Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-2   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%
MTH-5   WIN (4/8/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $18.80 $8.80 88%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS 4 1 11½ 11½ 12½ 14 14 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 2.50 15% 5.60 0.80 W
2  TE AMO 2 3 31½ 31½ 43½ 24 24 (penaloza migue)COTTO L 120 6.00 6.50  
5  JOY AND PROSPERITY 5 4 52¾ 53 64¼ 66¼ 36¾ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 4.00 43% 1.30 6.30 S
6  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION 6 5 21½ 21½ 22½ 34½ 47 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.00 5% 18.50 3.40  
1  SHERRY ORIENTAL 1 2 42½ 63¼ 54 46 57¼ (paterno robert)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 22.80  
3  POSTINO'S PROPHECY 3 7 65¼ 42½ 32½ 56 68¾ (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 122 4.00 15% 5.50 10.70  
8  JOY'S PRIDE 8 8 87¾ 76¼ 77¼ 710¼ 715 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00 29.40  
7  MODEL BEHAVIOR 7 6 75¼ 87¼ 810¼ 814¼ 818¾ (carang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 62.90  
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN               (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
SCR  CANOOCHEE               (farro patr)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA               (frangella ja)BATISTA A 115 8.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE               (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IFIHADACHANCE 1 3 51¾ 41¼   2½ 1hd (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70 W
2  UNADULTERATED 2 5 3.2 1nk   1½ 2hd (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 124 3.00 5.20  
4  SPANIKOPITA 4 6 64¼ 51¾   31½ 34¾ (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 31.30  
8  BOSS LIKE BETH 7 2 2nk 31   53 46 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00 24.70  
7  PONTIFFANY 6 1 1nk 2nk   42 57 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
6  PARISIAN VIBE 5 4 41¾ 62¾   65 611¼ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 12% 7.70 0.80  
3  MISS PEPPINA 3 7 712¼ 717¾   725 747½ (moore michael )RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 36% 1.70 4.40  
SCR  PEYTON'S COLLEGE               (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
 
MTH-3   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:233 :494 1:14 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRACY FLICK 6 7 78 85¾ 64 3.2 1¼ (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 49% 1.00 2.50 W
  (by WAR FRONT out of STAY THE NIGHT by VALLEY CROSSING)
3  HOLA GATA 3 5 54½ 54 74½ 2nk 2¼ (brown c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 5.90  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MORAKAMI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  IDLE CHATTER 2 4 67 64½ 43 1nk 35 (sisterson)VARGAS A 118 6.00 8.20  
  (by JUSTIFY out of STORM DIXIE by CATIENUS)
7  MADAKET'S ARROW 7 2 22 21 2nk 4¼ 47½ (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMASHOOQA by DUBAWI (IRE))
5  BETTER JUSTICE 5 8 88¼ 74¾ 53½ 51¾ 57½ (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 6.00 7.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BETTER NOT CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  WARDEYA 4 6 43 31½ 31½ 65¾ 613¾ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.50  
  (by TAPIT out of SABLAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  AUGIE'S GIRL 8 1 12 11 1nk 76 723¾ (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of QUIRL by MORE THAN READY)
1  EXHALATION 1 3 32 41½ 87½ 821 840½ (servis c)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 56.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BELTERRA by UNBRIDLED)
 
