Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-6   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $30.50 $18.50 154%
SAR-8   EXA (2/13/8/1)-(2/13/12/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-12 $26.50 $10.50 66%
SAR-9   EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $16.90 $4.90 41%
SAR-10   WIN (14/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  11 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(14/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-11 $17.90 $5.90 49%
    PK3 (2/13/8/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(14/11/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00  2-2-11 $63.75 $15.75 33%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COREY AND QUINN 3 3 2½ 1nk   11 11½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60 1.45 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of YOUCAN'TCATCHME by THE DADDY)
1  LA GIRVINA 1 6 54½ 52   31 21½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5.50  
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
6  VIVID DREAMS 5 1 42½ 41½   21 35 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 14% 6.00 1.90 S
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
7  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 6 5 65 63   45 46 (falcone rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 16.80  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MAGESTIC STINGER by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  CRUSHED ICE 4 4 31 2nk   56 512¾ (quartarolo a)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 7.80  
  (by CONNECT out of STARLET STORM by THE FACTOR)
2  SPUN SPECIAL 2 2 1½ 3½   68 619½ (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 31% 2.30 6.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECIAL THANKS by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  REE               (d'angelo jose )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 30.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  WHITE CHOCOLATE               (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
 
SAR-2   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:122 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  T MAX 6 3 12 12½ 14 18 115¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 63% 0.60 1.10 W
5  LUNA LOCA 5 2 32 33 24 28 215¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.40  
4  ACCEL ROSE 4 4 54¼ 57 48 413 316½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
7  SIMPLE SUGAR 7 5 42¼ 22½ 34 39½ 418 (giglio g)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 7% 13.90 8.10  
2  SWEET AS SUGAR 2 7 66¾ 69½ 712 717½ 522½ (shivmangal l)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
1  RACING COLORS 1 6 77¼ 710½ 611½ 515½ 622¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00 12.20  
3  REDZILLA 3 1 22 46 511 616 725¼ (parag)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 34.50  
 
SAR-3   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:13 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WESTERN LANE 3 3 41¼ 32 1nk 1½ 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 12% 7.30 0.70 W
10  DUCKPHAT 5 5 31 42 4¾ 2½ 2hd (winney m)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5.90  
9  POUT 4 2 2nk 21 3½ 34 38¾ (zito nichola)TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
4  MISS SAN GABRIEL 2 4 1nk 11 2nk 48 419¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 65% 0.50 1.95  
3  JUDGEMENT TIME 1 1 51¾ 52½ 58¾ 518 523 (thomp)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 23.00  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS STARE               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  RIVER TAY (IRE)               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
SCR  MOULY               (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  DASHING DELLA               (arenas marcelo)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:121 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STUNNINGLY 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 23% 3.40 1.35 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HAPPY MESA by SKY MESA)
8  REVOLVING CREDIT 8 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 15% 5.50 5.40 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TWITTER PIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  PARIS STYLE (FR) 5 4 42 31½ 33 33 34¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 22.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MESEIKA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  MAGICAL SONG 1 5 76½ 75 55½ 45 48¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 39% 1.60 6.90  
  (by TAPIT out of SONGBIRD by TALC)
3  MISS OUR HERO 3 7 52½ 42 45 67 514 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 11.90  
  (by TAPIT out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
6  RHIANNON 6 6 63 63½ 66 56½ 615 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AUNTIE JOY by UNCLE MO)
2  RAYYA VALENTINE 2 8 87½ 87½ 710 711 718¼ (summers chad)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 31.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  KEEP IT SEXY 7 3 32 52 811½ 811½ 826¾ (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
 
