Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.40 $1.40 23%
MTH-3   TRI (9/6/2/10)-(9/6/2/4/10)-(9/6/2/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-4-9 $31.05 $7.05 29%
MTH-4   TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-6 $4.50 $1.50 50%
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    EXA (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-8 $105.40 $89.40 559%
    TRI (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-8-1 $433.65 $409.65 1707%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIMENOVA 4 2 31½ 31½ 21 1nk 12¾ (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 17% 5.00 2.80 W
2  BOLT OF PARADISE 2 1 1nk 1½ 11 2nk 22¾ (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00 3.90  
3  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) 3 9 95¾ 97½ 64¼ 44½ 33½ (antonacci phil)LUZZI J 118 5.00 24% 3.10 5.50 S
5  CAPTURE THIS 5 3 2nk 2½ 31 34 45 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 10.90  
7  SILVER SPRINTER 7 6 73¾ 66 54 56½ 58¾ (mazza joseph)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.50 7% 13.10 5.00  
9  APEROL SPRITZ 9 4 52¾ 54½ 43 68½ 615¾ (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.10  
6  CAPE NEDDICK 6 10 1013¾ 1014½ 1010¾ 816½ 718¼ (montoya marya)RIVERA D 118 20.00 89.00  
8  WHISKEY AND RAIN 8 7 84¾ 76½ 75¼ 712½ 821¾ (simon linda)COTTO L 118 30.00 79.70  
1  ESME'S ROSE 1 8 42½ 87½ 98¾ 916¾ 921¾ (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00 70.70  
11  CANGUA 11 5 62¾ 42½ 88¼ 1019¾ 1036½ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 15.00 32.70  
10  CARBONEL 10 11 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 (schistl rafael)FERRER C 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
SCR  APPLE LOVER               (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
SCR  GRACE IN MOTION               (skelton dawn)COTTO L 123 15.00    
SCR  SHAYMYNAME               (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:142 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COAL MINE 6 6 58½ 56½ 41 14½ 19½ (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00 22% 3.50 2.70 W
4  HEART LIGHT 4 4 68½ 68 65½ 57½ 29½ (flores-coba fe)CORREA JULIO 121 3.50 4.40  
3  LOOKINATLIGHTENING 3 3 21 21 2nk 24½ 39¾ (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 2.40  
2  LOST LUGGAGE 2 1 33 32 3½ 45½ 414 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 3.00 26% 2.90 6.90  
5  BODIL 5 5 45½ 45 54 68 516 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00 6.00  
1  SAWEETIE GIRL 1 2 11 11 1nk 35½ 616¾ (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 110 3.00 19% 4.20 4.10  
 
MTH-3   08/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:221 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAMILA T (IRE) 5 2 11 13   16 113 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 4.50 21% 3.80 1.10 W
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of JUST IMAGINING by WAR FRONT)
4  UNSEEN 3 10 97¼ 68   48½ 213 (camejo jose )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00 ★ 8.10 P
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
9  BRIGHT KOHANA 8 5 43½ 46½   38½ 313½ (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 35% 1.90 7.60 S
  (by FAST ANNA out of WISE GAL by EINSTEIN)
7  CONTRABBANDA 6 9 1111¾ 1111¼   711¾ 414¼ (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 6.00 8.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRUTTA SORELLA by MALIBU MOON)
2  BROKEN BANKER 2 4 75¾ 58   69¾ 516¾ (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 20% 4.00 6.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BROKEN BORDER by BROKEN VOW)
12  KITTEN (IRE) 11 7 109¾ 1011   812¾ 617¼ (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 18.70  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KNIGHT OF THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
5  BINGO'S DREAM 4 3 32 23   26 717¼ (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00 15.10  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLATBOW by BROKEN VOW)
8  CHARLUCHE 7 1 21 33½   58¾ 818¾ (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00 36.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
1  FLOGE 1 11 65½ 810   1013¾ 919 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 6.00 17.00  
  (by KLIMT out of HAKA'S SISTER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
11  OUT OF NEW YORK 10 8 55½ 79   913¼ 1019¼ (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 110 20.00 37.90  
  (by LEOFRIC out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
10  MASTER JANE 9 6 86¾ 910½   1114¾ 1119¾ (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 117 10.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  AMY MULE               (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of JOYFUL FROLIC by CURLIN)
SCR  BYRD OF EDEN               (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
MTH-4   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISS CASEY 3 5 44 31   12 12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.50 60% 0.70 0.20 W
1  BACI 1 6 56½ 43   32 22 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 117 5.00 5% 19.00 11.30 P
6  TAKE CHARGE ERICA 5 1 21½ 21   42¼ 36 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 15% 5.90 7.50 S
7  SALSA RITA 6 3 11½ 11   22 46½ (bailey ricard)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00 10.70  
2  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE 2 2 34 54½   54¾ 58½ (king clare)RIVERA R 119 10.00 14.50  
5  ROLIN N CONTROLIN 4 4 69½ 69½   69¾ 616 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 20.00 23.30  
SCR  DEL REY DOLLY               (d'angelo jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
 
