Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.60  
TDN-3   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $40.60  
TDN-5   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $38.60 $38.60 32.60
TDN-6   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-7   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $11.00  
TDN-8   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 3 3 32 1nk   12½ 14¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 53% 0.90 0.80 W
2  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 2 4 54½ 52¼   44 24¼ (skerrett jeffre)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 9.30  
4  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 4 6 67 41¾   34 34½ (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 11.00  
1  TITEBLUEJEANS 1 5 43½ 62¾   55 47 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 10% 9.20 4.40  
5  STARLITESLEW 5 2 2nk 2nk   22½ 57¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 12% 7.60 2.70  
6  MISS MARY JEAN 6 1 1nk 3.2   68 618¼ (castillo jab)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 10.00 17.00  
 
TDN-2   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JOSH'N 6 1 23½ 23½   23 11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 0.80  
3  BAD BOY BOOGIE 3 2 13½ 13½   13 21 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 18% 4.50 2.30 P
6  NIKAO 5 3 35 48½   39 310 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 3.00 8.90  
1  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 1 6 69 612¼   512 411 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 51% 1.00 3.90  
4  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 4 4 45 38½   49½ 514¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 32.30  
2  MOR CRAFTY 2 5 55½ 512   614 617 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  COUNCIL OF FOUR               (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 6 2 42¾ 2½   11½ 12¾ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 41% 1.40 0.20 W
3  CHECK OUT LINE 3 6 53¼ 5¾   21½ 22¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 5.60  
5  ST PATTY'S SONG 5 1 63¾ 64¾   65¼ 310¼ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 80.20  
4  SHEZA POP STAR 4 4 2nk 3½   44 410½ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 24% 3.10 7.90  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 2 5 32½ 4¾   55 512 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 25.80  
1  SISTER'S CREED 1 3 1nk 1½   34 616 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 12% 7.40 11.00  
 
TDN-4   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 1:014       1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHIQ IN THE VALLEY 3 2 2nk 2nk   11½ 16 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 15.00 19.30  
2  WINDY VALLEY 1 3 31½ 33½   32½ 26 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 14% 6.30 1.00 P
5  COUNTRY STYLE 4 1 1nk 1nk   21½ 38 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 55% 0.80 0.80 S
3  J. P INDY 2 4 43½ 46½   44½ 48¾ (cline c)DIAZ I 119 5.00 6.40  
SCR  SMARTASSET               (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SURF AND TURF 4 1 41¼ 33½ 32 1½ 1¾ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00 5% 19.00 18.30 W
5  DISCLOSURE 6 8 88¾ 77½ 54 33 2¾ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 26% 2.80 1.10 P
7  FRANCO (MEX) 8 6 67¾ 57¼ 44 43 33 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 ★ 3.00 S
1  PAT DADDY 1 4 11 1nk 1½ 2½ 46 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 40% 1.50 4.70  
3  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 3 2 56¼ 88 87½ 76½ 56½ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00 6.50  
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL 5 7 78¾ 67¼ 66 54½ 67¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★ 4.70  
6  SKIDSTREAM 7 5 21 2nk 2½ 65½ 711¼ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 34.70  
2  NOT YET CHARLIE 2 3 31 43¾ 76½ 88½ 813¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 7.40  
 
TDN-6   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPECIALIZED 5 3 33 21½   2nk 11 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 38% 1.70 0.80 W
6  FAST CLIP 6 1 13 11½   1nk 21 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5.90  
4  SWING STATE 4 2 23 34½   33 34 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 115 3.00 10% 9.00 8.60 S
1  MAN'S CHOICE 1 4 46½ 44½   45 46½ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 115 15.00 55.60  
2  ORFANO 2 6 58½ 56½   57 57¾ (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 117 2.00 26% 2.90 1.60  
3  GOOD MUSIC 3 5 610½ 68½   68½ 614¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00 31.20  
 
TDN-7   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MASTER 6 1 11½ 11½   1nk 12 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.50 4.50  
4  AWESOME ENOUGH 4 4 21½ 21½   3½ 22 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 14% 6.40 9.20 P
2  RIKIO 2 6 31½ 31½   2nk 32 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 1.10  
7  TOYI 7 2 42½ 41¾   4¾ 42¼ (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 2.50 14% 6.30 4.30  
5  ON HIS TOES 5 3 63¾ 66¼   53¾ 52¾ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 7.10  
3  AEGONTHECONQUEROR 3 5 53½ 55¼   66¾ 611 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 119 4.50 36% 1.80 5.50  
1  THE EQUINEST 1 7 75¼ 710¾   79¾ 715 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 15.00 47.00  
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RONNI'S WIND 7 1 51¼ 2nk   12 15¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 31% 2.20 1.30 W
6  DANES LAST SONG 6 2 1nk 3½   33½ 25¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 12.00 22.90  
2  OUR LAST SONG 2 5 2nk 1nk   22 36¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 38% 1.60 1.70 S
3  KAT TRAX 3 4 31 43   45 48¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.50 10% 9.10 3.40  
4  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 4 6 66¼ 69   59 58¼ (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 7.50  
5  THE KID'S PRAYER 5 3 41¼ 55   69½ 616½ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 117 12.00 24.90  
1  HEART OF RUBY 1 7 710¼ 719   719½ 727 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 121 15.00 70.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.