Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (3/9/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $14.40 $4.40 44%
SAR-3   WIN (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $37.00 $29.00 363%
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-4 $32.25 $20.25 169%
    PK3 (3/9/4/1/6)-(4/3/6)-(3/1/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-4-4 $162.25 $102.25 170%
SAR-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.50 $1.50 25%
SAR-9   EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $40.25 $28.25 235%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/23/2023 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jonathan Sheppard Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
4:323         4:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWAKENED 3 74¾ 96 94¾ 63½ 3½ 11 (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 146 6.00 34% 1.90 6.20 W
  (by CURLIN out of DAYDREAMING by A.P. INDY)
2  JIMMY P 2 21½ 3½ 42 32 1nk 21 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 144 6.00 6.80  
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
9  MCTIGUE (IRE) 9 32½ 52¼ 73¼ 42½ 2nk 31¼ (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90 S
  (by FRACAS (IRE) out of TRADFEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MERRY MAKER (IRE) 6 108¾ 109 106¼ 107¾ 54 48¼ (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 144 12.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
  (by MALINAS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  L'IMPERATOR (FR) 1 85¼ 42 31½ 52½ 42½ 510½ (kingsley ar)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
7  REDICEAN (GB) 7 42½ 74¼ 53 84¼ 87 613 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 146 12.00 31.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
10  CARAMELISED (GB) 10 96¼ 85¾ 84¼ 73¾ 65½ 713¼ (young leslie)MCGIVERN COREY 146 20.00 22.50  
  (by DANSILI out of CASTER SUGAR by COZZENE)
5  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 5 52¾ 2½ 2½ 21 76 820¾ (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 158 4.00 4.90  
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
8  WEST NEWTON (GB) 8 11½ 1½ 1½ 11 915 933½ (hendriks r)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 12.00 23.10  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  THEOCRAT (IRE) 4 64¼ 64¼ 63 97¼ 1035 1065 (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 8.00 8% 11.30 9.60  
  (by TEOFILO out of NOVEL APPROACH by CODEX)
 
SAR-2   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERFECT MUNNINGS 3 2 26½ 23   16½ 114½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.00 58% 0.70 1.10 W
5  BRONX BOMBER 4 5 59 58½   48½ 214½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 12.50  
3  BUSTIN SHOUT 2 3 48 36½   36½ 316¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 11% 7.70 1.75 S
7  UNFLAPPABLE MAX 6 4 37½ 47½   511½ 418 (ferraro ant)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.10  
6  LOHENGRIN TWO 5 1 16½ 13   26½ 519¾ (baker charlt)TORRES A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
2  VICTORY BUILT 1 6 612 613   617 651¾ (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 29.75  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
 
SAR-3   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:22 :442 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARZAK 5 8 53½ 52½   21½ 1nk (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 6% 14.50 17.50 W
2  COPPOLA 3 1 11½ 11   11½ 2nk (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 15.70  
6  BRING ME A CHECK 7 4 42½ 41½   31½ 31¾ (reynolds p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 6.30  
8  THIN WHITE DUKE 9 6 85 85¼   94½ 42 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 3.85  
1A  CAZADERO 2 9 74½ 63½   62¾ 52 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 8% 11.30 4.80  
1  MID DAY IMAGE 1 3 32 31½   52¾ 63¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 ★ 4.80  
5  SLIPSTREAM 6 7 96 96¼   74¼ 73¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 12.10  
3  HIGH FRONT 4 2 21½ 21   42½ 84¼ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 59% 0.70 1.40  
7  JAXON TRAVELER 8 5 64½ 73¾   84½ 911¾ (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 126 5.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LAUREL VALLEY 8 4 1½ 11 11 11½ 1¾ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 2.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of DOUBLE DINGHY DAY by FORESTRY)
5  SLAPINTHEFACE 5 3 41½ 32½ 31½ 21½ 2¾ (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70 P
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOST INNOCENCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
9  LT. MITCHELL 9 5 2½ 21 21 32½ 33¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 11.80 7.50 S
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  MISSION HILL 1 1 31½ 43 42½ 45 43¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 41% 1.40 1.95  
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
6  TONY O 6 7 64 65 56 57 56½ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 ★ 8.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
4  DOLLY'S BANK 4 8 87½ 77½ 710 611 68½ (coffey maria)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 30.00 5% 19.00 35.75  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LEMON DROP DOLLY by LEMON DROP KID)
10  CASH BAIL 10 10 109¾ 1010¼ 811½ 714 710¾ (meadow e)USKE S 124 20.00 54.50  
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
2  FLUORESCENT BAY 2 2 76 89 912½ 820 816¼ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00 34.00  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SHADOWY WATERS by WILD AGAIN)
3  TIP OF THE BOOT 3 6 52 55 610 920½ 922¼ (coffey maria)TORRES A 118 30.00 70.75  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LA TRINACRIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  DRUID 7 9 97¾ 99¼ 1013 1024½ 1023¾ (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 20.00 70.00  
  (by MAGICIAN out of ISABEL AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
SCR  AULA               (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEATRO by TIZNOW)
SCR  BASTION               (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STAR GRAZING by SKY MESA)
SCR  I'M JUST               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
 
SAR-5   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:133 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL ANTICS 3 4 42 41 31 3½ 11¾ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 2.25  
4  KARA PARA 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 21¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 17% 4.80 10.30 P
3  DISRUPTION 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 33¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 37% 1.70 1.30 S
2  I'M NERVOUS NOW 1 1 31½ 31 41¼ 41½ 44½ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 3.00  
5  SARATOGA CHROME 5 5 55½ 54 57¼ 511½ 525¾ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 7.20  
SCR  CHARGE NURSE               (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  RED MOON               (morey william )ORTIZ L 118 1.80    
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50    
 
