Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $22.40  
SAR-2   Win (2/3/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $18.00  
SAR-3   Win (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $21.20  
SAR-4   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
SAR-5   Win (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
SAR-6   Win (2/1/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 1.80
SAR-7   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $25.20  
SAR-8   Win (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
SAR-9   Win (7/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
SAR-10   Win (10/4/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $41.00 $41.00 31.00
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WONDER RIDE 6 2 2½ 32   31 1½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.20  
3  STELLAMARIS 3 3 53 54   21 2½ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 35% 1.90 1.85 P
5  GENETICS 5 6 3½ 2½   11 31½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
7  CLEARLY A TEST 7 1 1½ 1½   42½ 47 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 2.40  
1  EXHILARATE 1 4 65 66   58½ 515½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 33% 2.10 5.00  
4  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 4 5 41 42½   610½ 619 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 9.70 8.00  
2  TAHITI ITI 2 7 78 720   735½ 759½ (albertrani thoma)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 24.25  
 
SAR-2   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:132     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DANCING SPIRIT 9 8 31½ 31 2nk 12 1½ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8.00  
3  SEA DANCER 2 3 53½ 53½ 41½ 22 2½ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 21% 3.80 7.70 P
6  LATTE LIZZIE 5 9 86 86 94¾ 53½ 33½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 18.50  
7  VINO ROUGE 6 7 96½ 96½ 73¼ 63¾ 43¾ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 20.40  
2  NIKITIS 1 1 64½ 64½ 63 99¼ 57 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 1.15  
5  BA DEE YAH 4 5 75½ 75 84¼ 88¾ 68 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 17.70  
9  DR. RAY D. 8 6 1½ 1nk 3½ 43½ 711½ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 20% 4.10 6.50  
8  OUT TOO LATE (GB) 7 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 33 812¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
4  LADY BLITZ 3 2 42½ 43 52 73¾ 915½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 18% 4.50 4.50  
SCR  STRIFE               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SENOR JOBIM 7 5 31 3½   1nk 1¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.60  
5  LASTCHANCEATGLORY 5 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 P
2  JEMOGRAPHY 2 2 41½ 51½   51¼ 31¼ (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 10% 9.00 9.50 S
6  NIFTY 6 7 64 41   41 41½ (diodoro robertino)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 7.00  
1  FLOAT ON 1 3 52½ 61¾   61¾ 51½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 3.40  
3  SWIFTSURE 3 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 61¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 11% 8.50 7.50  
4  SCILLY CAY 4 4 86 76¾   76¾ 76¾ (reynolds pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9% 10.10 5.70  
8  ALFIO 8 8 75½ 88¾   89¼ 813¾ (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 21.40  
 
