Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/3/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/7/10)-(9/3/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/7/10)-(9/3/4/7/10)-(9/3/4/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (9/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/10)-(9/6/2/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/10)-(9/6/2/4/10)-(9/6/2/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/10)-(2/1/6/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/10)-(2/1/6/10/5)-(2/1/6/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/2/5/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/11/3)-(4/2/5/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/11/3)-(4/2/5/11/3)-(4/2/5/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-10   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESME'S ROSE Jul30 Jun04       (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00    
2  BOLT OF PARADISE Jul29 Jun30 Jun11 May27   (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
3  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Jul08         (antonacci phil)LUZZI J 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  PIMENOVA Jul13 Jun15 Apr22 Mar12 Jan14 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  CAPTURE THIS Aug04 Jul29 Jun17 Jun10   (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
6  CAPE NEDDICK Jul04 Jun12 May24 Mar21 Feb08 (montoya marya)RIVERA D 118 20.00    
7  SILVER SPRINTER Jul29 Jul08 Mar10 Feb19 Jan29 (mazza joseph)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.50 7% 13.10    
8  WHISKEY AND RAIN Jul21 Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May20 (simon linda)COTTO L 118 30.00    
9  APEROL SPRITZ Apr14 Feb26 Jan12     (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
10  CARBONEL Jul21         (schistl rafael)FERRER C 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  CANGUA Jul30 Dec29       (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  APPLE LOVER May14 Apr23 Mar31 Mar02 Jan26 (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
SCR  GRACE IN MOTION Jul29 Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 May06 (skelton dawn)COTTO L 123 15.00    
SCR  SHAYMYNAME Jul08 Jun25 May27 Apr20 Apr02 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAWEETIE GIRL Jun30 Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 Jan11 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 110 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  LOST LUGGAGE Jul15 Jun30 Jun07 May18 Apr12 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  LOOKINATLIGHTENING Aug11 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun10 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00    
4  HEART LIGHT Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 May13 May01 (flores-coba fe)CORREA JULIO 121 3.50    
5  BODIL Jul11 Jun18 May27 Apr10 Feb15 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
6  COAL MINE Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 May29 May13 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
MTH-3   08/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOGE         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HAKA'S SISTER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  BROKEN BANKER         (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BROKEN BORDER by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  AMY MULE Jul29         (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of JOYFUL FROLIC by CURLIN)
4  UNSEEN         (camejo jose )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00 ★    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
5  BINGO'S DREAM Jun03 Apr19       (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLATBOW by BROKEN VOW)
6  CAMILA T (IRE)         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of JUST IMAGINING by WAR FRONT)
7  CONTRABBANDA         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRUTTA SORELLA by MALIBU MOON)
8  CHARLUCHE Jul29 Jul15       (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
9  BRIGHT KOHANA Jul29         (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 35% 1.90    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WISE GAL by EINSTEIN)
10  MASTER JANE         (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  OUT OF NEW YORK Jul15         (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 110 20.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
12  KITTEN (IRE)         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KNIGHT OF THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  BYRD OF EDEN Aug05 Jul02 Jun16     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
MTH-4   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACI Jul11 Jun21 Jun12 May16 Mar21 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 May19 Apr30 (king clare)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  DEL REY DOLLY Jul23 Jul02 Aug20 Jul22 Jun09 (d'angelo jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
4  MISS CASEY Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 May18 Mar12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.50 60% 0.70    
5  ROLIN N CONTROLIN Jul26 Jun26 Jun12 May24 May01 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 20.00    
6  TAKE CHARGE ERICA Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 May28 May02 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  SALSA RITA Jul16 Jun17 Jun02 Apr20 Mar24 (bailey ricard)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00    
 
MTH-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A PRINCE Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May29 (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Jun24 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 Sep04 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  BORGOBYTHESEA Aug04 Jun15 May06 Apr14 Feb24 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
4  KING OF CHAOS Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 Apr29 Apr22 (harris w)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
5  DAZZLING TRUTHS Aug06 Jul22 Jun04 Mar25 Mar05 (russo j)COTTO L 120 12.00 ★    
6  VETERANS BEACH Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 Jan29 Jan11 (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  UNLEVERAGED Jul01 May12 Apr14 Mar26 Feb25 (martin f)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  CORDUROY ROAD Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 May25 Apr29 (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
9  DUBBY DUBBIE Jul22 Mar12 Jan21 Nov12 Oct16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
10  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jul22 Jun24 Jun04 May13 Apr08 (dini mike)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARPOON HARRY Aug06 Jul22 Jun25 May27 May05 (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
SCR  SAPONARA Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 May29 May22 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
13  CABINET PIK Aug06 Jul22 Jun04 May21 Sep30 (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
14  GRADED ON A CURVE Jul20 Jun06 May17 Mar11 Jan20 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
 