MTH-4   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:122 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON THUNDER 2 2 34½ 32½ 1½ 1nk 1nk (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 2.00 45% 1.20 0.60 W
1  INDIAN BUZZ 1 1 22 22 2½ 2nk 2nk (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 14.70  
5  LORD MIO 4 3 44½ 43 43 31½ 31¾ (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 10% 8.90 4.30 S
8  HONOR THE FLEET 6 4 12 12 32½ 42½ 48¼ (d'angelo j)RIVERA R 115 3.50 21% 3.80 5.10  
3  MISSISSIPPI 3 5 56½ 55½ 57 56½ 59½ (diaz jorg)VARGAS A 124 6.00 5.70  
7  BIG RED ROCKS 5 6 67½ 66½ 612 616½ 635¼ (wilson tony)COTTO L 120 12.00 19.90  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
SCR  MAJOR KONG               (ward dan)BATISTA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:223 :483 1:14 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EXTREME ACCESS 8 7 55 21 11½ 14 13 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of HIGH SPEED ACCESS by KINGMAMBO)
6  WISSAM SHARAF 5 8 87¾ 86½ 78½ 56½ 23 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 17.70  
  (by HONOR CODE out of ELGHAYOOR by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  PRINCE OF TROY 6 1 75¾ 43½ 21½ 24 36¼ (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
3  SCREAMING UNCLE 2 3 23 32½ 33 35 48¾ (brown c)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50 11% 7.70 2.50  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VENKAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  COAST ALONG 3 4 34 64 55½ 46½ 510¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.10  
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
8  INTERSTELLAR 7 6 65½ 75 43 68 617½ (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 4.00 18% 4.60 10.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of TIMELESS TRICK by MAZEL TRICK)
5  TWO MINUTES APART 4 2 44 53½ 66½ 711 718¼ (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00 14.40  
  (by WEST COAST out of UNBELIEVABLE DREAM by KITALPHA)
12  WAR STRIDE 9 9 913¾ 911½ 99½ 815 827 (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 12.10  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
2  WALK SADLY 1 5 13 11 89 925 958¼ (popovich james)COTTO L 123 30.00 74.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
SCR  DUDLEY DICKERSON               (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE               (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL               (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME               (pino mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
 
MTH-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PROUD MULE 3 5 11 14   14 1¼ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 58% 0.70 0.90 W
2  VIOLETS SMILE 2 3 31½ 24   24 2¼ (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00 17.40  
7  RACHEL CAROLINE 6 6 77½ 711   58½ 33¼ (frangella ja)BATISTA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 22.50 S
1  RANDOM LUCK 1 4 65 510   69½ 44¾ (cole-d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 10% 9.50 4.40  
6  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX 5 2 88 814   811¾ 55¾ (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 25.00  
5  POLITELY CROWNED 4 8 42 36   36½ 66¼ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 6% 14.50 7.60  
8  WICKED JANE 7 7 55 610   79¾ 78½ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 9.60  
9  SEA MAIDEN 8 1 21 47   48½ 810¼ (huston ro)VARGAS A 115 8.00 5.00  
SCR  TOOT YOUR HORN               (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00    
 
MTH-7   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:134 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOVE FOREVERAFTER 5 9 75¾ 76 84¼ 41¼ 12¾ (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 117 5.00 42% 1.40 2.60 W
7  CAN'T COMPLAIN 7 5 44 33 31 2nk 22¾ (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.50 5.20  
6  MYSTIC DREAMS 6 4 65¾ 65 52½ 72 33¾ (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00 5% 19.00 41.60 S
3  GOLDEN HAVEN 3 7 54¼ 43 41½ 61¾ 43¾ (crowell susan )TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 17% 5.00 7.90  
4  WAR MUSEUM 4 8 22½ 21½ 2nk 3.2 54½ (ryan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 5.20  
9  COLLECTIVE GOLD 9 3 86¾ 87 64 51¼ 65 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 7.70  
2  INFLUENTIALOUS 2 1 12½ 11½ 1nk 1nk 75¼ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 8% 11.30 6.00  
8  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL 8 2 34 54 74¼ 86 812¾ (duarte jorge)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00 7% 14.30 3.90  
1  RAINOUT 1 6 913¾ 915 912¼ 911 915½ (torres r)COTTO L 121 20.00 47.80  
SCR  LOST LUGGAGE               (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 4.50    
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE               (shuman ma)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SCR  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:133 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOOKINATLIGHTENING 4 4 1½ 1½ 11½ 13½ 16 (padilla-preciado)CASTILLO A 120 5.00 6.00  
1  WELCOMETOMYWORLD 1 1 62¼ 52 33 36 26 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 111 4.00 9% 10.10 6.30 P
5  ELIKA 5 3 2½ 2½ 21½ 23½ 36¼ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 29% 2.40 3.70 S
7  MO TOWN ANNIE 7 5 3½ 31 43½ 48 411 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 14% 6.10 1.00  
3  LUV U MARY JANE 3 6 75¾ 75 57½ 511 519½ (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 3.50 20% 4.10 6.10  
2  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 2 2 41 42 69½ 616 623 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 110 20.00 20.60  
6  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 6 7 52 63½ 710½ 716 729½ (flores-coba )ARROYO S 121 8.00 31.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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