Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1-2 $8.90 $2.90 48%
TDN-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2 $37.50 $31.50 525%
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2-1 $138.70 $132.70 2212%
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $13.40 $4.40 49%
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.80 $14.80 247%
TDN-8   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-2-7 $126.50 $90.50 251%
TDN-9   EXA (1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-9 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    PK4 (6/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/7/3)-(1/9/2) 108 $0.50 $54.00  3-2/4-7-1/4/6/8 $122.90 $68.90 128%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON DOUGIE 3 1 1nk 11   14 12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.50 52% 0.90 1.60 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 4 5 54   3 22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 7% 14.40 4.30 P
COURTHOUSE COVE 2 5 43 21   24 3 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.80 0.80 S
C J ALL THE WAY 4 3 3½ 4   412½ 419 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 10.00 16.60  
AWESOME ENOUGH 5 2 2nk 3   513 526¾ (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 26.30  
SCR  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY               (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES 6 1 4 4   21 1 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.00 W
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 11 1   11 2 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 31% 2.20 14.50 P
WETZEL 1 6 5 5   3 3 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 3.50 13% 7.00 3.10 S
STONE COLD CAT 5 3 6 6   64 46 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6.40  
TURNING PAGES 4 2 21 3   43 5 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.00 0.80  
KEEPING SCORE 3 5 31 2   53 610¼ (castro a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 21.70  
SCR  RED COMET               (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
 
TDN-3   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENNY'S TREASURE 4 5 4 22   23 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 11.00  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
COUNTRY STYLE 5 2 1½ 12   13 2¼ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 31% 2.20 1.80 P
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
WINDY VALLEY 7 4 3 4   4 3 (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 10.00 9% 9.70 7.60 S
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
DOMINUS O'S ME 6 3 2½ 32   3 43 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 4.00 4.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
CHIQ IN THE VALLEY 1 7 64 5   5 513 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 8.00 9% 9.70 12.20  
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CHIQUILINA by OUR EMBLEM)
J. P INDY 2 8 7 7   615½ 620 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 20% 4.00 5.80  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BOOKMASTER 8 1 87 8   816½ 721¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 37.60  
  (by MIXMASTER out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
VIVA LA MANANA 3 6 53 6   716 823½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.50  
  (by MINESHAFT out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
 
TDN-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG RAISER 6 1 2nk 1   14 17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 35% 1.90 2.10 W
PROSECUTOR 5 2 31 2   24 27 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 2 5 42 4   3 39 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 4.20  
INDY CARR 1 6 6 6   611 410 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 10.00 18.10  
CHILTEPIN 4 4 53 5   5 510½ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 4.50 8.40  
BLAKE'S RYEN 3 3 1nk 3   4 614 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
 
TDN-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 2 4 1 1½   1 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00 0.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CITY SCENE 4 1 32 2½   2 2 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 1.60 35% 1.90 0.90 P
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
KISS ME QUICK 1 2 2 34   3 318¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00 21.00  
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
BRIEF ENCOUNTER 3 3 4 4   413½ 431½ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 30% 2.30 11.20  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
SCR  FAREWELL KISS               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by TOURIST out of OCEAN PRINCESS by INDIAN OCEAN)
SCR  GOLD HONEY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  NAKSU               (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by DRILL out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
 
TDN-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND DUST 3 1 3.2 2nk   1½ 1 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 10.00 6% 15.80 9.40 W
  (by PAYNTER out of RADIANT SKY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
MR LOOOCH 4 2 5 3½   3 2 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 121 5.00 12.40  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
ALTISSIMO 6 3 4 4¾   43 33 (zielins)PILARES P 119 6.00 19.40  
  (by NOBLE CAUSEWAY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
FAIR AND SQUARE 1 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.00 19% 4.30 2.40  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
DOUGIE D ORO 5 4 6 5   55 5 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.40  
  (by MIO D'ORO out of DO THE TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
MEDIA DARLING 2 6 2nk 6   613 630½ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 4.00 23.50  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DARK DARLING by READY'S IMAGE)
SCR  HIP HIP HOORAY               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  UOTTALIKEIT               (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of POCO UNO by E DUBAI)
 
TDN-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO DEY 2 6 3 42   21 12 (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 18% 4.60 0.80 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SPELLCAST 5 3 6 53   52 22 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
SHADOWY 7 1 44 3   4 3 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 23.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
SCRIMPER 1 5 1nk 1nk   11 45 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.80 6.60  
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
VILLIAN 6 2 7 7   6 510¼ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 12.00 23.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
HOTTIE SPOTTIE 3 4 2nk 2nk   3 610¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
MOMMA K'S BOY 4 7 56 6   710 724 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00 14.00  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
SCR  GOLDEN FLAG               (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
 
TDN-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 2 32 3 32 1½ 1 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 35% 1.80 2.80 W
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SONNET 6 3 1 1 2nk 2½ 2 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 123 5.00 6.40  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
I RECALL 4 4 2 2 1nk 31 3 (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.00 35% 1.80 0.60 S
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
MARKET SUCCESS 1 1 53 4 4 4 4 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00 7.20  
  (by GIANT OAK out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SHE'S CRAFTY 3 6 66 68 610½ 58 5 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00 26.70  
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
AUNT BEE 2 5 43 5 56 610 613 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
SCR  HIGH FIRE               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
  (by BULLET TRAIN out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
SCR  LINE DANCER               (bourke john)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
 
TDN-9   08/12/2023 6600ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:394   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANNA WIN 1 11 12 1 11 2nk 1nk (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.50 54% 0.90 0.90 W
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of HARLAN CAT by HARLAN)
TANTRUM 6 43 32 32 21 1nk 2nk (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19% 4.30 3.30 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
SILENCE 4 54 54 4 34 3 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 6.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
FOREWARNED 5 64 6 6 5 4 4 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50 2.80  
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
OAKS HONEY 2 21 22 2 4 57 510¾ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
  (by GIANT OAK out of SWEET TIA by BORREGO)
SAMMY'S SMILE 3 3 4 5 610 616 642¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 15.00 17.10  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of AMERICAN PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  FAIR AND SQUARE               (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  HENRY MAC               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BOOM BOOM BERTIE by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  TO WIN               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HATTA FLOWER by DIXIE UNION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.