Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (5/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $18.00 $10.00 125%
    EXA (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $19.90 $7.90 66%
    TRI (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-5-6 $41.37 $29.37 245%
    SFT (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-5-6-9 $23.00 $20.60 858%
SAR-2   DD (5/6/2/9)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-6 $16.90 $8.90 111%
SAR-6   EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $14.50 $2.50 21%
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-1 $38.50 $26.50 221%
SAR-9   WIN (4/11/1/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $14.60 $4.60 46%
    SFT (4/11/1/10/7)-(1/4/11/10/7)-(1/4/11/10/7)-(1/4/11/10/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-11-4-10 $17.05 $5.05 42%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:152 1:284   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BERNIETAKESCHARGE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 13 18½ (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 14% 6.30 8.00 W
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
5  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 5 6 82¾ 62¼ 54 44 28½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 40% 1.50 3.60 P
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
6  ONCE AN EAGLE 6 2 51¼ 83¼ 42½ 23 38½ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.30 2.70 S
  (by TONALIST out of DERRIANNE by COZZENE)
9  GRAB THE GLORY 8 7 1nk 2nk 2½ 33 414¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5% 17.20 3.75  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
1  DENVER'S ALLEY 4 8 62¼ 41¼ 32 54½ 518¼ (duggan da)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 4.00  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  BERTRILLE 7 4 3½ 72¾ 79 69½ 621¼ (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 41.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
3  DOWNTOWN CHANNEL 2 5 72¼ 52¼ 89½ 711 725¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 21.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
4  BOSSY JEANS 3 3 4¾ 31 67 814½ 847 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 7.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
SCR  SPEIGHTS DANCE               (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NESSELRODE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SAR-2   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:14 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THESTRAL 4 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 1nk 11 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.75 W
4  TOOSHAY 3 4 44½ 42½ 31½ 2nk 21 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 9.10  
2  DON'T TELL AMY 1 1 32 31½ 2½ 3.2 31¼ (morley thoma)TORRES A 113 3.00 14% 6.00 1.50 S
3  GRACEFUL 2 2 1½ 1½ 42 46¾ 417¼ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6.60  
SCR  DARK PRINCESS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
SCR  TRES CHIC (ARG)               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:133 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VEGAS WEEKEND 3 2 1½ 11 12 13½ 14¼ (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 2.95  
4  GRINGOTTS 2 1 2½ 21 22 23½ 24¼ (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 12.70  
7  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 4 4 31 32½ 32½ 34 36¾ (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 29% 2.40 2.40 S
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 1 3 44½ 43½ 47 47½ 48 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 48% 1.10 0.70  
SCR  GREATEST LOVE               (barrera osca)TORRES A 113 12.00    
SCR  TIMED OUT               (d'alessandro )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  VITAEMI               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
 
SAR-4   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NEED SOME MONEY 4 5 31 2nk   1nk 11 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 2.60  
10  PROUD FOOT 5 7 51¾ 3.2   2nk 21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 14% 6.20 2.30 P
11  WILL BE FAMOUS 6 2 62¼ 51¼   42 36¼ (toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 7.40  
12  SHIGEKO 7 6 73¼ 72¾   63¼ 47½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 11% 8.30 18.30  
3  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 2 3 11 1nk   31½ 57½ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
5  WORLD TRAVELER 3 1 21 62¼   74¼ 68 (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 51% 1.00 3.50  
2  NOW SHOWING 1 4 41¼ 4¾   53 78¼ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 12.00  
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE               (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas ma)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SCR  RUM RUNNER READY               (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE               (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  THREE GIRLS               (begg jam)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/16/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GHOSTLYPRINCE 8 4 75¾ 75¼ 74¼ 2nk 1hd (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 17.00  
7  JARREAU 7 8 99¾ 98¼ 96¼ 41¾ 2hd (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 45% 1.20 3.35 P
2  LORD FLINTSHIRE 2 6 54 53¾ 52¾ 1nk 3¼ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30 S
4  SHINSUN 4 9 87¾ 86¾ 85¼ 51¾ 41½ (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 6% 15.60 4.30  
10  UNLEASH THE POWER 9 2 32½ 32 31½ 3.2 51¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10 2.75  
5  FRONT MAN 5 3 65½ 64¼ 63¾ 62¼ 64 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00 5.20  
6  BUCKORTWO 6 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 75¾ 713 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00 14.90  
1  SPLENDID SUMMER 1 7 42½ 42¼ 42½ 813¾ 836¾ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 ★ 13.50  
3  WISECRAKEN 3 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 9100 9100 (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 21.60  
SCR  CHILENO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 99.00    
SCR  FIGHT FIERCELY               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  KINGDOM ON PAWS               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
 
