Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/7/1)-(5/2/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/7)-(5/6/3)-(6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/5)-(6/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(6/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(6/7/3)-(1/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-9   WIN (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/2)-(1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 Jun06 May16 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 7% 14.40    
2  COURTHOUSE COVE Jun17 Apr15 Mar09 Feb26 Feb12 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  DEACON DOUGIE Jul24 Jun24 Aug22 Jul14   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
4  C J ALL THE WAY Jul19 Jun24 Jan18 Dec30 Nov10 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jul25 Jun24 May29 Apr15 Mar23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
6  AWESOME ENOUGH Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May17 Apr16 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WETZEL Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 May05 Apr06 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 3.50 13% 7.00    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Jul12 Jun20 May23 May09 Apr24 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  KEEPING SCORE Jul12 Jun10 May09 Apr26 Mar28 (castro a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
SCR  RED COMET Jul31 Jul13 Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
5  TURNING PAGES Jul12 Jun15 May16 Apr04 Mar20 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.00    
6  STONE COLD CAT Jul11 May15 Apr27 Mar27 Mar09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
7  RAISE THE PURSES Jul12 Jun10 May16 Dec29 Dec20 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-3   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIQ IN THE VALLEY         (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CHIQUILINA by OUR EMBLEM)
2  J. P INDY         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  VIVA LA MANANA         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
5  COUNTRY STYLE Jul25 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01   (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
6  DOMINUS O'S ME Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15 Apr25 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 4.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
7  WINDY VALLEY         (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
8  BOOKMASTER Jul13 Sep29 Aug31     (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
 
TDN-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY CARR Jul22 Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 Feb23 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 10.00    
2  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 Jun14 May26 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 3.50    
3  BLAKE'S RYEN Jul25 Jul05       (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHILTEPIN Jul27 Jul05 Nov30 Nov14   (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 4.50    
5  PROSECUTOR Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Feb14   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  FLAG RAISER Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Apr27 Mar29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME QUICK Jul13         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
2  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jul13         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  GOLD HONEY Jul22 Jun24       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  FAREWELL KISS Aug01 Jun29 Jun15     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by TOURIST out of OCEAN PRINCESS by INDIAN OCEAN)
5  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jul22 Jun15       (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
6  CITY SCENE Jul22 Jun24 Jun05     (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  NAKSU Jul24         (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by DRILL out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
 
TDN-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIR AND SQUARE Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Aug13 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
2  MEDIA DARLING May05 Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 Dec19 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 4.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DARK DARLING by READY'S IMAGE)
3  DIAMOND DUST Jul19 Jul03 Jun07 May17 Oct29 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 10.00 6% 15.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of RADIANT SKY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  MR LOOOCH Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 Oct03 Aug30 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 121 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
SCR  UOTTALIKEIT Aug07 Jun20 May23 Apr04 Feb20 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of POCO UNO by E DUBAI)
6  DOUGIE D ORO Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by MIO D'ORO out of DO THE TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  HIP HIP HOORAY Jul10 Jun02 May15 Apr04 Mar13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  ALTISSIMO Jul20 Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 (zielins)PILARES P 119 6.00    
  (by NOBLE CAUSEWAY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
TDN-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRIMPER Jul13         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
2  WHO DEY Aug02         (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  HOTTIE SPOTTIE Jul22 Jun20 Jun05     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  GOLDEN FLAG Jul22 Jun16       (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  MOMMA K'S BOY Jul26 Jul06       (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
6  SPELLCAST Jul22 Jun23       (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
7  VILLIAN Jul22 Jul06 Jun05     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
8  SHADOWY Aug02 Jul22 Jun03     (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
 
TDN-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET SUCCESS Jul20 Jun24 Jun07 May09 Oct29 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00    
  (by GIANT OAK out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW Jul25 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
3  AUNT BEE Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
SCR  HIGH FIRE Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 Sep23 Aug13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
  (by BULLET TRAIN out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Jul25 Jul03 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  I RECALL Jul22 Jun19 May22 Oct29 Oct19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
7  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May30 May11 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  LINE DANCER Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May12 Oct10 (bourke john)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
9  SONNET Jul17 Jun12 May22 Apr12 Mar15 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
TDN-9   08/12/2023 6600ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WANNA WIN Jun27 Jun06 May10 Oct29 Sep27 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.50 54% 0.90    
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of HARLAN CAT by HARLAN)
2  OAKS HONEY Jul05 Jun27 May31 Nov15 Oct27 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT OAK out of SWEET TIA by BORREGO)
3  SAMMY'S SMILE Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of AMERICAN PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  TO WIN Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HATTA FLOWER by DIXIE UNION)
5  SILENCE Jul05 Jun02 May02 Apr12 Oct29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
SCR  FAIR AND SQUARE Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Aug13 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
7  FOREWARNED Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 Apr29 Apr01 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  HENRY MAC Jul22 Jul05 Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BOOM BOOM BERTIE by THUNDER GULCH)
9  TANTRUM Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr15 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.