Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-2   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
TDN-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
TDN-5   Win (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
TDN-6   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $18.80  
TDN-7   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
TDN-8   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MARPLE 4 1 3½ 33   4 1 (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 2.80  
BELLAVALENCIA 2 3 2½ 2   3 2 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.20 47% 1.10 0.90 P
VAVITE 5 4 4 45   2 3 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 21% 3.70 1.90 S
SKIRTS KID 1 2 1½ 1   1 4 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
INDY LITES 3 5 5 5   5 510 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 16.70  
 
TDN-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT BILL 2 3 11 11   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 54% 0.90 1.30 W
TWINSPIREDJOEY 4 2 21 21   2 2 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 13% 6.40 3.30 P
THANKSDAD 3 4 42 4   3 3 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 22.80  
SURROUNDER 5 1 32 3   4 412 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 1.10  
CATMAN JACK 1 5 54 5   511 519 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  IMA BELIEVER               (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAC 2 1 2½ 1   12 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.20 62% 0.60 1.40 W
AUJARA 3 4 3 2   22 2 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.00 15% 5.50 0.60 P
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 1 3 1½ 32   34 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5.30  
SOLE FACTOR 4 2 45 48   412 423¼ (castro a)RIVERA R 119 12.00 16.80  
SCR  CUE THE BAND               (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:141     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPLEY EFFECT 1 6 5 24 1½ 12 1 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
LEWD 4 5 44 4 5¾ 22 2 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.60 P
FIONA 5 4 66 6 3½ 3 3 (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 6.00  
ROWDY DAISY 2 1 23 34 4¾ 4 412¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
ROSE KNOWS 6 3 13 14 2½ 55 513 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 5.50  
SKY 3 2 34 5 6 612 628¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 18.90  
 
TDN-5   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:16     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING FOR MONEY 3 3 5 5 3 2½ 1hd (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70 W
TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 1nk 1nk 1 1½ 2hd (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.50 39% 1.60 4.50 P
BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 1 6 2nk 2nk 2 33 3 (guciardo rober)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 8.90  
DUDE'S MIST DATE 5 7 7 6 59 47 4 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 5.90  
RAG TOWN 2 4 3 4 4 57 513¾ (reust megan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
TWELVE SHARP 6 5 6 7 712 614 628 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 6.00 36% 1.80 4.40  
LIFENHOWULIVIT 7 1 4 32 611 716½ 737¾ (canegata james)ROSARIO L 123 2.00 2.50  
 
TDN-6   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET AMIGO 1 4 21 2   2 1nk (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 8.40  
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 4 1 3 3   3 2nk (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 4.00  
UOTTALIKEIT 3 3 11 1   1 3½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.80 27% 2.70 0.60 S
BEVERLY PARK 2 2 44 42   4 4¾ (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 48% 1.10 2.40  
SCR  DUKE OF DARKNESS               (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
SCR  IT'S OFFICIAL               (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER CAM 1 5 42 3 31 2 1 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 27% 2.60 2.90 W
PATIO PARTY 5 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 1 2 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 119 5.00 19% 4.30 2.90 P
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 6 5 4 4 42 3 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 21% 3.80 3.80 S
VICTORY DIVISION 6 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 32 46 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 15.00 18.30  
MUGSY MALONE 3 4 3 5 5 54 5 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 6.00 3.10  
BEAT THE DEALER 4 3 66 6 6 6 618¾ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 3.70  
SCR  SAMMY'S SMILE               (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:143     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCEED 2 5 69 610½ 45 2½ 1 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
POT COMMITTED 4 1 22 2 2 1½ 2 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 21% 3.70 2.70 P
EAST BY WEST 1 6 56 5 57 5 3 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 20.00 32.90  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 3 4 12 1 1 3 4 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 7.50  
FUNNY MAN 6 3 43 4 3 4 512½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 30% 2.40 1.30  
ZINFATUATION 5 2 3 3 613 618½ 636¾ (norris ste)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 14.10  
SCR  ANDYLITHIC               (cady khalil)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.