Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/5/2)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/4)-(2/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(4/5)-(1/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/2/5)-(6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIRTS KID Jul04 Jun12 May29 Jul21 Jul04 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BELLAVALENCIA Jul20 Jun20 May25 Jul11 Jun11 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  INDY LITES Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May20 May02 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
4  MISS MARPLE Nov22 Nov10 Sep27 Sep09 Aug25 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
5  VAVITE Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May29 May06 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMA BELIEVER Jul12 Jun20 May24 Jan17 Dec14 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
2  CATMAN JACK Apr24 Apr03 Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILDCAT BILL Jul12 Jun20 May25 Dec06 Nov12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 54% 0.90    
4  THANKSDAD Jul12 May24 May03 Mar22 Mar02 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
5  TWINSPIREDJOEY Jul12 Jun07 May24 May03 Apr24 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 13% 6.40    
6  SURROUNDER Jul25 Oct13 Sep12 Aug19 Jul26 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
 
TDN-3   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jul22 Jun07 Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
2  PANAMANIAC Jul17 Jun23 Jun01 May10 Oct05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.20 62% 0.60    
SCR  CUE THE BAND Jul13 Jun24 May24 Apr24 Dec27 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50    
4  AUJARA Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 May20 May10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.00 15% 5.50    
5  SOLE FACTOR Jul17 Dec30 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 (castro a)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPLEY EFFECT Jul11 Jun14 May20 May05 Apr15 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROWDY DAISY Jul20 Jul11 May25 May04 Apr14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  SKY Jul20 Jun21 Apr10 Mar07 Feb14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
4  LEWD Jul20 Jun21 Jun06 May30 Dec01 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  FIONA Jul20 Jun21 May31 May06 Apr05 (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
6  ROSE KNOWS Jul20 Jun21 Jan28 Jan09 Dec13 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Jul12 Jan01 Jan08     (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50    
2  RAG TOWN May02 Mar15 Nov11 Oct11   (reust megan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCING FOR MONEY Jun26 Jun14 May03 Mar01 Feb22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Jun26 May25       (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  DUDE'S MIST DATE Jul18 Jun26 Jan09 Dec22   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00    
6  TWELVE SHARP Jun18 May18 May11 Apr05 Mar15 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 6.00 36% 1.80    
7  LIFENHOWULIVIT Jun24 May27 May03 Apr05 Mar12 (canegata jam)ROSARIO L 123 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S OFFICIAL Jul22 Jul10 Jun27 May03   (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
SCR  DUKE OF DARKNESS Jul10 Jun15 May15 Apr15 Feb20 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
3  QUIET AMIGO Jul13 Jun24 May31 Dec12 Nov09 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
4  BEVERLY PARK Jul31 Jul05 Jun23 Apr14 Mar31 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  UOTTALIKEIT Jun20 May23 Apr04 Feb20 Jan28 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jul10 Jun15 May06 Dec03 Oct27 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM Jul18 Jun14 May22 May02 Apr12 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 27% 2.60    
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Jul23 Jul10 Jun01 May17 May09 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  MUGSY MALONE Jul18 Jun10 Jun02 May12 Mar11 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 6.00    
4  BEAT THE DEALER Jul13 Jun14 May24 Apr29 Apr04 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
5  PATIO PARTY Jul18 Jun14 May22 May02 Apr11 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SAMMY'S SMILE Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
7  VICTORY DIVISION Jul11 Jun24 Jun01 May23 May03 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
 
TDN-8   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST BY WEST Jul25 May23 Feb04 Jan12 Dec09 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of NORMANDY'S NELL by MT. LIVERMORE)
2  SUCCEED Jul10 Jun03 May26 Apr29 Apr21 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CULOTTE by SKY MESA)
3  TWELVE MINUS ONE Jul25 Jul10 Jun19 May25 May11 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  POT COMMITTED Jul10 Jun19 Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by BAYERN out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  ZINFATUATION Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 Feb16 Jan28 (norris s)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
6  FUNNY MAN Jun12 Apr16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ANDYLITHIC Jul26 Jul16 May29 Mar18 Mar08 (cady khalil)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.