Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (2/3/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (2/1/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (7/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (10/4/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXHILARATE Jul08         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 33% 2.10    
TAHITI ITI         (albertrani thoma)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
STELLAMARIS         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
MAGIC EIGHT BALL Jun02         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 9.70    
GENETICS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
WONDER RIDE         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
CLEARLY A TEST Jul13         (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
 
SAR-2   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRIFE         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
NIKITIS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
SEA DANCER Jul07         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
LADY BLITZ Jul13 Jun16       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
BA DEE YAH         (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
LATTE LIZZIE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
VINO ROUGE         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
OUT TOO LATE (GB)         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DR. RAY D. Jul07         (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
10  DANCING SPIRIT Jul17         (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOAT ON Jun06 Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
JEMOGRAPHY Feb26 Feb10 Jan01 Dec02 Oct15 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 10% 9.00    
SWIFTSURE Jul09 Nov06 Sep30 Aug14 Jul24 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 11% 8.50    
SCILLY CAY Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (reynolds pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9% 10.10    
LASTCHANCEATGLORY Jun25 Feb25 Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
NIFTY Jul14 May12 Apr20 Mar24 Feb18 (diodoro robertino)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
SENOR JOBIM Jul22 Feb12 Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
ALFIO Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun10 May16 (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00    
 
SAR-4   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE THERE Jun24 Aug28 Jul21 Apr02 Mar13 (zito nicholas )TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CIGARETTE BOAT Jul15 Apr22 Mar25 Jul02 Jun02 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SPANISH DOUBLOON Oct15 Sep08 Aug21 Jul16   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CITY FEVER Jul15         (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
AMERICAN KNOW HOW Jul15 Jun17 May21 May05   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Aug06 Jul22       (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
CUMBERLAND Jun03 Mar17 Jan26     (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
GOLD FRANC (IRE) Jul01 May14 Apr20     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Oct21         (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Jun24 May21 Feb11     (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
1A  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Oct16 Aug20 Jul23     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 7% 12.90    
CLEVER THOUGHT Jun02 Apr15 Mar18 Feb16   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  CRUPI Jul07 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Nov20 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
OUR DREAM RYE'D May14 Apr21 Mar04 Oct29 Oct09 (wilkes ian)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
OPERATION TORCH Jun25 May07 Apr08 Mar03   (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
ESCAPOLOGIST May14 Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 Jan28 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NARCISO DALI Jan07 Dec01 Nov20 Oct16 Sep29 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION Jul01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jul22 Jun29 May27     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY CAMI Jul19         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11% 8.20    
ZADORSKY Jul07 Jun10       (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
BORNFORGREATNESS         (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 119 20.00    
ALTHENA         (paragallo )SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
ECHO LAKE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
ELUSIVE FASHION         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SHIMMERING ALLURE Jul16 Jun10       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6% 15.20    
DAY AWAY         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY PROSPECT         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
10  EXTRA DIRTY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  FLOWERS FOR ME Jul19         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST         (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITTORIO Jul08 May27 Apr20 Mar18 Feb05 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 30% 2.40    
GUNTOWN Aug03 May13 Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
KHOZEIRESS Jun24 May19 Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
SAINT TAPIT Jan19 Nov27 Oct20 Sep24 Aug06 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
LOOMS BOLDLY Jun26 May29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb20 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOBSTA Jul24 May29 May20 Apr30 Feb20 (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00    
SECRET RULES Jul14 Jun22 May20 Apr23 Mar24 (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
BUSINESS MODEL Jul08 Jun15 May21 Apr28 Mar11 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYBER NINJA Jul08 Jun02 Apr20 Mar11   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Jul16 May20 May04 Apr08 Feb25 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMLIKE Jul14 Apr08 Mar11 Feb11   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SAQEEL Jul16 Jun10 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
FILM STAR Jul16 Jul01 May21 May06 Apr19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 8% 11.10    
TAPIT SHOES Jun10 Apr22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
MAGIC TAP Jun30 Jun02 Apr16     (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
WHITTINGTON PARK Jul01 May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H P MOON May20 Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
WILLY BOI Jul01 May20 Mar26 Feb11 Dec10 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 9% 9.90    
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Jul08 Jun15 May19 Apr30 Mar24 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jul08 Sep10 Aug20 Jul01 Jun10 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
CASTLE CHAOS Jul23 Jun03 Jun02 Apr07 Mar05 (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SHOOTERS SHOOT Jul16 Jun15 Apr10 Mar05 Jan29 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Jun30 May14 Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 27% 2.60    
CANDY TYCOON Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr30 Mar04 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
SAR-10   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mahony Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY TIME (IRE) May20 Apr01 Mar11 Jan14   (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
GASLIGHT DANCER May13 Apr16 Nov04 Oct09 Sep03 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR Jun05 Aug31       (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNCASHED Jul16 May20 May07 Apr20 Oct21 (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) May13 Apr16 Nov05 Oct09 Aug19 (ward a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
EYE WITNESS May20 Mar25 Jan01 Sep23   (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 18.50    
PRIVATE CREED May13 Apr16 Feb18 Jan28 Nov04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRISPY CAT (GB) May13 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10   (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SON OF A BIRCH May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
10  DREW'S GOLD Jul28 Jun10 May12 Feb11 Jan28 (chapman k)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.