Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-4   TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/6)-(3/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-9 $9.50 $3.50 58%
CNL-5   DD (3/9/6)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-6 $16.00 $4.00 33%
CNL-7   TRI (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-2-4 $27.90 $3.90 16%
    SFT (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-2-4-6 $7.12 $4.72 197%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ANOTHER PLAY 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 12 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 116 1.60 36% 1.80 1.50 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
FULL PROOF 2 4 4 4   4 22 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 3.10  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of AVA AGAIN by BOWMAN'S BAND)
TWO BRONZE STARS 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
CONCENTRATION 6 3 3½ 3.2   32 4 (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 15.00 21.60  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
NANCY MADE MY DAY 4 6 6 5   54 55 (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00 16.70  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of JUMPIN' NANCY by JUMP START)
JACK CLOUD 3 5 52 6   610 619¼ (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of EVRY LIL BREEZE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  ELVIS HIMSELF               (salazar marco)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
 
CNL-2   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LEGEND 5 9 7 6   3 1¼ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00 12.20  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MARK ME SPECIAL by HAYMAKER)
PARK PLACE 2 4 4 3   11 2¼ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 124 1.60 52% 0.90 1.90 P
  (by MASTERY out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
EL CERRITO 8 6 6 74   6 3 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
Z DANCER 1 5 5 5   7 4 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 4.50  
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
STUDY COMMITTEE 3 8 8 84   52 5 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 3.00 23% 3.30 5.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
DARK DAHLIA 7 7 9 95   8 63 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 6.00 8.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
JORDI'S DREAM 9 1 3.2 1nk   21 7 (manchan )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 114 30.00 57.30  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
HIGH STAKES 4 2 1nk 2nk   42 85 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00 7.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN HISTORY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CATALINA EXPRESS 6 3 2nk 4   9 912 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GILDED ARROW by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
CNL-3   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL AVENUE 2 9 95 96   5 1½ (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5.10  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
PERFECTLY WICKED 3 8 85 86   2nk 2½ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 13.20  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
LOU ANNA 9 5 7 5   1nk 3 (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00 24.10  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
STEAMPUNK 6 6 6 6   62 46 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 19% 4.30 2.50  
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAM by STATE CRAFT)
PUSSYCAT 1 1 1½ 1½   3½ 5 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 21% 3.80 4.60  
  (by GIRVIN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
CANDY DOLL 8 4 3½ 3½   41 68 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 15% 5.60 4.10  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
DISTANT LOVER 5 2 5 72   7 710 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7.60  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE DIPPER by ESKENDEREYA)
LIAM'S MESSAGE 4 7 41 4   8 819¼ (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.90  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
OSO 7 3 2½ 2½   912½ 927¾ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 72.30  
  (by DESTIN out of RESERVATION BLUES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CNL-4   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:243 :512 1:162 1:281   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISPERING SEA 4 2 4 4 3½ 1 13 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
TINA TINA TINA 1 4 32 3 41 2 23 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30 P
COPPER BOUND 6 1 21 2½ 2nk 32 3 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.30 S
JASSAI 5 6 65 5 5 45 4 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 28.70  
WILMA FLINTSHIRE 3 5 5 6 6 55 59 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 12.00  
STATELY APRIL 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 67 612¼ (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 35.30  
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM               (englehart jeff)ROSADO JOHAN 119 20.00    
SCR  SHORESY               (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 2.50    
SCR  THURSDAY GIRL               (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
 
CNL-5   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:232 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. PAT'S DAY 5 7 31 31   2½ 1 (cazares )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 27% 2.60 3.20 W
BUNTY WINDERMERE 6 2 2½ 2½   1½ 2 (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00 2.70  
BALLYHOOLY 2 5 73 6   44 3 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 125 3.00 39% 1.60 1.20 S
STRATEGY QUEEN 4 8 85 8   66 4 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 20.00 6% 16.90 16.50  
LOVIELEE 1 1 1½ 1½   31 5 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
TRIPLET 7 3 41 42   56 612 (gilliam karen )CASTANON L 123 6.00 11.00  
MICHEAUX 8 4 5 5   78 713½ (clement roland)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00 13.40  
MY SISTER CLURRIE 3 6 6 7   811½ 815½ (williams gary )ROCCO S 123 10.00 53.60  
SCR  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN               (brown a)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
 
