Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/9/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (11/4/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (11/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/23/2023 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jonathan Sheppard Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jul26 Jun09 Oct09 Sep10 Jul31 (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  JIMMY P Mar25 Oct22 Oct02 Aug15 Jul26 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 144 6.00    
3  AWAKENED Aug02 Oct15 Sep05 Jul11 May14 (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 146 6.00 34% 1.90    
4  THEOCRAT (IRE) Nov05 Oct15 Sep01 Jul18   (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) Jul19 Oct15 Sep15     (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 158 4.00    
6  MERRY MAKER (IRE) Aug02 Nov05 Oct22     (kingsley archi)WATTERS GRAHAM 144 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  REDICEAN (GB) Jul19 Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 146 12.00    
8  WEST NEWTON (GB) Jul19 Mar25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 (hendriks ric)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 12.00    
9  MCTIGUE (IRE) Aug02         (murphy cyril)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 3.50 30% 2.30    
10  CARAMELISED (GB) Aug02         (young f)MCGIVERN COREY 146 20.00    
 
SAR-2   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAYWING Aug01 Jul17 May02 Mar30 Mar13 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
2  VICTORY BUILT Jul12 Jun20 May17 Mar11 Feb10 (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
3  BUSTIN SHOUT Jul14 Jun13 May14 Aug21 Jul28 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 11% 7.70    
4  PERFECT MUNNINGS Dec17 Oct30 Aug26 Jun10   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.00 58% 0.70    
5  BRONX BOMBER Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb02 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
6  LOHENGRIN TWO Jul10 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Mar25 (baker charlton)TORRES A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Jun26 May17 Apr22 Mar10 Feb15 (ferraro antho)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MID DAY IMAGE Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun01 Apr13 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 ★    
1A  CAZADERO Jul04 Jun16 Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 126 5.00    
2  COPPOLA Jul26 Jun10 May20 May02 Apr02 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
3  HIGH FRONT Jun21 May19 Apr21 May29 May05 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  ARZAK Jul26 Jun16 May14 Nov27 Oct01 (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 6% 14.50    
5  SLIPSTREAM Jul04 Jun01 Apr13 Mar10 Apr10 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
6  BRING ME A CHECK Jul26 Jul07 Jun04 May19 Apr24 (reynolds pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
7  JAXON TRAVELER Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  THIN WHITE DUKE Aug05 Jul26 Jul04 Jun10 May06 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION HILL Jul21 Jun25       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  FLUORESCENT BAY Jul07 Jun03 May13 Apr01   (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00    
3  TIP OF THE BOOT Jul21 Jul07       (coffey marialice)BROWN DALTON 118 30.00    
4  DOLLY'S BANK         (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  SLAPINTHEFACE Jun01 Nov11       (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  TONY O Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May06 Apr14 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 ★    
7  DRUID Jul26 Jul01 Oct17 Aug11 Jul29 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 20.00    
8  LAUREL VALLEY Jun25 Jun11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec17 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
9  LT. MITCHELL Aug09 Jul21 Jun01 May06 Oct09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 11.80    
10  CASH BAIL Oct17 Aug18 Jun29     (meadow e)USKE S 124 20.00    
SCR  I'M JUST Jul04 May29 Apr21 Mar18   (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  BASTION Jul04         (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  AULA Jul26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Oct27 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL ANTICS Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO Aug16 Jul30 Dec18 Nov19 Jun19 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50    
2  I'M NERVOUS NOW Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May20 Apr19 (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
3  DISRUPTION Jul09 Dec04 Oct30 Sep22 Jul27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  KARA PARA Aug04 Jun23 May28 May06 Apr20 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 17% 4.80    
5  SARATOGA CHROME Jul29 Jul15 Nov06 Oct08 Aug11 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
SCR  RED MOON Jul19 Jun18 May21 Apr08 Mar14 (morey e)ORTIZ L 118 1.80    
SCR  CHARGE NURSE Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBEDO Jul16         (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
2  BENZODINI         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6% 16.70    
3  MISCHIEF JOKE Jul28 Jun23 May12 Apr07   (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
4  OFFICER DERICK         (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
