Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/8/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/3/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/8/6)-(5/3/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/8/6)-(5/3/2/8/6)-(5/3/2/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERRY ORIENTAL Jul28 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 (paterno robert)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
TE AMO Jul16 Jul08 May29 Oct21 Oct07 (penaloza migue)COTTO L 120 6.00    
POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jul16 Jun24 May29 Oct07 Aug28 (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jun17 May27 Apr07 Mar19 Feb04 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 2.50 15% 5.60    
JOY AND PROSPERITY Jul21 Jun24 May29 Oct07   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.00 5% 18.50    
MODEL BEHAVIOR Jun17 Jun02 Aug28 Aug15 Jul15 (carang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
JOY'S PRIDE Jul26 Jul09 Jun23 May27 Nov15 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00    
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN Jul09 Aug06 Jul02 Jun12   (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
SCR  CANOOCHEE Jul09 Jun09 May27 Apr10 Mar13 (farro patr)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 May20 Oct08 (frangella ja)BATISTA A 115 8.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE Jul28 Jun30 Jun17 Sep23 Aug28 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IFIHADACHANCE Jul05 Jun10 May10 Apr05 Mar13 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
UNADULTERATED Jun28 Jun07 May09 Feb24 Jan28 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 124 3.00    
MISS PEPPINA Jun20 May17 Apr24 Mar29 Mar07 (moore michael )RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 36% 1.70    
SPANIKOPITA Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 May15 Apr26 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
SCR  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Jul26 Jul18 Jun12 May15 Apr04 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
PARISIAN VIBE Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 Apr19 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 12% 7.70    
PONTIFFANY Jun26 Jun10 May02 Apr17 Mar27 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS LIKE BETH Jul28 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00    
 
MTH-3   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXHALATION Jul15 May31 May13     (servis c)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BELTERRA by UNBRIDLED)
IDLE CHATTER Jun24 Apr07 Feb16     (sisterson)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STORM DIXIE by CATIENUS)
HOLA GATA Jul15 Nov05 Aug21 Jul24   (brown c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MORAKAMI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
WARDEYA Jul02 May03 Feb12     (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of SABLAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BETTER JUSTICE         (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BETTER NOT CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
TRACY FLICK         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of STAY THE NIGHT by VALLEY CROSSING)
MADAKET'S ARROW Jul22 May27       (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMASHOOQA by DUBAWI (IRE))
AUGIE'S GIRL Jul09         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of QUIRL by MORE THAN READY)
 
MTH-4   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN BUZZ Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 Apr21 Apr05 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
BOURBON THUNDER Jul23 Jul08 Jun02 Apr21 Feb17 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
MISSISSIPPI Jul26 Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 Jun06 (diaz jorg)VARGAS A 124 6.00    
SCR  MAJOR KONG Jul07 Jun18 May27 May05 Apr14 (ward dan)BATISTA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LORD MIO Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 May20 Apr02 (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jul08 Jun03 May18 May04 Apr06 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
BIG RED ROCKS Jul22 Jun24 Jun04 May13 Mar26 (wilson tony)COTTO L 120 12.00    
HONOR THE FLEET Jul28 Jun19 May29 May04 Apr15 (d'angelo j)RIVERA R 115 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MTH-5   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jul14 Jun11 May27 Nov10 Oct14 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
WALK SADLY Jul09         (popovich james)COTTO L 123 30.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCREAMING UNCLE Jul02 May21       (brown c)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50 11% 7.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VENKAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
COAST ALONG Jun17 May14 Apr15 Feb18 Jan07 (mcgaughey cl)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
TWO MINUTES APART Jul15 Aug14 Jul23 Jul01   (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of UNBELIEVABLE DREAM by KITALPHA)
WISSAM SHARAF         (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ELGHAYOOR by GHOSTZAPPER)
PRINCE OF TROY Jul14 Jun17 Jun01 May14 Aug19 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
INTERSTELLAR Apr08 Dec10       (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIMELESS TRICK by MAZEL TRICK)
EXTREME ACCESS May27 May14 Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HIGH SPEED ACCESS by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME Jul24 Jun04 Apr29 Jan19 Nov23 (pino mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
SCR  DUDLEY DICKERSON Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May29 May01 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
12  WAR STRIDE         (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  CUMBERLAND Jun03 Mar17 Jan26     (weaver george)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE Jul14 Jun03 May21 Nov13 Sep30 (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 10.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
 
MTH-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOM LUCK Jul15 Jul02 May20 Apr25 Apr11 (cole-d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
VIOLETS SMILE Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Oct22 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00    
PROUD MULE Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May13 Mar25 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  TOOT YOUR HORN Jul07         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00    
POLITELY CROWNED Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun17 Apr30 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 6% 14.50    
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Aug05 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 May27 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
RACHEL CAROLINE Jul15 Jun23 Jun02 Sep23 Aug28 (frangella ja)BATISTA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED JANE Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Jan16 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
SEA MAIDEN Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 May13 (huston ro)VARGAS A 115 8.00    
 
MTH-7   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINOUT Jul21 Jul08 Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 (torres r)COTTO L 121 20.00    
INFLUENTIALOUS Jun30 Jun02 May03 Mar25 Feb01 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 8% 11.30    
GOLDEN HAVEN Jul30 Jun30 Jun12 May29 Apr27 (crowell susan )TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
WAR MUSEUM Jun30 Jun17 May28 Apr22 Mar24 (ryan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
LOVE FOREVERAFTER Apr23 Apr02 Jan29 Jan06   (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 117 5.00 42% 1.40    
MYSTIC DREAMS Jul15 Jun30 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T COMPLAIN Jun30 May24 Apr03 Mar01 Feb07 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.50    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Jul14 May28 May13 Feb22 Feb01 (duarte jorge)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00 7% 14.30    
COLLECTIVE GOLD Jul30 Jun30 Jun02 Apr12 Mar05 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
SCR  LOST LUGGAGE Jul15 Jun30 Jun07 May18 Apr12 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 4.50    
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE Jul16 May27 Dec06 Nov06 Oct14 (shuman ma)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SCR  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT Jul27 Jul02 May28 Apr28 Mar23 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELCOMETOMYWORLD Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 May18 Apr20 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 111 4.00 9% 10.10    
REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Jun18 May29 Mar17 Nov02 Oct05 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 110 20.00    
LUV U MARY JANE Jul21 Jun18 Nov25 Nov06 Oct13 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 3.50 20% 4.10    
LOOKINATLIGHTENING Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun10 Mar21 (padilla-preciado)CASTILLO A 120 5.00    
ELIKA Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Oct16 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May29 May16 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 121 8.00    
MO TOWN ANNIE Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May28 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.