SAR-5   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:113 1:363   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CRUPI 2 3 31½ 31 2nk 12½ 13¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 3.85  
5  ROYAL SPIRIT 1 1 21½ 21 31 22½ 23¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 2.30  
11  PADDINGTON 3 2 11½ 11 1nk 35 315¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 30% 2.40 0.45 S
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  HOLD THE SALSA               (lugovich li)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00    
SCR  NOBEL (IRE)               (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  OGLETHORPE               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  REGAL KINGDOM               (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  CATCH THAT PARTY               (maker michael )ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCING MISCHIEF 3 1 21½ 21½ 2½ 12½ 17 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 44% 1.30 2.40 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
7  KHADULLAH 7 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 22½ 27 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30 P
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  ERIC FROM MIAMI 6 6 32½ 33 43 34½ 37 (de h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 3.00  
  (by ALTERNATION out of BERNADINE by BLASE)
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 7 55 55 56 46½ 47½ (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 11.30  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
4  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 4 4 43 43½ 32½ 56½ 514¼ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 6.80  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOIGNE by INCLUDE)
9  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 8 8 811 816 717 614½ 616 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 ★ 19.40  
  (by LEOFRIC out of DERWIN'S LADY by LANGFUHR)
2  LOVE THAT BIRD 2 3 77 715½ 825 719½ 725½ (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00 23.30  
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
1  FROZEN FOUR 1 5 65½ 65½ 614 825½ 861 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.60  
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
SCR  LAST DRINK               (ward wesley )TORRES A 114 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of I DRINK ALONE by INTIDAB)
SCR  MORTAL SIN               (doran carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  SENEGAL               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HOLLY'S STAR by DUBLIN)
SCR  UNAUDITED               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GRACEWOOD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SAR-7   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:37   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLUE DEVIL 6 4 21 21 21 31 1hd (hiles je)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 11.80  
5  COSTA TERRA 5 5 65¼ 67 54½ 21 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 34% 1.90 2.60 P
4  SPEED BIAS 4 2 11 11 11 11 3¼ (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 32% 2.20 1.65 S
2  RED RUN 2 1 31 43½ 43½ 44½ 47¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 2.50 3.00  
1  PORTOS 1 3 77¼ 79½ 78 610½ 513¼ (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 20.30  
3  BOURBON CALLING 3 6 52¼ 53½ 33 58 615½ (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
7  HE'S A MESS 7 7 42 32 66 715½ 723 (connelly teresa)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
 
SAR-8   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:214 :452 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHIP CADET 2 1 1½ 11   13½ 11¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 59% 0.70 2.45 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA MIA by HARBOR THE GOLD)
12  EL GRANDE O 8 3 31 31½   33½ 21¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★ 10.50 P
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  SEIZE THE GREY 4 9 96½ 97   46 32¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 1.85  
  (by ARROGATE out of SMART SHOPPING by SMART STRIKE)
8  BILLY THE GREEK 6 4 64 64½   67½ 410 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of KITTEN'S DANCER by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  GO OTTO GO 7 8 85½ 75½   77¾ 511¾ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 8.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of COURT DANCER by WAR CHANT)
13  ANTONIO OF VENICE 9 6 42½ 42   23½ 612 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 12% 7.50 7.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
1  UNTROUBLED 1 2 52½ 53   56½ 714 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of RAMBLING RHONDA by TAPIZAR)
3  SEBASTIAN RUN 3 7 75 85½   88¾ 814½ (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00 45.00  
  (by KANTHAROS out of OURS TO RUN by HALF OURS)
6  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE 5 5 2½ 21   915¾ 938¼ (spraggin)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 36.75  
  (by MUNNINGS out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
SCR  FACTOR U AND ME IN               (coletti edward )CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  FANDOM (GB)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BROGAN by NIJINSKY II)
SCR  JIMMYTHETOOTH               (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  NO NAY METS (IRE)               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-9   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:221 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRISONER 2 1 1½ 11½   1nk 1nk (baker charlt)TORRES A 118 3.50 35% 1.90 2.30 W
1  SEVEN NATION ARMY 1 5 31 21½   2nk 2nk (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 P
6  THINKABOUTIT 4 3 42 54   55 32¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 4.20  
8  RAM 6 7 77½ 67½   66½ 43 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.80  
9  WENDELL FONG 7 6 52 43   44½ 53½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 9.50  
5  HAPPY FARM 3 2 2½ 32   33½ 64¼ (arriaga anton)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.70  
7  CEES GET DEGREES 5 4 63 78   712 713½ (diprima gregor)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 16% 5.40 5.90  
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT               (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
SCR  SPEIGHT AND MALICE               (caramori caio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 30.00    
 
SAR-10   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CUT THE CORD 4 5 59 57 56 31½ 13½ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 25% 3.10 2.75 W
10  FACTUALLY CORRECT 3 2 22 22 1½ 11½ 23½ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 10.40  
3  BOURBON CHASE 2 4 610½ 611½ 66½ 51¾ 33½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 15.50 2.60 S
14  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) 6 6 45½ 45½ 32½ 21½ 45¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 45% 1.20 3.00  
13  LITTLE MADDY BROWN 5 3 12 12 2½ 41¾ 511½ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 12.00 13.80  
1  RALLY SQUIRREL 1 1 33½ 33 42½ 65¼ 634 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 3.05  
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT               (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN GRANT               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.