The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 10.00
    Exacta (2/5/6/9)-(2/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $19.90 $19.90 7.90
    Trifecta (2/5/6/9)-(2/5/6/9)-(2/5/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-5-6 3 1 $41.37 $41.37 29.37
SAR-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -0.50
    Exacta (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-4 2 0 $9.90 -2.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6/9)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 2-6 2 1 $16.90 $16.90 8.90
SAR-3   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.90 -4.00
    Exacta (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-4 2 0 $36.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (2/6)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 6-5 2 0 $7.70 -4.00
    Pick Three (2/5/6/9)-(2/6)-(1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-6-5 3 0 $59.00 -16.00
SAR-4   Win (3/5/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.20 -8.00
    Exacta (3/5/10/12)-(3/5/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-10 2 0 $11.10 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/5/10/12)-(3/5/10/12)-(3/5/10/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-10-11 3 0 $34.12 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/7)-(3/5/10/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 5-6 2 0 $12.50 -8.00
    Pick Three (2/6)-(1/7)-(3/5/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-5-6 3 0 $32.75 -16.00
SAR-5   Win (2/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $36.00 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/7/10)-(1/2/4/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-7 2 0 $133.25 -16.00
    Trifecta (2/4/7/10)-(1/2/4/7/10)-(1/2/4/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-7-2 3 0 $375.25 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/5/10/12)-(2/4/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-8 2 0 $74.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/7)-(3/5/10/12)-(2/4/7/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 5-6-8 3 0 $327.00 -32.00
SAR-6   Win (1/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 -0.30
    Exacta (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-8 2 1 $14.50 $14.50 2.50
    Trifecta (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-8-1 3 1 $38.50 $38.50 26.50
    Daily Double (2/4/7/10)-(1/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-5 2 0 $64.50 -16.00
    Pick Three (3/5/10/12)-(2/4/7/10)-(1/4/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 6-8-5 3 0 $436.50 -64.00
SAR-7   Win (1/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $37.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/7/9)-(1/2/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 8-9 2 0 $113.00 -9.00
    Trifecta (1/7/9)-(1/2/7/9)-(1/2/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 8-9-6 3 0 $394.50 -9.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-8 2 0 $94.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $4.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7/10)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 8-5-8 3 0 $1372.50 -48.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7/10)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 8-5-3 3 0 $90.25 -48.00
SAR-8   Win (1/3/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 -1.50
    Exacta (1/3/5/7/8)-(1/3/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-7 2 1 $16.50 $16.50 -3.50
    Trifecta (1/3/5/7/8)-(1/3/5/7/8)-(1/3/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 5-7-4 3 0 $55.12 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/7/9)-(1/3/5/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 8-5 2 0 $95.75 -15.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9)-(1/3/5/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-8-5 3 0 $604.50 -60.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5/8)-(1/7/9)-(1/3/5/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-3-5 3 0 $19.00 -60.00
SAR-9   Win (1/4/7/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 4.60
    Exacta (1/4/7/10/11)-(1/4/7/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-11 2 1 $15.50 $15.50 -4.50
    Trifecta (1/4/7/10/11)-(1/4/7/10/11)-(1/4/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-11-4 3 1 $15.12 $15.12 -14.88
    Daily Double (1/3/5/7/8)-(1/4/7/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 5-1 2 1 $19.10 $19.10 -5.90
    Daily Double (1/3/5/7/8)-(1/4/7/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 5-3 2 0 $3.45 -25.00
    Pick Three (1/7/9)-(1/3/5/7/8)-(1/4/7/10/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 8-5-1 3 0 $388.00 -75.00
    Pick Three (1/7/9)-(1/3/5/7/8)-(1/4/7/10/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 8-5-3 3 0 $80.25 -75.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
:25 :493 1:152 1:284   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 13 1(schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 14% 6.30 8.00 W
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 5 6 8 6 54 44 2(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 40% 1.50 3.60 P
ONCE AN EAGLE 6 2 5 8 4 23 3(clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.30 2.70 S
GRAB THE GLORY 8 7 1nk 2nk 2½ 33 414¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5% 17.20 3.75  
DENVER'S ALLEY 4 8 6 4 32 5518¼ (duggan davi)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 4.00  
BERTRILLE 7 4 3½ 7 79 6621¼ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 41.00  
DOWNTOWN CHANNEL 2 5 7 5 8 711 725¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 21.80  
BOSSY JEANS 3 3 4¾ 31 67 814½ 847 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 7.10  
SCR  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTS DANCE               (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:244 :484 1:14 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THESTRAL 4 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 1nk 11 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.75 W
TOOSHAY 3 4 4 4 3 2nk 21 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 9.10  
DON'T TELL AMY 1 1 32 3 2½ 3.2 3(morley thomas)TORRES A 113 3.00 14% 6.00 1.50 S
GRACEFUL 2 2 1½ 1½ 42 4417¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6.60  
SCR  DARK PRINCESS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
SCR  TRES CHIC (ARG)               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
:25 :491 1:133 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS WEEKEND 3 2 1½ 11 12 11(baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 2.95  
GRINGOTTS 2 1 2½ 21 22 22(younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 12.70  
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 4 4 31 3 3 34 3(toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 29% 2.40 2.40 S
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 1 3 4 4 47 448 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 48% 1.10 0.70  
SCR  GREATEST LOVE               (barrera oscar )TORRES A 113 12.00    