MTH-6   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYCOON (GB) Jun06 May10 Apr25 Mar20 Feb28 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
2  CATCH THE SMOKE Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 May13 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Jul26 Jun28 May30 May09 Apr17 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  SUIGU STAR Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May20 Apr17 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
5  LIB'S CONTENTO Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
6  BEYOND BEST Jul25 Jul10 Jun18 May24 May01 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00    
7  YOUR ANALYSIS Jul08 Jun02 May18 Mar24 Feb05 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 ★    
8  DEEP FAITH Jul19 Jun02 May13 Dec21 Nov30 (spina charles)LUZZI J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CLASSY ONE Jul08 Jun17 Nov27 Oct28 Oct01 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50    
2  RUDA Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun02 Mar01 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  FEETS OF FEATHER Jul30 Nov26 Oct21 Jul11 Jun16 (o'connell )RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO VALLA Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 Nov13 Sep30 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  PANOTTI Jul27 Mar25 Feb25 Jan25 Jan07 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
6  MADAME ROUGE Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May01 Jan16 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
7  BEATIFUL KARLA Jul14 May18 Mar01 Dec31 Nov29 (avila c)BATISTA A 115 15.00    
8  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE) Jul29 May13 Apr27 Feb25   (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 10.00    
9  KOTYLE Jul22 Jun17 Mar15 Feb15   (umarov otabek)FERRER C 115 15.00    
10  GOOD AMERICAN (GB) Dec17         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
11  ITSALLABOUTACTION Jul08 May15 Apr13 Feb20 Dec15 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Jul22 Jun18 May20 Apr06 Feb17 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Philip Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEYBURN Jul01 May05 Apr01 Mar04 Aug21 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUNDAY AFFAIR by A.P. INDY)
2  STEAL SUNSHINE Jul02 May06 Apr01 Mar04 Dec31 (dibon)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  FAR MO POWER Jul17 Jun18 May02 Feb25 Jan30 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of J. D. SAFARI by POWER BY FAR)
4  ZOZOS Jul02 May06 Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PAPA'S FOREST by FORESTRY)
5  TRADEMARK Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 Apr22 Mar11 (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  WHELEN SPRINGS Jul22 Jun17 May05 Mar17 Feb25 (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 118 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY NOVA by PURE PRIZE)
 
MTH-9   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT KING (FR) Jun25 May21 Feb22 Jan07 Dec16 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00 27% 2.70    
2  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL Jun03 Apr20 Sep14 Aug12   (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
3  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 May21 Apr10 (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00    
4  HOKU Jul21 Jun04 May22 Apr20 Mar26 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  RONSTADT Jul22 Jul01 May14 Apr16 Feb26 (dini mike)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAMBURU (GB) Jun04 May07 Feb04 Jan01 Oct21 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
7  BLAME D RULE MAKER Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 Jan07 Oct02 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
8  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jul30 Jun16 May29 Mar03 Dec22 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  COSMIC SPECULATION Jul14 Jun03 May06 Apr23 Mar22 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00    
10  IRONSIDES Jul19 Jun15 Apr21 Mar25 Jan21 (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 115 15.00    
 
MTH-10   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R LOVE ON THE RUN Jun24 Jun02 May27 Apr27 Apr07 (grul)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SONG SAVER Jul28 Jul07 Feb01 Dec30 Nov19 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 38% 1.70    
3  DANCE STEP Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 Apr15 Mar18 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
4  MOVING IN STEREO Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May01 Apr24 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
5  ANNA VOLANTE Jul04 Jun07 Jan04 Dec20 Nov04 (hernandez )MITCHELL RICHARD 121 3.50    
6  TIZ HER WAY Aug05 Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 Feb20 (king clarence )BROWN DALTON 119 30.00    
7  BULLET ON TAP Jul16 Jun24 Apr27 Mar22 Mar05 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
8  LA COSTA Jul23 Apr21 Mar31 Mar22 Feb22 (russo j)COTTO L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.