Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/8/1/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $26.00  
SAR-2   Win (5/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-3   Win (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
SAR-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.50  
SAR-5   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $19.00 $19.00 11.00
SAR-6   Win (4/9/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $12.20  
SAR-7   Win (1/13/9/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $26.00  
SAR-8   Win (4/3/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
SAR-9   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
SAR-10   Win (3/2/9/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:144 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OZARA (IRE) 9 7 6 4 4 1½ 1¼ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 12.00  
WEIGH THE RISKS 7 8 88 9 9 41 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 4.00 1.15 P
IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) 2 2 4 5 6 52 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 19% 4.20 9.00 S
LATER DARLING 1 10 1012 10 10 7 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 36% 1.70 9.80  
SMOOTH WAVES 8 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 5 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 17.20  
11  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) 10 6 3 32 3½ 3½ 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 5 4 7 85 8 9 7 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
KINGDOM COME (IRE) 6 9 98 74 7 6 86 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 19.40  
CARINA NEBULA 4 3 5 6 5 10 9 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 14.80  
SANDS OF WAR 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 8 1014¾ (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11.20  
SCR  DANCING SPIRIT               (rice adam)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
SCR  DR. RAY D.               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  FLORIBUNDA               (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  VINO ROUGE               (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :463 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYS AND MEANS 4 2 5 3½   1 112¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 31% 2.20 0.70 W
CALLE AMADA 1 7 31 5   46 212¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 7.70  
VALUE AREA 2 3 11 1nk   35 315¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 24% 3.20 7.10 S
BENTO 6 4 4 2nk   2 416½ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 12.70  
MANAGING MISCHIEF 7 1 21 4   5 517¼ (hamm timothy)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6.70  
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 8 6 6 6   611 623½ (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SHORE WAR 5 5 7 7   711½ 725½ (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 10.40  
SIX PACK SENORITA 3 8 8 8   815½ 842¾ (rodriguez )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
SCR  SHE CALLED               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DOMINA 4 3 44 3   21 1¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 12% 7.40 4.00 W
U SHOULD B DANCING 3 6 54 56   3 2¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 10% 9.10 2.80 P
CHROMEPLATED HEART 2 1 21 2   11 32 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 32% 2.10 2.20 S
DUFRESNE 5 4 6 69   6 48 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 17.90  
ROJA LIGERA 6 2 33 4   56 5 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 3.75  
CROWDING OUT 1 5 11 1   43 612¾ (walder r)TORRES A 117 6.00 26% 2.80 5.30  
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH               (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO               (ginter ray)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  SHINFULL               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  T MAX               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/06/2023 7260ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:163 1:412 2:053 2:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 3 2 2 21 21 1 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50 3.25  
FEDERALIST PAPERS 5 6 6 5 55 4 2 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5.00  
MYRISKYAFFAIR 4 5 55 45 43 33 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 28% 2.60 3.80 S
ENSEMBLE (IRE) 2 1 1 11 11 2 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 15.60  
EVER SUMMER 6 33 33 33 33 5100 5100 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 15% 5.60 2.60  
FRIVOLE (FR) 1 43 44 6100 6100 6100 6100 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20 3.00  
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60    
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE)               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
 
SAR-5   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:133 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURGEE 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1hd (gaudet lacey)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 W
1A  DURKIN'S CALL 7 5 31 3 2nk 2nk 2hd (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 15% 5.80 3.55  
HAMMERIN AAMER 6 7 73 53 4 35 3 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 17% 4.80 1.70 S
GOLDINI 2 6 6 6 6 5 4 (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 7.10  
SOUPER CATCH 1 2 4 4 53 46 510½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 40% 1.50 3.50  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 3 4 5 7 75 7 611¼ (baker charlton)TORRES A 115 3.00 3.55  
JUMPSTER 8 8 89 810¼ 813 811¾ 723 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 27.50  
SPRINKLEHEAD 4 1 1½ 1½ 3 6 829½ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 7.30  
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY               (chatterpaul n)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE ISLAND 1 5 3 42   2 1¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5.10  
LADY MOSCATO 5 2 2 1nk   1 2¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 6.00 19% 4.20 8.90 P
BEFORE YOU GO GO 9 3 4 3   32 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.50 S
RUBY QUEEN 8 7 6 5   5 4 (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 38.25  
HELCIA 6 4 8 78   6 512 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
GYPSY TALES 4 1 1 2nk   43 617 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.80  
AMERICA'S VOW 7 8 7 8   710½ 720¼ (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 21.60  
PHILANTHROPY 3 9 9 910¾   912 821¾ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 23.60  
HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) 2 6 5 67   811 922¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
 
