Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
SAR-2   Win (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
SAR-3   Win (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-4   Win (1/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
SAR-5   Win (11/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $9.70  
SAR-6   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
SAR-7   Win (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $25.60  
SAR-8   Win (2/13/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.90 $6.90  
SAR-9   Win (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
SAR-10   Win (14/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COREY AND QUINN 3 3 2½ 1nk   11 11½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60 1.45 W
1  LA GIRVINA 1 6 54½ 52   31 21½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5.50  
6  VIVID DREAMS 5 1 42½ 41½   21 35 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 14% 6.00 1.90 S
7  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 6 5 65 63   45 46 (falcone rober)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 16.80  
4  CRUSHED ICE 4 4 31 2nk   56 512¾ (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 7.80  
2  SPUN SPECIAL 2 2 1½ 3½   68 619½ (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 31% 2.30 6.90  
SCR  REE               (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 30.00    
SCR  WHITE CHOCOLATE               (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:122 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  T MAX 6 3 12 12½ 14 18 115¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 63% 0.60 1.10 W
5  LUNA LOCA 5 2 32 33 24 28 215¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.40  
4  ACCEL ROSE 4 4 54¼ 57 48 413 316½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
7  SIMPLE SUGAR 7 5 42¼ 22½ 34 39½ 418 (giglio gin)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 7% 13.90 8.10  
2  SWEET AS SUGAR 2 7 66¾ 69½ 712 717½ 522½ (shivmangal lol)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
1  RACING COLORS 1 6 77¼ 710½ 611½ 515½ 622¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00 12.20  
3  REDZILLA 3 1 22 46 511 616 725¼ (paragal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 34.50  
 
SAR-3   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:13 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WESTERN LANE 3 3 41¼ 32 1nk 1½ 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 12% 7.30 0.70 W
10  DUCKPHAT 5 5 31 42 4¾ 2½ 2hd (winney mel)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5.90  
9  POUT 4 2 2nk 21 3½ 34 38¾ (zito nicholas )TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
4  MISS SAN GABRIEL 2 4 1nk 11 2nk 48 419¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 65% 0.50 1.95  
3  JUDGEMENT TIME 1 1 51¾ 52½ 58¾ 518 523 (thompso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 23.00  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS STARE               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  RIVER TAY (IRE)               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
SCR  MOULY               (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  DASHING DELLA               (arenas marcelo)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin f)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:121 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STUNNINGLY 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 23% 3.40 1.35 W
8  REVOLVING CREDIT 8 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 15% 5.50 5.40 P
5  PARIS STYLE (FR) 5 4 42 31½ 33 33 34¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 22.50  
1  MAGICAL SONG 1 5 76½ 75 55½ 45 48¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 39% 1.60 6.90  
3  MISS OUR HERO 3 7 52½ 42 45 67 514 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 11.90  
6  RHIANNON 6 6 63 63½ 66 56½ 615 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.20  
2  RAYYA VALENTINE 2 8 87½ 87½ 710 711 718¼ (summers chad)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 31.00  
7  KEEP IT SEXY 7 3 32 52 811½ 811½ 826¾ (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
 