SAR-6   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SKYLER'S STARSHIP 6 3 21 2½   2nk 11¾ (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 7.40  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOROTHY'S AURORA by SIMON PURE)
3  MISCHIEF JOKE 3 6 42 31   1nk 21¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 62% 0.60 1.15 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  B D SAINTS 8 8 94¾ 42   35 36¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 8% 11.40 3.60 S
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
7  BLUE EIGHTY FIVE 7 2 84½ 62½   46½ 412½ (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.70  
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
10  EZ ROLL 9 1 52½ 52½   56¾ 513¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 31.00  
  (by ENTICED out of DADDYSNEVERREADY by SCAT DADDY)
1  ALBEDO 1 9 63½ 96   611¼ 617 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 17.60  
  (by LEOFRIC out of BELLE DE FRANCE by THOREAU)
4  OFFICER DERICK 4 5 11 1½   713¼ 720½ (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 31.75  
  (by MO TOWN out of KELLY'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
5  DIXIE PHARAOH 5 4 74 85½   814¼ 820¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
2  BENZODINI 2 7 32 73   915¼ 923 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6% 16.70 15.90  
  (by BERNARDINI out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
SCR  HAL AWAY               (falk jacqueline)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
 
SAR-7   08/23/2023 8580ft TURF RC11 FIRM John's Call Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:464 1:121 1:374 2:02   2:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAWNY PORT 4 2½ 21½ 22 1½ 13 13½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 38% 1.60 2.75 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
8  SY DOG 6 57½ 55½ 44½ 31½ 23 23½ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 2.75  
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
1  GOOD SKATE 1 44½ 44 33½ 2½ 33½ 39¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 13.00 3.60 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
5  BRITISH ROYALTY 3 68½ 66 55 44½ 47 412½ (minshall bar)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.50 3.25  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of QUEEN MARTHA by RAHY)
7  TIDE OF THE SEA 5 1½ 11½ 12 57 517 535¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 7.50  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROUTINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  BURNING BRIGHT 2 33½ 33 6100 6100 6100 6100 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 26% 2.80 9.30  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of FOREVER TOGETHER by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT               (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PIONEERING SPIRIT               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FOUNDATION SPIRIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SERIFOS               (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  THE REDS               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
SAR-8   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:133 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  INTO IT 2 1 31 43 52½ 1nk 11 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 14.00  
4  ROCKSTAR RED 4 3 63 66 63½ 31 21 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 9% 10.00 1.75 P
8  BEE WELL 8 8 76 79½ 85¼ 53 32¼ (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9.00  
12  WILD GUESS 12 9 21 11 11 2nk 43 (lewis lisa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 9.00  
7  BOLT D'PLATA 7 10 97¼ 910½ 97¾ 84¼ 54¼ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 8.20  
9  SIXWILLBERICH 9 7 11 21 21 42 64¼ (morley thoma)TORRES A 113 8.00 6% 15.20 10.20  
10  MUFRIH 10 11 1112¾ 1212¾ 119¼ 105¾ 75¾ (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
1  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 1 2 87 810½ 75 74 86 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 41.50  
6  MY FAVORITE TOPIC 6 6 52½ 53½ 42 63½ 96¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
3  TIZ THE COAST 3 4 1010¾ 1011½ 1211¼ 118¼ 107¾ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 31.00  
11  STRAPPED 11 12 1212¾ 1111¾ 108¼ 94¾ 117¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 58% 0.70 4.40  
5  A LISTER 5 5 41½ 32 31 128¾ 1213¼ (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 124 50.00 77.75  
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE               (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  GOLD FRANC (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AMUNDSON 4 3 12 1½   11 13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 51% 1.00 3.00 W
1  STRAIGHT ARROW 1 6 64 65½   33 23 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 126 8.00 7% 12.60 7.50 P
6  RADIO RED 5 5 22 2½   21 33¼ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 2.95  
2  THRILL OF IT 2 7 74½ 55   44½ 44¼ (terranova jo)TORRES A 119 15.00 14.00  
8  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 6 1 43½ 43½   55½ 56¼ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7% 14.20 4.90  
4  AGGREGATION 3 4 32½ 33   66½ 611¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.60 4.30  
10  MONTEBELLO 8 2 54 76   710½ 717½ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 9.20  
9  WHAT'S UP BRO 7 8 85 86½   811 824¼ (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 18.40  
SCR  BREW PUB               (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:213 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHEROKEE COTTAGE 9 11 105 104½   93¾ 1½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 17.50  
10  IGUAZU (IRE) 10 5 52¾ 52¼   62¾ 2½ (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.10  
5  LOVE MAMI LOVE 5 6 41¾ 41¼   2½ 3½ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.60 5.00 S
12  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 12 1 31½ 31   3½ 4¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 6.10  
11  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) 11 10 84 83½   83¼ 51¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 52% 0.90 2.90  
6  QUIESCENT 6 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 62¼ (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.50  
2  SOUPER TROPICAL 2 8 94 94   73¼ 73¼ (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 20.30  
7  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 7 9 117 116   104¾ 83¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
8  NEGRA GATA 8 7 73 72½   52½ 93¼ (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 17% 4.70 4.30  
4  LEXI'S SPIRIT 4 12 129½ 126½   115¼ 104½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.50  
3  CALL ME PENNY 3 3 62¾ 62¼   41½ 116 (caramori)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 31.50  
1  SOLEVO SPRITZ 1 4 1nk 2nk   129¼ 1216 (rodriguez gu)TORRES A 114 30.00 52.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.