SAR-7   08/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:142 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 7 6 32 32 2½ 1 1 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 12.00  
IT WASN'T ME 6 2 21 2½ 1½ 2 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 16% 5.30 1.35 P
13  VOLATILITY 8 7 7 66 31 34 3 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 23% 3.40 2.30 S
WICKSIEPIXIE 5 8 8 7 65 49 410¾ (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 16.60  
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 2 4 53 5 75 713½ 523¾ (chichakly amir)TORRES A 113 50.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
BELLESHAZZA 3 1 43 43 44 513 624¼ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 18.00  
GET RESPECT 4 3 11 1½ 5 613 727¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 4.80  
POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) 1 5 66 810 825 843½ 8100 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 11.40  
SCR  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  DON'T TELL AMY               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  FANCY STAX               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  SPIRIT AND FIRE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY               (contessa c)RIDER TBA 118 20.00    
SCR  TRES CHIC (ARG)               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Adirondack Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTWORK 3 3 31 32   11 15 (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.10 W
HERE U COME AGAIN 2 4 1½ 1½   21 25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 25% 2.90 2.70 P
STREAMING NOW 6 1 2½ 2½   31 3 (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.90 S
MAGIC CROSS 1 5 5 42   4 410 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 15.90  
PRINCESS INDY 5 7 8 8   7 514¾ (gonzalez claudi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 30.00 37.00  
PRINCESA CELINA 4 6 6 77   5 614¾ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.30  
10  BECKY'S JOKER 8 8 7 6   6 715¼ (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 21% 3.70 2.90  
COPPER EM 7 2 4 5   810¼ 820¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 4.40  
SCR  CARA'S TIME               (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 50.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SECRET               (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
 
SAR-9   08/06/2023 7260ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:151 1:414   2:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDA 2 1½ 2nk 21 1nk 15 1 (gonzalez claudio)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 15% 5.50 2.00 W
PENTAGON 3 3 32 31 2nk 25 2 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 P
CAN'T FOOL ME 1 4 4 42 3 3 3 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 9.20  
MISS KRISTY 5 5 54 5 43 48 413¼ (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 7% 13.20 4.50  
UP HER SLEEVE 4 2½ 1nk 11 5 513 520½ (levine bruce)TORRES A 120 12.00 10.10  
SCR  APRIL ANTICS               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
SCR  DIVINE WINE               (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00    
SCR  STRAND OF GOLD               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:271   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 1 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.90 W
UNAFFECTED 6 6 7 7 8 7 2 (romero raf)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 22.30  
10  SILENT RUNNING 8 7 8 66 58 5 33 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 20.00 7% 12.90 18.50 S
PRIX DE WEST 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 4 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9% 10.40 5.40  
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 4 9 910¾ 8 7 8 5 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00 31.25  
11  FAST STUDY 9 10 6 5 6 6 65 (schettino )DAVIS A 118 15.00 11.50  
12  ZAPRUDER 10 8 56 32 4 46 76 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 1.90  
STOW ON THE WOLD 2 3 45 4 3 3 8 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.30  
IN MY SHADOW 1 4 1011¼ 1012 912¼ 9 98 (fisher linda)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 35.25  
GIO'S MAJESTICNESS 5 2 35 911 1025¼ 1032¾ 1045 (romero jesus)CASTILLO AMIN 111 50.00 5% 19.00 50.00  
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  BERNARDINO               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY               (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  MYLES               (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER               (donk david)TORRES A 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.