Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/3/6)-(4/1/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(4/1/6/8)-(3/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8)-(3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8)-(3/9/6)-(3/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (3/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/6)-(3/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/6)-(3/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/9/6)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6)-(3/6/5/1)-(7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(7/1/3)-(4/8/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(4/8/2/6)-(9/10/5/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6)-(9/10/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/6)-(9/10/5/6/8)-(3/11/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-8   WIN (9/10/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/6/8)-(9/10/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/6/8)-(9/10/5/6/8)-(9/10/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/5/6/8)-(3/11/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-9   WIN (3/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/7)-(3/11/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/11/7)-(3/11/6/7)-(3/11/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO BRONZE STARS Aug05 Jul14       (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
2  FULL PROOF         (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of AVA AGAIN by BOWMAN'S BAND)
3  JACK CLOUD Aug10         (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of EVRY LIL BREEZE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  NANCY MADE MY DAY Aug11 Jul14       (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of JUMPIN' NANCY by JUMP START)
5  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Aug11         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 116 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
6  CONCENTRATION Aug19 Jul14       (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
SCR  ELVIS HIMSELF         (salazar marco)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
 
CNL-2   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z DANCER Aug09 Jun23 May29 May05 Apr01 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
2  PARK PLACE Aug04 Jan26 Dec11     (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by MASTERY out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  STUDY COMMITTEE Aug04 Jun25       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DOMINUS out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
4  HIGH STAKES Aug06 Jun30 Jun09     (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN HISTORY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  JACK'S LEGEND         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MARK ME SPECIAL by HAYMAKER)
6  CATALINA EXPRESS Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May28 Apr21 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GILDED ARROW by GOLDEN MISSILE)
7  DARK DAHLIA Aug10 Jul10 Jun19 May24 Apr15 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 6.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
8  EL CERRITO Aug03 Jun14 May23 Sep14 Aug21 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
9  JORDI'S DREAM Aug18 Jun30       (manchan )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 114 30.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
 
CNL-3   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUSSYCAT Aug02         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  CENTRAL AVENUE         (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
3  PERFECTLY WICKED         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  LIAM'S MESSAGE Aug12 Jun25 May27 May12 Apr28 (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
5  DISTANT LOVER         (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE DIPPER by ESKENDEREYA)
6  STEAMPUNK Aug02         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAM by STATE CRAFT)
7  OSO Aug17 Aug02       (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of RESERVATION BLUES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  CANDY DOLL Aug10 Jul13       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
9  LOU ANNA Jul20 May27       (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CNL-4   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORESY Aug03 Jul13       (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 2.50    
SCR  THURSDAY GIRL Aug10         (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
3  TINA TINA TINA Aug11 Jun17 May25     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  STATELY APRIL Aug11         (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
5  WILMA FLINTSHIRE Aug19 Jul22       (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
6  WHISPERING SEA Aug05 Jul17       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Aug01         (englehart jeff)ROSADO JOHAN 119 20.00    
8  JASSAI Aug24 Jul21 Jun10     (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00    
9  COPPER BOUND Jul04         (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-5   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVIELEE Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun09 Apr16 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Aug18 Jul07 May11 Apr20 Mar15 (brown a)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
3  BALLYHOOLY Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 Jun02 May07 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  MY SISTER CLURRIE Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 Aug26 Aug06 (williams gary )ROCCO S 123 10.00    
5  STRATEGY QUEEN Jul19 Mar03 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 123 20.00 6% 16.90    
6  ST. PAT'S DAY Jul13 Jun17 May20 Apr07 Feb15 (cazares )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 27% 2.60    
7  BUNTY WINDERMERE Aug17 Jul29 Jun03 Dec31 Dec09 (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00    
8  TRIPLET Aug17 Jul11 Apr07 Aug28 Jul01 (gilliam karen )CASTANON L 123 6.00    
9  MICHEAUX Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 May18 Apr01 (clement roland)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00    
 
CNL-6   08/31/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DITHER Aug04 Mar25 Feb10 Jan07   (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  HERE'S LIAM Aug11 Jul22 Jun16 May20 Apr15 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 3.50    
3  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May26 (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DR. HYDE Jul22 Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May16 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 20.00    
5  AWESOME CITY May27 May06       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
6  GIANTSBANE Aug10 Aug02 Jul09 Jun17 Oct09 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
7  KING COVEE Aug12 Jul22 Jul08     (godsey d)ROCCO S 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  WIRED IN Aug11 Jul07 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 (white ale)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
 
CNL-7   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME NIGHTS Aug18 Aug04 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
2  MATTY BO Aug18 Aug05 Jul26 May25 Jul27 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 2.50 5% 18.20    
3  PUSH Aug18 Aug30       (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00    
4  BABY LUCK Jul14 Apr19 Mar10 Aug10 Jul27 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  WIN OR CELLAR Apr30 Apr12 Mar05 Feb18 Jan27 (mcgoey moni)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 30.00    
6  FASHIONISTA Jul21 Jul02 Jun10 May25 Apr02 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  FANCY WARRIOR Jul06 Jun24 Jun15 Nov22 Oct29 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
8  MYSTIC SEAPORT Aug05 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 May14 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
CNL-8   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHACALOSA Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 Jun11 May15 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00    
2  LEA RO Jul27 Jun21 Jun01 Mar12 Feb19 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 122 10.00    
3  KIZZY Jun17 May21 May05 Mar24 Feb16 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
4  FUNNY ENOUGH Aug12 Jul22 May21 Apr02 Mar15 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 122 6.00    
5  SAL'S BLUE JACKET Aug04 Jun15 Sep19     (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  WINTER PRINCESS Aug12 Jul07 Sep29 Sep21 Jul13 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 9% 10.40    
7  LUCK IN THE DUSK Jul13 Apr28 Nov19 Oct29 Sep09 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
8  MANDY GREEN Jul25 Jul05 Apr23 Mar24 Feb25 (zook w)LEON A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SURYA (ARG) Jul27 Jul15 Jun03 May13 Oct20 (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
10  INSTINCTIVE Aug12 Aug04 Jun07 May11 Dec16 (moore micha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
CNL-9   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN IN A MILLION Jun10 Feb26       (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
SCR  CHALICE Aug10 Oct21 Sep11     (merryman elizabe)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50    
3  MI CORAZON May20 May07 Apr23 Mar23   (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  AHSOKA Jul13 Jun23 May27     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 30.00    
6  BEER BALI Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
7  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Aug18         (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RED DELICIOUS Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 Apr14 Mar17 (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00    
9  MUNNIS PRETTY Aug02 Jul14 Jul03 May18 May07 (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
10  LOVE ME OR DON'T Aug15         (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
11  BRIGHT MOON Jul27 Jun25 Dec30 Dec04   (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MAKE MINE A STELLA Aug18 Jul06       (mcgoey moni)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  NO MORE FIRE Jun30 Jun04 May05 Apr26 Apr08 (rivera xavier)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S IMAGE Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17   (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Jul27 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr27 (brown a)ACOSTA D null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.