SAR-4   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CITY FEVER 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 11½ (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.15 W
5  AMERICAN KNOW HOW 5 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 21½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.30  
2  CIGARETTE BOAT 2 5 42 52¼   43¾ 35¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 4.50  
1  BE THERE 1 2 32 31½   33½ 46¼ (zito nicholas )TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
8  GOLD FRANC (IRE) 7 6 65¼ 65¾   56¾ 59¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 13.70  
7  CUMBERLAND 6 7 712¼ 713¾   713¼ 611¾ (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 30% 2.40 4.10  
3  SPANISH DOUBLOON 3 3 52¼ 41¾   612¼ 716¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT               (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:133 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 3 3 42½ 23½ 2½ 11 11¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 7% 12.90 2.15 W
2  CLEVER THOUGHT 5 6 75¾ 66½ 54 21 21¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 21% 3.70 2.60 P
4  OPERATION TORCH 4 4 32½ 34½ 32½ 32½ 35½ (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.20 48% 1.10 1.70 S
3  OUR DREAM RYE'D 2 7 65½ 56 43½ 54 49¾ (wilkes ian)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 16.30  
6  NARCISO DALI 7 1 11½ 13½ 1½ 43 513¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 22.80  
5  ESCAPOLOGIST 6 5 53½ 76¾ 65 619 629 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
1  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT 1 2 21½ 46 719 749 763¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 ★ 2.15  
SCR  CRUPI               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40    
SCR  WINTERS LION               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZADORSKY 2 2 1nk 1nk   12½ 12¼ (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 52% 0.90 4.90 W
7  SHIMMERING ALLURE 7 6 53¼ 43½   33 22¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6% 15.20 10.20 P
1  CRAZY CAMI 1 5 31 31   22½ 32¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11% 8.20 2.00 S
10  EXTRA DIRTY 10 3 41¼ 54   58 410¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8.20  
8  DAY AWAY 8 8 85¼ 78½   69 511 (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
9  LADY PROSPECT 9 1 2nk 2nk   47½ 614½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.90  
5  ECHO LAKE 5 7 74¾ 67   712 714¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.00 3.45  
3  BORNFORGREATNESS 3 4 64¾ 811   817½ 827½ (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 119 20.00 52.50  
6  ELUSIVE FASHION 6 10 108 916   925½ 940¼ (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 25.75  
4  ALTHENA 4 9 97¾ 1016½   1030½ 1059¾ (paragallo )SANTANA JR 119 30.00 28.00  
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST               (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  FLOWERS FOR ME               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUSINESS MODEL 8 3 710 77   21 13¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 11.60  
1  VITTORIO 1 4 42 42   11 23¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 30% 2.40 1.30 P
2  GUNTOWN 2 6 810½ 87½   43 35½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 2.90  
7  SECRET RULES 7 1 2½ 2nk   31½ 45¾ (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 8.00 20% 3.90 15.50  
3  KHOZEIRESS 3 5 31½ 31   53½ 58¾ (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00 9.50  
6  LOBSTA 6 8 52½ 64½   89 615¾ (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00 23.80  
5  LOOMS BOLDLY 5 2 1½ 1nk   64 717¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
4  SAINT TAPIT 4 7 64 53   77 821¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 6.00  
 
SAR-8   08/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:111 1:362   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGIC TAP 6 2 2½ 2½ 21 22½ 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 3.40 W
5  FILM STAR 4 1 1½ 1½ 11 12½ 2¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 8% 11.10 7.40 P
2  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 2 4 79½ 711 711¼ 511½ 38½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 34.75 S
8  WHITTINGTON PARK 7 3 42½ 42 33½ 310 49¾ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 9.70  
3  DREAMLIKE 3 6 64 64 55 611½ 513 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 42% 1.40 0.90  
1  CYBER NINJA 1 5 53½ 53½ 65¼ 411 613½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 19.40  
6  TAPIT SHOES 5 7 32 31½ 43½ 717 7100 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5.30  
SCR  SAQEEL               (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :45       1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 7 3 31½ 31   2½ 1¼ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 27% 2.60 3.60 W
5  CASTLE CHAOS 5 8 87 87½   74½ 2¼ (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 20.00 36.25  
3  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 2 74 74½   31 3¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 8.80  
2  WILLY BOI 2 1 21 2½   1½ 4½ (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 9% 9.90 8.50  
8  CANDY TYCOON 8 5 53 52   52 51½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 19% 4.20 4.90  
6  SHOOTERS SHOOT 6 7 64 62½   41 64 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.30  
4  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 4 6 42½ 42   62½ 77½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 22.00  
1  H P MOON 1 4 11 1½   86½ 820 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.35  
 
SAR-10   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mahony Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:212 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 3 4 45 54   2nk 1½ (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.50 W
7  PRIVATE CREED 7 6 66¼ 65   31 2½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
6  EYE WITNESS 6 9 99¾ 97¼   51¼ 31 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 18.50 6.70 S
5  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 5 3 34 32½   1nk 41¼ (ward a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 2.70  
9  SON OF A BIRCH 8 8 87¼ 85¾   72 51¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 22.70  
2  GASLIGHT DANCER 2 7 76¼ 75¼   41¼ 62½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 4.50  
10  DREW'S GOLD 9 5 55¼ 43½   61¾ 77¾ (chapman k)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 43% 1.30 5.90  
4  UNCASHED 4 1 1nk 1nk   82½ 88¼ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.20  
1  HARRY TIME (IRE) 1 2 2nk 2nk   98 917¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 16.30  
SCR  CRISPY CAT (GB)               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.