CNL-6   08/31/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:372   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. HYDE 4 7 6 7 7 3.2 1 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 19.40  
HERE'S LIAM 2 6 42 4 4 4 2 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 3.50 3.90  
KING COVEE 7 5 7 6 6 1nk 3 (godsey d)ROCCO S 118 3.00 52% 0.90 2.30 S
GIANTSBANE 6 4 2½ 1nk 11 2nk 4 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 5.40  
DITHER 1 1 1½ 2nk 31 5 510¼ (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 18% 4.60 1.90  
AWESOME CITY 5 3 52 5 5 6 612½ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 7.70  
ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE 3 2 31 31 21 7 718½ (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  WIRED IN               (white ale)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
 
CNL-7   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC SEAPORT 8 5 31 2nk   13 16 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.00 21% 3.80 0.90 W
MATTY BO 2 1 1½ 1nk   23 26 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 2.50 5% 18.20 7.00 P
BABY LUCK 4 3 5 4   38 3 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 3.50 47% 1.10 3.80 S
FASHIONISTA 6 7 74 6   410 47 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
SOME NIGHTS 1 4 6 5   510 510 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 29.20  
FANCY WARRIOR 7 8 87 8   715 616¾ (ashby lyn)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 9.00  
PUSH 3 2 2½ 32   614 720¾ (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00 12.40  
WIN OR CELLAR 5 6 42 7   818 822¾ (mcgoey moni)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 30.00 31.90  
 
CNL-8   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAL'S BLUE JACKET 5 4 4 38 33 2nk 1½ (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 15% 5.80 2.70 W
CHACALOSA 1 2 2nk 22 2½ 1nk 2½ (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00 4.90  
SURYA (ARG) 9 10 1013¼ 1014¾ 1010¼ 9 3 (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 32% 2.20 2.70 S
LEA RO 2 5 5 811½ 9 7 4 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 122 10.00 7.70  
WINTER PRINCESS 6 8 6 49 4 4 5 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 9% 10.40 7.20  
10  INSTINCTIVE 10 7 8 710½ 8 8 6 (moore michael )ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00 20% 4.00 11.40  
LUCK IN THE DUSK 7 9 910¼ 911¾ 55 54 7 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 20.40  
KIZZY 3 1 1nk 12 1½ 32 8 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 9.70  
FUNNY ENOUGH 4 3 35 5 65 65 9 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 122 6.00 33.30  
MANDY GREEN 8 6 7 610½ 7 10 1012¼ (zook w)LEON A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
 
CNL-9   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BRIGHT MOON 9 8 7 74   4 1¼ (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
MI CORAZON 2 7 4 32   21 2¼ (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.00 43% 1.30 2.50 P
MUNNIS PRETTY 7 5 5 4   31 31 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00 8.50  
BEER BALI 4 3 2nk 2nk   11 4 (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 6.00 3.70  
RED DELICIOUS 6 6 6 6   5 5 (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 74.80  
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 5 9 9 8   7 6 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
AHSOKA 3 1 8 96   8 7 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 30.00 29.00  
SPUN IN A MILLION 1 2 1nk 1nk   6 811½ (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 12.00 14.70  
10  LOVE ME OR DON'T 8 4 3.2 5   919¼ 927¾ (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00 66.20  
SCR  CHALICE               (merryman elizabe)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50    
SCR  CHANTILLY MOON (PER)               (brown a)ACOSTA D null      
SCR  MAKE MINE A STELLA               (mcgoey moni)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  NO MORE FIRE               (rivera xavier)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S IMAGE               (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.