Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (11) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-6   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (2/13/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (14/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA GIRVINA         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
2  SPUN SPECIAL Jul08 Jun10 May13 Nov04 Oct14 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
3  COREY AND QUINN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  CRUSHED ICE         (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  REE Jul21 Jun16 Dec18 Nov26 Oct28 (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 30.00    
6  VIVID DREAMS Jul21 Nov04       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  TAKE TIME TO DREAM         (falcone rober)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  WHITE CHOCOLATE Dec15         (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING COLORS Aug03 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 May11 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00    
2  SWEET AS SUGAR Jul09 Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 Jan12 (shivmangal lol)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  REDZILLA Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 May18 May04 (paragal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
4  ACCEL ROSE Jul21 Jun17 May18 Apr20 Mar31 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUNA LOCA Jul02 May20 Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
6  T MAX Jun17 May13 Feb11 Nov26 Oct30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 63% 0.60    
7  SIMPLE SUGAR Jul09 Jun04 Mar30 Feb20 Jan20 (giglio gin)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
SAR-3   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FROM HELLO Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 Mar24 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
SCR  RIVER TAY (IRE) Jul28 Jun24 Jun02     (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
SCR  MOULY Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Jun30 Jun10 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
3  JUDGEMENT TIME Aug05 Jun30 Jun02 May13 Sep24 (thompson glenn)TORRES A 118 30.00    
4  MISS SAN GABRIEL Jul27 Jun03 Apr15 Jul13   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar26 Feb24 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS STARE May14 Apr15 Mar11 Jul02   (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
7  WESTERN LANE Jul19 Jun22 May28 Feb10 Jan29 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS Jul07 Jun02 May13 Apr15 Nov20 (martin f)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
9  POUT Jul27 Jun16 Apr27 Mar30 Feb17 (zito nicholas )TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  DUCKPHAT Jul26 Jul03 May28 Apr13 Mar18 (winney mel)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
SCR  DASHING DELLA Jul30 Jun23 May29 May04 Apr13 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  SHIGEKO Aug16 Jul30 Dec18 Nov19 Jun19 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL SONG Mar17 Dec31 Nov04     (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  RAYYA VALENTINE         (summers chad)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
3  MISS OUR HERO         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
4  STUNNINGLY Jul20 Jun23 Apr07 Sep04 Jul04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  PARIS STYLE (FR) Jul15 Apr07       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
6  RHIANNON         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
7  KEEP IT SEXY Jul29 Jun03 May13 Oct22 Sep23 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  REVOLVING CREDIT Jul20         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
SAR-5   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jun24 May27 May04 Nov27 Oct21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
SCR  REGAL KINGDOM Jul15 Jun02 Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE Jul21 Jun10 Oct21 Sep02 Jul24 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Aug05 Jun17 May27 Nov19 Oct22 (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
5  ROYAL SPIRIT Jul21 Jun24 May11 Apr16 Mar17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  CATCH THAT PARTY Jul21 Jun23 May28 Nov11 Oct13 (maker j)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
SCR  NOBEL (IRE) Aug27 May17 Apr20 Mar11 Feb12 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  OGLETHORPE Jul14 May21 Apr15 Mar17 Jul22 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  HOLD THE SALSA Jun24 May27 May04 Apr01 Jul02 (lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00    
10  CRUPI Jul07 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Nov20 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
11  PADDINGTON Jul22 Jun29 May27     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 30% 2.40    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROZEN FOUR Aug03         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  LOVE THAT BIRD Jul28         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
3  DANCING MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun16       (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Aug03 Jul16 Jun23     (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT Jul27         (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
6  ERIC FROM MIAMI Jul28         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
7  KHADULLAH Jul16 Jun23 May28     (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENEGAL Jul27         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
9  ONE WITHEVERYTHING         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  UNAUDITED Aug03 Jun23       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  MORTAL SIN Aug17 Jul27 Jul07     (doran carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  LAST DRINK         (ward a)TORRES A 114 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/18/2023 6270ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTOS Aug02 Jul13 Jun10 Apr01 Mar11 (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
2  RED RUN Jul08 Jun10 May03 Apr07 Mar12 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
3  BOURBON CALLING Jul16 Jun17 May05 Mar19 Feb20 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPEED BIAS Jul21 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Mar16 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  COSTA TERRA Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 May13 Apr01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
6  BLUE DEVIL Jul14 Jun24 Jun01 Feb17 Jan06 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
7  HE'S A MESS Jul25 Jun06 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 (connelly teresa)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 11% 7.90    
 
SAR-8   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNTROUBLED Jun06 May15       (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHIP CADET Jul30 Jun11 May12     (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 59% 0.70    
3  SEBASTIAN RUN Jul08 Jun17       (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
4  SEIZE THE GREY Jul29 Jul01       (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  FACTOR U AND ME IN Jul30 May01       (coletti j)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
6  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Jul09 May29 May11     (spraggins )SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  NO NAY METS (IRE) Jul30 May13       (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40    
8  BILLY THE GREEK Jul21         (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FANDOM (GB) Apr27         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
10  GO OTTO GO Jul02 May25       (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  JIMMYTHETOOTH Jul27 Jul07 Jun16     (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
12  EL GRANDE O Jul07 Jun16 May28     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★    
13  ANTONIO OF VENICE Jul20 Jun23 May12     (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
SAR-9   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN NATION ARMY Jul22 Jun15 Apr23 Mar09 Jan28 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRISONER Jul09 Jun10 May13 Mar19 Feb26 (baker charlton)TORRES A 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT Jul14 Jun10 Apr27 Mar26 Mar12 (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
SCR  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Jul20 Jun30 Jun04 May21 Aug21 (caramori caio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 30.00    
5  HAPPY FARM Jul14 Jun15 May27 Apr23 Mar30 (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  THINKABOUTIT Jul14 Jun04 May21 Apr27 Mar24 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50    
7  CEES GET DEGREES Jul14 Jun22 May19 Apr28 Mar18 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
8  RAM Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun01 May13 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
9  WENDELL FONG May02 Apr20 Mar04 Jan29 Jan04 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALLY SQUIRREL Jun15 May24 Apr26 Mar16 Jan19 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 May06 Oct27 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
3  BOURBON CHASE Jul21 May11 Apr01 Jan28 Jan06 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jul02 Jul15 May30     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN GRANT Jul13 Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar31 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Aug03 Jul04 Jun02 Dec11 Oct30 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 Nov05 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
10  FACTUALLY CORRECT Jul04 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr07 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
11  CUT THE CORD Jul13 May31 Mar11 Jul16 Jun27 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE Jun09 May05 Apr07     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
13  LITTLE MADDY BROWN Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 Oct24 Aug24 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 12.00    
14  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar24 Dec16 Sep10 Jul17 Jun09 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.