MTH-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:131 1:253   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  GRADED ON A CURVE 11 9 31½ 41¼ 3.2 12 12 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 2.20  
2  DREAM LINER (BRZ) 2 5 94¾ 96¼ 64¼ 32½ 22 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 30% 2.40 3.30 P
6  VETERANS BEACH 6 1 1½ 31 51¾ 22 32¼ (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 19% 4.20 12.20 S
10  BIRD'S EYE VIEW 9 8 117 107¾ 107 74½ 43¾ (dini mike)VARGAS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
5  DAZZLING TRUTHS 5 11 106¾ 119¼ 96¾ 95¾ 54¾ (russo j)COTTO L 120 12.00 ★ 18.40  
1  TIZ A PRINCE 1 2 74¼ 75¾ 86¾ 84¾ 64¾ (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.50  
7  UNLEVERAGED 7 7 52 53¼ 4¾ 63½ 77 (martin f)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00 67.40  
9  DUBBY DUBBIE 8 6 2½ 2nk 1nk 53 88½ (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00 15.20  
13  CABINET PIK 10 10 41½ 1nk 2nk 43 98¾ (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 24.70  
3  BORGOBYTHESEA 3 3 84¼ 85¾ 119 1111¾ 1016¼ (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12.50  
4  KING OF CHAOS 4 4 62¼ 63¾ 76¼ 1011¾ 1120 (harris w)LUZZI J 120 30.00 50.20  
SCR  CORDUROY ROAD               (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  HARPOON HARRY               (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
SCR  SAPONARA               (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
 
MTH-6   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  YOUR ANALYSIS 7 3 41½ 31½ 2nk 12 15½ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 ★ 2.50  
3  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE 3 1 21 21 1nk 22 25½ (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 40% 1.50 2.00 P
5  LIB'S CONTENTO 5 7 75¼ 72¾ 65¼ 56 37½ (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 41.00  
1  TYCOON (GB) 1 2 11 11 3.2 33 47½ (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 29.20  
8  DEEP FAITH 8 4 63¼ 52 42¾ 66¼ 510¼ (spina charles)LUZZI J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
2  CATCH THE SMOKE 2 8 31½ 41½ 53¼ 46 610½ (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 2.50 34% 2.00 1.80  
4  SUIGU STAR 4 6 811¼ 811¾ 813¼ 716¼ 720½ (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 27.10  
6  BEYOND BEST 6 5 53 62¼ 78¼ 816¼ 840½ (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 9.40  
 
