The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Monmouth Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Exacta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $11.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-2-5 3 0 $28.45 -12.00
MTH-2   Win (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
    Exacta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $21.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-2-4 3 0 $99.60 -12.00
MTH-3   Win (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
    Exacta (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $23.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-3-2 3 0 $54.05 -12.00
MTH-4   Win (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $11.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-1-5 3 0 $13.30 -3.00
MTH-5   Win (3/4/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 8.80
    Exacta (3/4/7/8/9)-(3/4/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-6 2 0 $144.20 -20.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7/8/9)-(3/4/7/8/9)-(3/4/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 9-6-7 3 0 $498.80 -30.00
MTH-6   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $28.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-2-7 3 0 $91.20 -12.00
MTH-7   Win (2/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -2.80
    Exacta (2/3/5/6/8)-(2/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-7 2 0 $22.60 -20.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5/6/8)-(2/3/5/6/8)-(2/3/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 5-7-6 3 0 $215.20 -30.00
MTH-8   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $14.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $55.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-1-5 3 0 $107.25 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
:242 :491 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS 4 1 1 1 1 14 14 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 2.50 15% 5.60 0.80 W
TE AMO 2 3 3 3 4 24 24 (penaloza miguel)COTTO L 120 6.00 6.50  
JOY AND PROSPERITY 5 4 5 53 6 63(sweezey k)VARGAS A 124 4.00 43% 1.30 6.30 S
EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION 6 5 2 2 2 347 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.00 5% 18.50 3.40  
SHERRY ORIENTAL 1 2 4 6 54 46 5(paterno t)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 22.80  
POSTINO'S PROPHECY 3 7 6 4 3 56 6(einhorn kim)LUZZI J 122 4.00 15% 5.50 10.70  
JOY'S PRIDE 8 8 8 7 7 710¼ 715 (huston rory )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00 29.40  
MODEL BEHAVIOR 7 6 7 8 810¼ 814¼ 818¾ (carango )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 62.90  
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN               (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
SCR  CANOOCHEE               (farro patric)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA               (frangella jame)BATISTA A 115 8.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE               (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
:232 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IFIHADACHANCE 1 3 5 4   2½ 1hd (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70 W
UNADULTERATED 2 5 3.2 1nk   1½ 2hd (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 124 3.00 5.20  
SPANIKOPITA 4 6 6 5   33(cole-davis t)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 31.30  
BOSS LIKE BETH 7 2 2nk 31   53 46 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00 24.70  
PONTIFFANY 6 1 1nk 2nk   42 57 (hawthorne bobb)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
PARISIAN VIBE 5 4 4 6   65 611¼ (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 12% 7.70 0.80  
MISS PEPPINA 3 7 712¼ 717¾   725 747½ (moore m)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 36% 1.70 4.40  
SCR  PEYTON'S COLLEGE               (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
 
MTH-3   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
:233 :494 1:14 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACY FLICK 6 7 78 8 64 3.2 1¼ (mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 49% 1.00 2.50 W
HOLA GATA 3 5 5 54 7 2nk 2¼ (brown c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 5.90  
IDLE CHATTER 2 4 67 6 43 1nk 35 (sisterson j)VARGAS A 118 6.00 8.20  
MADAKET'S ARROW 7 2 22 21 2nk 4¼ 4(pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8.40  
BETTER JUSTICE 5 8 8 7 5 55(brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 6.00 7.00  
WARDEYA 4 6 43 3 3 6613¾ (pletcher a)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.50  
AUGIE'S GIRL 8 1 12 11 1nk 76 723¾ (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
EXHALATION 1 3 32 4 8 821 840½ (servis c)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 56.40  
 