5  DIXIE PHARAOH Jul16         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SKYLER'S STARSHIP Jul07         (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
7  BLUE EIGHTY FIVE Aug11 Jun23       (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
8  B D SAINTS Aug03 Jul14       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 8% 11.40    
SCR  HAL AWAY         (falk jacqueline)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
10  EZ ROLL Jul28         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/23/2023 8580ft TURF RC11 FIRM John's Call Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD SKATE Jul27 Jul01 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  SERIFOS Jul27 Jun18 May20 Oct20 Sep10 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
3  BURNING BRIGHT Jul02 May05 Feb12 Nov24 Oct20 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  PIONEERING SPIRIT Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 May11 Apr22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
5  BRITISH ROYALTY Jun09 Dec04 Oct14 Sep18 Jul30 (minshall barba)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.50    
6  TAWNY PORT Jul30 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 Sep24 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
7  TIDE OF THE SEA Jun09 May06 Nov10 Sep16 Aug24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
8  SY DOG Aug03 Jul04 Aug06 Jul09 May07 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  THE REDS Jul21 Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 Nov13 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr02 (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
 
SAR-8   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
2  INTO IT Jun17 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28   (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
3  TIZ THE COAST Oct05 Aug31 Aug05     (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
4  ROCKSTAR RED Jul16 Jul02 Jun02 May07 Mar18 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 9% 10.00    
5  A LISTER Jun18 Nov06 Oct07 Sep24 May06 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 124 50.00    
6  MY FAVORITE TOPIC May26 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOLT D'PLATA Aug10         (terranova p)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
8  BEE WELL Jul28 May17 Apr27 Mar18 Dec10 (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
9  SIXWILLBERICH Jul28 Jun18 Feb24 Dec10 Nov06 (morley thomas)TORRES A 113 8.00 6% 15.20    
10  MUFRIH Jun25 May06 Mar24 Feb18 Jan21 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  STRAPPED Jun25 Apr22 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
12  WILD GUESS Jul28 May20 Dec03 Oct12   (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Aug04 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 May05 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Jul02 May26 Apr14     (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLD FRANC (IRE) Aug13 Jul01 May14 Apr20   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito p)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT ARROW Aug05 Jul02 Jun11     (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 126 8.00 7% 12.60    
2  THRILL OF IT Jul23 Jun22 Apr30 Mar24 Jul28 (terranova john)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Aug05 Jul15 May29 May06 Apr15 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
4  AGGREGATION May11 Jul18 May30 Apr16   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
5  AMUNDSON Jun09 Apr30 Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 51% 1.00    
6  RADIO RED May29 May06 Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
SCR  BREW PUB Aug05 Jul01 May21 Apr30 Mar11 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
8  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Jul07 May29 May06 Apr07 Feb25 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
9  WHAT'S UP BRO Jun17 May29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan15 (klesaris rober)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
10  MONTEBELLO Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 Jun30 May12 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLEVO SPRITZ Jul03 Jun02 Apr16     (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 114 30.00    
2  SOUPER TROPICAL Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May19 Dec18 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
3  CALL ME PENNY Aug03 Oct28 Sep05 Aug02 Jun14 (caramori e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
4  LEXI'S SPIRIT Jul03 Jun02 Apr15 Feb18 Jan08 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
5  LOVE MAMI LOVE Aug12 Jun17 May06 Apr15 Mar02 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.60    
6  QUIESCENT Jul30 Jun10 May12 Apr15 Aug28 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
7  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Jul28 Jun11 May18 Apr15 Nov10 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEGRA GATA Aug06 Jul06 Jun03 Mar31   (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 17% 4.70    
9  CHEROKEE COTTAGE Jul29         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
10  IGUAZU (IRE) Nov04 Sep14       (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
11  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) Jun10 Apr15 Feb16     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
12  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 May13 Apr21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.