SAR-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THREE RIVERS 3 2 2nk 1nk   12½ 15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 10% 8.90 2.85 W
8  PORTAGE 7 6 66¾ 64   54½ 25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 34% 1.90 3.10 P
1  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 4 4 31 3½   34 36 (jacobson)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
3  SA FORADADA 1 7 79¼ 53½   65½ 48½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 6.20  
1A  STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 1 41½ 41½   44 58¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 6.80  
4  CUZ UR PRETTY 2 3 1nk 2nk   22½ 69¼ (progno christophe)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 34% 2.00 1.65  
6  DIVINE CROSS 6 5 56½ 78   79 713 (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 18.10  
SCR  CUPID'S HEART               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
SCR  MURSAL               (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:12 1:39   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ACHILLES HEEL 7 1 23½ 24 26½ 1½ 1½ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 15.00 17.60  
9  HAPPY BOB 8 6 13½ 14 16½ 2½ 2½ (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 12% 7.40 4.70 P
6  BOYS CODE 5 4 821½ 819 817 55½ 32¾ (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 12.40  
2  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 2 3 510 59½ 510½ 33 43½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★ 3.35  
5  STRONG LIGHT 4 7 611 610 611 44½ 55¼ (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 123 30.00 30.00  
4  BREAK THE ICE 3 2 45 46½ 49½ 66 68¾ (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 18.30  
7  SOUTH STREET 6 5 34½ 36 39 76½ 719¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.00 42% 1.40 0.80  
1  MAMA BANNED ME 1 8 711½ 713 716 816½ 822¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
SCR  FREEZE POP               (diodoro )SANTANA JR 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-8   08/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Suzie O'Cain Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SILVER SKILLET 5 7 65½ 68 64½ 1½ 13¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 26% 2.80 3.25 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
7  ORANGE FREEZE 7 8 88¼ 89½ 75½ 41 23¼ (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 5% 17.80 3.10 P
  (by FREUD out of HOOPSKIRT by BIRDSTONE)
4  BERNT AGAIN 4 4 78 79½ 85¾ 61¾ 34 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 13.00  
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of BERNSTEIN FLAMBE by BERNSTEIN)
2  SMOKIE EYES 2 1 44 46½ 43½ 2½ 45 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of SMOKE SIGNALS by RUNAWAY GROOM)
6  THUNDARA 6 9 99¾ 911 97¾ 95¾ 57¼ (antonacci ph)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 15.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of NEHANTIC KAT by TOMORROWS CAT)
9  SNOWY EVENING 9 6 55 57 54½ 84¾ 67½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 11.80  
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
3  IM JUST KIDDIN 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 3½ 78½ (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10% 8.70 5.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
1  KOSUKE 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 51¼ 89½ (bond ja)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 10% 9.30 9.70  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of OSAKA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
8  COLLABORATION 8 5 31 31½ 32½ 74¾ 911¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 26% 2.90 7.40  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
 
SAR-9   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAUCILOQUENT 6 4 46 34   12 12¼ (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 7% 12.70 6.30 W
11  MARLEY'S GHOST 7 2 23½ 23½   22 22¼ (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 25% 3.00 1.00 P
4  RED BUTTERFLY 1 3 35½ 45½   45 32½ (de h)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 41% 1.50 4.10 S
1  GALATRONA 4 1 13½ 13½   32 47¾ (bond harold )TORRES A 114 5.00 ★ 6.30  
10  BEAUTIFULLY WICKED 5 7 717 718   510½ 57¾ (gyarmati le)MARTINEZ R 119 30.00 5% 18.20 16.50  
5  TRUE MARTINI 2 8 818 819   612 68¾ (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 124 6.00 5.90  
7  ROXEN 3 6 614 616   712½ 715½ (barker edward )BROWN DALTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
12  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 8 5 510½ 512   813 822 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ARMY OF THOUGHTS               (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
SCR  SONJA KNIPS               (pugh d)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.