SCR  TIMED OUT               (d'alessandro ra)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  VITAEMI               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
 
SAR-4   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED SOME MONEY 4 5 31 2nk   1nk 11 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 2.60  
10  PROUD FOOT 5 7 5 3.2   2nk 21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 14% 6.20 2.30 P
11  WILL BE FAMOUS 6 2 6 5   42 3(toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 7.40  
12  SHIGEKO 7 6 7 7   64(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 11% 8.30 18.30  
EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 2 3 11 1nk   35(dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
WORLD TRAVELER 3 1 21 6   768 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 51% 1.00 3.50  
NOW SHOWING 1 4 4 4¾   53 7(terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 12.00  
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE               (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas marc)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SCR  RUM RUNNER READY               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE               (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  THREE GIRLS               (begg james)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/16/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
:234 :482 1:131 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLYPRINCE 8 4 7 7 7 2nk 1hd (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 17.00  
JARREAU 7 8 9 9 9 42hd (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 45% 1.20 3.35 P
LORD FLINTSHIRE 2 6 54 5 5 1nk 3¼ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30 S
SHINSUN 4 9 8 8 8 54(tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 6% 15.60 4.30  
10  UNLEASH THE POWER 9 2 3 32 3 3.2 5(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10 2.75  
FRONT MAN 5 3 6 6 6 664 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00 5.20  
BUCKORTWO 6 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 7713 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00 14.90  
SPLENDID SUMMER 1 7 4 4 4 813¾ 836¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 13.50  
WISECRAKEN 3 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 9100 9100 (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 21.60  
SCR  CHILENO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 99.00    
SCR  FIGHT FIERCELY               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  KINGDOM ON PAWS               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
 
SAR-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
:221 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE RIVERS 3 2 2nk 1nk   115 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 10% 8.90 2.85 W
PORTAGE 7 6 6 64   525 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 34% 1.90 3.10 P
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 4 4 31 3½   34 36 (jacobson d)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
SA FORADADA 1 7 7 5   64(dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 6.20  
1A  STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 1 4 4   44 5(jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 6.80  
CUZ UR PRETTY 2 3 1nk 2nk   26(progno christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 34% 2.00 1.65  
DIVINE CROSS 6 5 5 78   79 713 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 18.10  
SCR  CUPID'S HEART               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
SCR  MURSAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/16/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
:232 :474 1:12 1:39   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACHILLES HEEL 7 1 2 24 2 1½ 1½ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 15.00 17.60  
HAPPY BOB 8 6 1 14 1 2½ 2½ (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 12% 7.40 4.70 P
BOYS CODE 5 4 821½ 819 817 53(dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 12.40  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 2 3 510 5 510½ 33 4(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 3.35  
STRONG LIGHT 4 7 611 610 611 45(younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 123 30.00 30.00  
BREAK THE ICE 3 2 45 4 4 66 6(hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 18.30  
SOUTH STREET 6 5 3 36 39 7719¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.00 42% 1.40 0.80  
MAMA BANNED ME 1 8 711½ 713 716 816½ 822¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
SCR  FREEZE POP               (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-8   08/16/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Suzie O'Cain Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 5:10
:234 :464 1:111 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER SKILLET 5 7 6 68 6 1½ 1(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 26% 2.80 3.25 W
ORANGE FREEZE 7 8 8 8 7 41 2(morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 5% 17.80 3.10 P
BERNT AGAIN 4 4 78 7 8 634 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 13.00  
SMOKIE EYES 2 1 44 4 4 2½ 45 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.00  
THUNDARA 6 9 9 911 9 95(antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 15.00  
SNOWY EVENING 9 6 55 57 5 86(donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 11.80  
IM JUST KIDDIN 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 3½ 7(kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10% 8.70 5.00  
KOSUKE 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 58(bond jame)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 10% 9.30 9.70  
COLLABORATION 8 5 31 3 3 7911¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 26% 2.90 7.40  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
SAR-9   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
:222 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAUCILOQUENT 6 4 46 34   12 1(bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 7% 12.70 6.30 W
11  MARLEY'S GHOST 7 2 2 2   22 2(trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 25% 3.00 1.00 P
RED BUTTERFLY 1 3 3 4   45 3(de hor)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 41% 1.50 4.10 S
GALATRONA 4 1 1 1   32 4(bond ja)TORRES A 114 5.00 6.30  
10  BEAUTIFULLY WICKED 5 7 717 718   510½ 5(gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 119 30.00 5% 18.20 16.50  
TRUE MARTINI 2 8 818 819   612 6(d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 5.90  
ROXEN 3 6 614 616   712½ 715½ (barker r)BROWN DALTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
12  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 8 5 510½ 512   813 822 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ARMY OF THOUGHTS               (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
SCR  SONJA KNIPS               (pugh d)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.