Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-2   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $24.00  
TDN-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-5   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $3.40  
TDN-6   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 14.80
TDN-7   Win (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-8   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
TDN-9   Win (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON DOUGIE 3 1 1nk 11   14 12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.50 52% 0.90 1.60 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 4 5 54   3 22 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 7% 14.40 4.30 P
COURTHOUSE COVE 2 5 43 21   24 3 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.80 0.80 S
C J ALL THE WAY 4 3 3½ 4   412½ 419 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 10.00 16.60  
AWESOME ENOUGH 5 2 2nk 3   513 526¾ (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 26.30  
SCR  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY               (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES 6 1 4 4   21 1 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.00 W
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 11 1   11 2 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 31% 2.20 14.50 P
WETZEL 1 6 5 5   3 3 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 3.50 13% 7.00 3.10 S
STONE COLD CAT 5 3 6 6   64 46 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6.40  
TURNING PAGES 4 2 21 3   43 5 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.00 0.80  
KEEPING SCORE 3 5 31 2   53 610¼ (castro a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 21.70  
SCR  RED COMET               (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
 
TDN-3   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENNY'S TREASURE 4 5 4 22   23 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 11.00  
COUNTRY STYLE 5 2 1½ 12   13 2¼ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 31% 2.20 1.80 P
WINDY VALLEY 7 4 3 4   4 3 (londono j)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 10.00 9% 9.70 7.60 S
DOMINUS O'S ME 6 3 2½ 32   3 43 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 4.00 4.00  
CHIQ IN THE VALLEY 1 7 64 5   5 513 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 8.00 9% 9.70 12.20  
J. P INDY 2 8 7 7   615½ 620 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 20% 4.00 5.80  
BOOKMASTER 8 1 87 8   816½ 721¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 37.60  
VIVA LA MANANA 3 6 53 6   716 823½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.50  
 
TDN-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG RAISER 6 1 2nk 1   14 17 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 35% 1.90 2.10 W
PROSECUTOR 5 2 31 2   24 27 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 2 5 42 4   3 39 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 4.20  
INDY CARR 1 6 6 6   611 410 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 10.00 18.10  
CHILTEPIN 4 4 53 5   5 510½ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 4.50 8.40  
BLAKE'S RYEN 3 3 1nk 3   4 614 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
 
TDN-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 2 4 1 1½   1 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00 0.70  
CITY SCENE 4 1 32 2½   2 2 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 1.60 35% 1.90 0.90 P
KISS ME QUICK 1 2 2 34   3 318¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00 21.00  
BRIEF ENCOUNTER 3 3 4 4   413½ 431½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 30% 2.30 11.20  
SCR  FAREWELL KISS               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.50    
SCR  GOLD HONEY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 12.00    
SCR  NAKSU               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 118 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND DUST 3 1 3.2 2nk   1½ 1 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 10.00 6% 15.80 9.40 W
MR LOOOCH 4 2 5 3½   3 2 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 121 5.00 12.40  
ALTISSIMO 6 3 4 4¾   43 33 (zielinski)PILARES P 119 6.00 19.40  
FAIR AND SQUARE 1 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.00 19% 4.30 2.40  
DOUGIE D ORO 5 4 6 5   55 5 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.40  
MEDIA DARLING 2 6 2nk 6   613 630½ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 4.00 23.50  
SCR  HIP HIP HOORAY               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
SCR  UOTTALIKEIT               (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO DEY 2 6 3 42   21 12 (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 18% 4.60 0.80 W
SPELLCAST 5 3 6 53   52 22 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
SHADOWY 7 1 44 3   4 3 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 23.60  
SCRIMPER 1 5 1nk 1nk   11 45 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.80 6.60  
VILLIAN 6 2 7 7   6 510¼ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 12.00 23.60  
HOTTIE SPOTTIE 3 4 2nk 2nk   3 610¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
MOMMA K'S BOY 4 7 56 6   710 724 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00 14.00  
SCR  GOLDEN FLAG               (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
 
TDN-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 2 32 3 32 1½ 1 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 35% 1.80 2.80 W
SONNET 6 3 1 1 2nk 2½ 2 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 123 5.00 6.40  
I RECALL 4 4 2 2 1nk 31 3 (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.00 35% 1.80 0.60 S
MARKET SUCCESS 1 1 53 4 4 4 4 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00 7.20  
SHE'S CRAFTY 3 6 66 68 610½ 58 5 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00 26.70  
AUNT BEE 2 5 43 5 56 610 613 (ginter raymond )BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  HIGH FIRE               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
SCR  LINE DANCER               (bourke john)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
 
TDN-9   08/12/2023 6600ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:394   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANNA WIN 1 11 12 1 11 2nk 1nk (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.50 54% 0.90 0.90 W
TANTRUM 6 43 32 32 21 1nk 2nk (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19% 4.30 3.30 P
SILENCE 4 54 54 4 34 3 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 6.20  
FOREWARNED 5 64 6 6 5 4 4 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50 2.80  
OAKS HONEY 2 21 22 2 4 57 510¾ (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
SAMMY'S SMILE 3 3 4 5 610 616 642¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 15.00 17.10  
SCR  FAIR AND SQUARE               (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
SCR  HENRY MAC               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  TO WIN               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.