ELUSORY by BROKEN VOW)
SKY'S NOT FALLING 6 5 58 4 45 5 6 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.00  
  (by SEVILLE out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
10  MY BOY PADDY 8 7 8 7 710½ 7 7 (rivera justin)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00 80.70  
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of WILDHEARTSNEVERDIE by GATORS N BEARS)
B DETERMINED 5 6 6 68 6 87 86 (stettinius )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00 14.40  
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of SMART POLICY by SMART STRIKE)
WICKED PRANKSTER 1 3 3 9100 9100 9100 9100 (davis g)MONTERREY R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
  (by MOSLER out of BROKEN TRUST FUND by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  GALERIO               (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.80    
  (by JUMP START out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
SCR  TOM HAGEN               (meyers madiso)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 20.00    
  (by EL PADRINO out of FRIVOLOUS PAL by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
LRL-10   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:152 1:421   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY HEIR 2 5 5 4 5 2 1¼ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.00 24% 3.30 3.20 W
OROCOVIX 1 4 6 66 6 5 2¼ (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 121 3.50 3.70  
SPECTRIER 7 6 4 5 34 6 3¾ (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 2.50 3.30  
HE'S ON FIRE 4 2 2 21 1nk 1 41 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 30.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
TYLER TIME 3 1 33 32 4 3 5 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 10% 8.90 19.40  
ESPRESSO LUNGO 6 7 7 7 7 7 62 (salazar)BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00 4.70  
SUPERSTITIEUX 5 3 1 11 2nk 4 7 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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