Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-5   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITEBLUEJEANS Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 May31 May11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 10% 9.20    
2  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec12 (skerrett jeffre)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00    
3  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 May11 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 May23 May06 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
5  STARLITESLEW Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 Jun01 May16 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 12% 7.60    
6  MISS MARY JEAN Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 (castillo jab)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 10.00    
 
TDN-2   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  MOR CRAFTY Aug09 Jul24       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAD BOY BOOGIE Aug10 Jul24 Feb21 Jan19 Dec19 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
SCR  COUNCIL OF FOUR Aug10 Jul19 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
6  NIKAO Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 3.00    
7  JOSH'N Aug09 Jul19 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
 
TDN-3   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER'S CREED Jun26 Sep06       (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Aug08 Jul17 May23 May09 Apr12 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
3  CHECK OUT LINE Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 May09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
4  SHEZA POP STAR Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 Nov19 Oct25 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  ST PATTY'S SONG Aug14 Mar16 Jan16 Dec22 Dec07 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Feb23 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
TDN-4   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMARTASSET         (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50    
2  WINDY VALLEY Aug12         (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 14% 6.30    
3  J. P INDY Aug12         (cline c)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
4  CHIQ IN THE VALLEY Aug12         (londono j)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
5  COUNTRY STYLE Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-5   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT DADDY Aug17 Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May15 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun24 Jan17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★    
2  NOT YET CHARLIE Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 Jun12 Mar02 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00    
3  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Aug03 Jul18 Jun27 Apr03 Mar09 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
4  SURF AND TURF Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 Jun06 May10 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DISCLOSURE Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May31 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  SKIDSTREAM Aug16 May23 Mar14 Mar01 Jan02 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
7  FRANCO (MEX) Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 Dec13 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN'S CHOICE Jul06 Jun05 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 115 15.00    
2  ORFANO Jul24 Dec19 Nov16 Oct10   (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 117 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  GOOD MUSIC Jul31 Jul06 May29 May11 Apr25 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00    
4  SWING STATE Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun06 May17 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 115 3.00 10% 9.00    
5  SPECIALIZED Aug09 Jul24       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
6  FAST CLIP Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 May29 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE EQUINEST Aug14 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 15.00    
2  RIKIO Aug15 Jun17 Feb23 Jan07 Dec13 (cline c)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
3  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Oct26 Oct20 Sep20 Sep08 Aug08 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  AWESOME ENOUGH Aug12 Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May17 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 14% 6.40    
5  ON HIS TOES Aug15 Jul24 Jun05 Apr27 Oct06 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
6  MASTER Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May17 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.50    
7  TOYI Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 May23 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY Aug12 Jul19 Jun24 Jan18 Dec30 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF RUBY Aug22 Aug09 Aug01 Jul13 Oct25 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 121 15.00    
2  OUR LAST SONG Aug10         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  KAT TRAX Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May23 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.50 10% 9.10    
4  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE May23 Apr24 Mar09 Nov07   (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
5  THE KID'S PRAYER Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 117 12.00    
6  DANES LAST SONG Aug09 Mar20 Mar02 Dec13 Nov30 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 12.00    
7  RONNI'S WIND Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep23 Sep12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.