MTH-4   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
:23 :47 1:122 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON THUNDER 2 2 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk (david a)OLVER MADISON 117 2.00 45% 1.20 0.60 W
INDIAN BUZZ 1 1 22 22 2½ 2nk 2nk (torres pabl)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 14.70  
LORD MIO 4 3 4 43 43 33(gonzalez claud)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 10% 8.90 4.30 S
HONOR THE FLEET 6 4 12 12 3 44(d'angelo jos)RIVERA R 115 3.50 21% 3.80 5.10  
MISSISSIPPI 3 5 5 5 57 55(diaz jorge)VARGAS A 124 6.00 5.70  
BIG RED ROCKS 5 6 6 6 612 616½ 635¼ (wilson tony)COTTO L 120 12.00 19.90  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (d'angelo fr)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
SCR  MAJOR KONG               (ward dan)BATISTA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
:223 :483 1:14 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTREME ACCESS 8 7 55 21 1 14 13 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
WISSAM SHARAF 5 8 8 8 7 523 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 17.70  
PRINCE OF TROY 6 1 7 4 2 24 3(cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50 S
SCREAMING UNCLE 2 3 23 3 33 35 4(brown c)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50 11% 7.70 2.50  
COAST ALONG 3 4 34 64 5 4510¾ (mcgaughey clau)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.10  
INTERSTELLAR 7 6 6 75 43 68 617½ (breen kelly)VARGAS A 118 4.00 18% 4.60 10.10  
TWO MINUTES APART 4 2 44 5 6 711 718¼ (crook-demasi kat)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00 14.40  
12  WAR STRIDE 9 9 913¾ 911½ 9 815 827 (pletcher a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 12.10  
WALK SADLY 1 5 13 11 89 925 958¼ (popovich a)COTTO L 123 30.00 74.20  
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
SCR  DUDLEY DICKERSON               (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00    
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE               (cash j)MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL               (milne jo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME               (pino micha)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
 
MTH-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:222 :453 :582     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD MULE 3 5 11 14   14 1¼ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 58% 0.70 0.90 W
VIOLETS SMILE 2 3 3 24   24 2¼ (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00 17.40  
RACHEL CAROLINE 6 6 7 711   53(frangella jame)BATISTA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 22.50 S
RANDOM LUCK 1 4 65 510   64(cole-dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 10% 9.50 4.40  
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX 5 2 88 814   811¾ 5(bailey ricar)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 25.00  
POLITELY CROWNED 4 8 42 36   36(gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 6% 14.50 7.60  
WICKED JANE 7 7 55 610   77(gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 9.60  
SEA MAIDEN 8 1 21 47   4810¼ (huston rory)VARGAS A 115 8.00 5.00  
SCR  TOOT YOUR HORN               (mcburney patrick)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00    
 
MTH-7   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:233 :49 1:134 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE FOREVERAFTER 5 9 7 76 8 41(delgado jorge)BATISTA A 117 5.00 42% 1.40 2.60 W
CAN'T COMPLAIN 7 5 44 33 31 2nk 2(pino v)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.50 5.20  
MYSTIC DREAMS 6 4 6 65 5 72 3(mazza w)IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00 5% 19.00 41.60 S
GOLDEN HAVEN 3 7 5 43 4 64(crowell l)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 17% 5.00 7.90  
WAR MUSEUM 4 8 2 2 2nk 3.2 5(ryan der)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 5.20  
COLLECTIVE GOLD 9 3 8 87 64 565 (brown howar)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 7.70  
INFLUENTIALOUS 2 1 1 1 1nk 1nk 7(wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 8% 11.30 6.00  
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL 8 2 34 54 7 86 812¾ (duarte j)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00 7% 14.30 3.90  
RAINOUT 1 6 913¾ 915 912¼ 911 915½ (torres r)COTTO L 121 20.00 47.80  
SCR  LOST LUGGAGE               (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 4.50    
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE               (shuman mark)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SCR  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
:23 :472 1:133 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKINATLIGHTENING 4 4 1½ 1½ 1 116 (padilla-preciado e)CASTILLO A 120 5.00 6.00  
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 1 1 6 52 33 36 26 (david a)OLVER MADISON 111 4.00 9% 10.10 6.30 P
ELIKA 5 3 2½ 2½ 2 23(gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 29% 2.40 3.70 S
MO TOWN ANNIE 7 5 3½ 31 4 48 411 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 14% 6.10 1.00  
LUV U MARY JANE 3 6 7 75 5 511 519½ (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 3.50 20% 4.10 6.10  
REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 2 2 41 42 6 616 623 (bennett gerald )IORIO MELISSA 110 20.00 20.60  
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 6 7 52 6 710½ 716 729½ (flores-coba fe)ARROYO S 121 8.00 31.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.