MTH-7   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:133 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NO VALLA 4 1 42 3½ 1nk 11 1¾ (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.50 W
2  RUDA 2 5 85½ 72¾ 51¾ 31½ 2¾ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 20% 4.10 2.90 P
10  GOOD AMERICAN (GB) 10 10 31½ 2½ 2nk 21 33 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 3.70  
5  PANOTTI 5 9 117½ 84¼ 73¾ 46½ 45¾ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 17% 4.80 9.80  
9  KOTYLE 9 3 21 61¾ 84¾ 56½ 59¼ (umarov otabek)FERRER C 115 15.00 64.50  
1  THE CLASSY ONE 1 7 106½ 104½ 95¾ 88¾ 610 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 7.70  
3  FEETS OF FEATHER 3 6 96½ 114½ 106¼ 99 712¾ (o'connell )RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
8  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE) 8 11 53 4¾ 31 68½ 815¼ (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 10.00 26.50  
11  ITSALLABOUTACTION 11 2 11 1½ 41½ 78¾ 916¾ (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 6% 15.10 32.80  
6  MADAME ROUGE 6 8 74½ 51¼ 61¾ 1012 1017½ (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00 ######  
7  BEATIFUL KARLA 7 4 64 94¼ 118¼ 1114 1122½ (avila c)BATISTA A 115 15.00 51.30  
SCR  HAZARDOUS HUMOR               (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Philip Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHELEN SPRINGS 5 4 42 31½ 3½ 2nk 1½ (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 118 6.00 9.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY NOVA by PURE PRIZE)
5  TRADEMARK 4 5 21 2½ 1½ 1nk 2½ (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 15% 5.80 3.80 P
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  STEAL SUNSHINE 2 1 53 53 52¾ 44 33 (dibon)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 11.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  ZOZOS 3 2 11 1½ 2½ 32 43¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 52% 0.90 0.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of PAPA'S FOREST by FORESTRY)
1  WEYBURN 1 3 31 41½ 42½ 59 543¼ (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 12% 7.00 4.40  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUNDAY AFFAIR by A.P. INDY)
SCR  FAR MO POWER               (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of J. D. SAFARI by POWER BY FAR)
 
MTH-9   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :502 1:143 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RONSTADT 5 6 84½ 95¼ 84¼ 62¼ 1nk (dini mike)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
8  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 8 8 105¾ 84¾ 94½ 83 2nk (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.80 P
1  GREAT KING (FR) 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 3¾ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00 27% 2.70 5.10 S
10  IRONSIDES 10 7 74½ 31½ 3½ 2nk 41½ (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 115 15.00 21.40  
7  BLAME D RULE MAKER 7 10 95½ 107¼ 107½ 93½ 51¾ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 13.60  
3  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE 3 1 32 42 41½ 41¼ 62 (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 8.70 DH
6  SAMBURU (GB) 6 4 42½ 52 62¼ 72½ 62 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★ 10.40 DH
2  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 3.2 82¼ (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 11.20  
4  HOKU 4 9 53 73¼ 51¾ 51¼ 92½ (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.60  
9  COSMIC SPECULATION 9 5 63½ 63 72¼ 104½ 107¼ (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 4.00  
 
MTH-10   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SONG SAVER 2 7 31½ 31   1½ 12¼ (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 38% 1.70 2.70 W
5  ANNA VOLANTE 5 8 63½ 41½   2½ 22¼ (hernandez )MITCHELL RICHARD 121 3.50 4.70  
4  MOVING IN STEREO 4 5 53½ 62¼   51¼ 33 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 11.50  
3  DANCE STEP 3 3 42 51¾   61¼ 44 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 2.40  
7  BULLET ON TAP 7 2 2½ 2nk   41 54¾ (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 35% 1.90 2.20  
1  R LOVE ON THE RUN 1 4 1½ 1nk   31 66½ (grul)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
6  TIZ HER WAY 6 1 78½ 810¼   813½ 722 (king clarence )BROWN DALTON 119 30.00 46.70  
8  LA COSTA 8 6 88¾ 78¼   713¼ 828 (russo j)COTTO L 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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