Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-6   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-9   Win (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CARDINAL PRINCE Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 Jun06 May16 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 7% 14.40    
COURTHOUSE COVE Jun17 Apr15 Mar09 Feb26 Feb12 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
DEACON DOUGIE Jul24 Jun24 Aug22 Jul14   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
C J ALL THE WAY Jul19 Jun24 Jan18 Dec30 Nov10 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jul25 Jun24 May29 Apr15 Mar23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
AWESOME ENOUGH Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May17 Apr16 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 May05 Apr06 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 3.50 13% 7.00    
GIV'EM THE BIZ Jul12 Jun20 May23 May09 Apr24 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
KEEPING SCORE Jul12 Jun10 May09 Apr26 Mar28 (castro a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
SCR  RED COMET Jul31 Jul13 Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
TURNING PAGES Jul12 Jun15 May16 Apr04 Mar20 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.00    
STONE COLD CAT Jul11 May15 Apr27 Mar27 Mar09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
RAISE THE PURSES Jul12 Jun10 May16 Dec29 Dec20 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-3   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIQ IN THE VALLEY         (londono j)HALDAR J 123 8.00 9% 9.70    
J. P INDY         (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
VIVA LA MANANA         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
PENNY'S TREASURE Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
COUNTRY STYLE Jul25 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01   (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
DOMINUS O'S ME Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15 Apr25 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 4.00    
WINDY VALLEY         (londono j)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 10.00 9% 9.70    
BOOKMASTER Jul13 Sep29 Aug31     (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY CARR Jul22 Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 Feb23 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 10.00    
CHOCOLATE RABBIT Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 Jun14 May26 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 3.50    
BLAKE'S RYEN Jul25 Jul05       (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHILTEPIN Jul27 Jul05 Nov30 Nov14   (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 4.50    
PROSECUTOR Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Feb14   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
FLAG RAISER Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Apr27 Mar29 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS ME QUICK Jul13         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jul13         (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00    
SCR  GOLD HONEY Jul22 Jun24       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 12.00    
SCR  FAREWELL KISS Aug01 Jun29 Jun15     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.50    
BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jul22 Jun15       (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
CITY SCENE Jul22 Jun24 Jun05     (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
SCR  NAKSU Jul24         (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 118 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR AND SQUARE Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Aug13 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.00 19% 4.30    
MEDIA DARLING May05 Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 Dec19 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 4.00    
DIAMOND DUST Jul19 Jul03 Jun07 May17 Oct29 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 10.00 6% 15.80    
MR LOOOCH Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 Oct03 Aug30 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 121 5.00    
SCR  UOTTALIKEIT Aug07 Jun20 May23 Apr04 Feb20 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
DOUGIE D ORO Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  HIP HIP HOORAY Jul10 Jun02 May15 Apr04 Mar13 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
ALTISSIMO Jul20 Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 (zielinski)PILARES P 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIMPER Jul13         (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
WHO DEY Aug02         (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
HOTTIE SPOTTIE Jul22 Jun20 Jun05     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN FLAG Jul22 Jun16       (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
MOMMA K'S BOY Jul26 Jul06       (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00    
SPELLCAST Jul22 Jun23       (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
VILLIAN Jul22 Jul06 Jun05     (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 12.00    
SHADOWY Aug02 Jul22 Jun03     (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
 
TDN-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET SUCCESS Jul20 Jun24 Jun07 May09 Oct29 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW Jul25 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
AUNT BEE Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 (ginter raymond )BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH FIRE Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 Sep23 Aug13 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
SHE'S CRAFTY Jul25 Jul03 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00    
I RECALL Jul22 Jun19 May22 Oct29 Oct19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May30 May11 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  LINE DANCER Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May12 Oct10 (bourke john)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
SONNET Jul17 Jun12 May22 Apr12 Mar15 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
 
TDN-9   08/12/2023 6600ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANNA WIN Jun27 Jun06 May10 Oct29 Sep27 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.50 54% 0.90    
OAKS HONEY Jul05 Jun27 May31 Nov15 Oct27 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
SCR  TO WIN Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr12 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
SILENCE Jul05 Jun02 May02 Apr12 Oct29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
SCR  FAIR AND SQUARE Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Aug13 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00    
FOREWARNED Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 Apr29 Apr01 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50    
SCR  HENRY MAC Jul22 Jul05 Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
TANTRUM Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr15 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.