SAR-5   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:113 1:363   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CRUPI 2 3 31½ 31 2nk 12½ 13¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 3.85  
5  ROYAL SPIRIT 1 1 21½ 21 31 22½ 23¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 2.30  
11  PADDINGTON 3 2 11½ 11 1nk 35 315¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 30% 2.40 0.45 S
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  HOLD THE SALSA               (lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00    
SCR  NOBEL (IRE)               (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  OGLETHORPE               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  REGAL KINGDOM               (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  CATCH THAT PARTY               (maker j)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCING MISCHIEF 3 1 21½ 21½ 2½ 12½ 17 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 44% 1.30 2.40 W
7  KHADULLAH 7 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 22½ 27 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30 P
6  ERIC FROM MIAMI 6 6 32½ 33 43 34½ 37 (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 3.00  
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 7 55 55 56 46½ 47½ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 11.30  
4  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 4 4 43 43½ 32½ 56½ 514¼ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 6.80  
9  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 8 8 811 816 717 614½ 616 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 ★ 19.40  
2  LOVE THAT BIRD 2 3 77 715½ 825 719½ 725½ (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00 23.30  
1  FROZEN FOUR 1 5 65½ 65½ 614 825½ 861 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.60  
SCR  LAST DRINK               (ward a)TORRES A 114 8.00    
SCR  MORTAL SIN               (doran carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  SENEGAL               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
SCR  UNAUDITED               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:37   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLUE DEVIL 6 4 21 21 21 31 1hd (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 11.80  
5  COSTA TERRA 5 5 65¼ 67 54½ 21 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 34% 1.90 2.60 P
4  SPEED BIAS 4 2 11 11 11 11 3¼ (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 32% 2.20 1.65 S
2  RED RUN 2 1 31 43½ 43½ 44½ 47¼ (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 3.00  
1  PORTOS 1 3 77¼ 79½ 78 610½ 513¼ (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 20.30  
3  BOURBON CALLING 3 6 52¼ 53½ 33 58 615½ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
7  HE'S A MESS 7 7 42 32 66 715½ 723 (connelly teresa)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
 
SAR-8   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:214 :452 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHIP CADET 2 1 1½ 11   13½ 11¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 59% 0.70 2.45 W
12  EL GRANDE O 8 3 31 31½   33½ 21¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★ 10.50 P
4  SEIZE THE GREY 4 9 96½ 97   46 32¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 1.85  
8  BILLY THE GREEK 6 4 64 64½   67½ 410 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
10  GO OTTO GO 7 8 85½ 75½   77¾ 511¾ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 8.10  
13  ANTONIO OF VENICE 9 6 42½ 42   23½ 612 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 12% 7.50 7.40  
1  UNTROUBLED 1 2 52½ 53   56½ 714 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
3  SEBASTIAN RUN 3 7 75 85½   88¾ 814½ (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00 45.00  
6  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE 5 5 2½ 21   915¾ 938¼ (spraggins )SANTANA JR 122 20.00 36.75  
SCR  FACTOR U AND ME IN               (coletti j)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
SCR  FANDOM (GB)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
SCR  JIMMYTHETOOTH               (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  NO NAY METS (IRE)               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40    
 
SAR-9   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:221 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRISONER 2 1 1½ 11½   1nk 1nk (baker charlton)TORRES A 118 3.50 35% 1.90 2.30 W
1  SEVEN NATION ARMY 1 5 31 21½   2nk 2nk (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 P
6  THINKABOUTIT 4 3 42 54   55 32¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 4.20  
8  RAM 6 7 77½ 67½   66½ 43 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.80  
9  WENDELL FONG 7 6 52 43   44½ 53½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 9.50  
5  HAPPY FARM 3 2 2½ 32   33½ 64¼ (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.70  
7  CEES GET DEGREES 5 4 63 78   712 713½ (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 16% 5.40 5.90  
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT               (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
SCR  SPEIGHT AND MALICE               (caramori caio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 30.00    
 
SAR-10   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CUT THE CORD 4 5 59 57 56 31½ 13½ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 25% 3.10 2.75 W
10  FACTUALLY CORRECT 3 2 22 22 1½ 11½ 23½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 10.40  
3  BOURBON CHASE 2 4 610½ 611½ 66½ 51¾ 33½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 15.50 2.60 S
14  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) 6 6 45½ 45½ 32½ 21½ 45¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 45% 1.20 3.00  
13  LITTLE MADDY BROWN 5 3 12 12 2½ 41¾ 511½ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 12.00 13.80  
1  RALLY SQUIRREL 1 1 33½ 33 42½ 65¼ 634 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 3.05  
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT               (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN GRANT               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.