Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $14.80 $8.80 147%
TDN-6   EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $18.90 $12.90 215%
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/5/3)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00  1-1-4 $29.20 $2.20 8%
TDN-8   EXA (7/5/10/4/1)-(7/5/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-7 $22.30 $2.30 12%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SURE FIRE READY 2 5 33½ 2½   11 15¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.10 W
1  HITCH CITY 1 4 13 1½   21 25¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60 1.00 P
5  SASSY POWER 4 3 45 44   35½ 37½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 8.80  
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 1 23 33   46 412 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7% 13.90 7.50  
6  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 5 2 56½ 57   59 515¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 14.60  
SCR  HOSANNA               (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE               (rivera nes)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD 1 5 21½ 1½ 11½ 14 14¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 ★ 1.30  
2  KARAMEL CORN 2 1 11½ 2½ 21½ 24 24¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 11.50  
5  SPIN DOCTOR 5 4 53¾ 32½ 32 34½ 36 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 S
4  BABA LOOEY 4 2 33½ 52¾ 54½ 59 412¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 7% 14.00 3.50  
3  DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 43½ 42½ 44½ 46½ 512¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  NAMBITI               (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLD HONEY 3 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 15¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 62% 0.60 1.10 W
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 5 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 25¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 113 1.80 2.70  
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  SNOWBIRD 4 6 48 48½   312½ 314½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 8% 11.90 4.10 S
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
1  CURLIN PEARLS 1 5 611½ 512   515½ 414½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5.40  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  WHATDID I BUY 6 3 59 613½   616½ 524 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
2  BLIZZARD 2 4 34 37   415½ 628¾ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00 15.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of THEDAMEWANTSTOWIN by GULCH)
 
TDN-4   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID 1 3 1½ 1½   12½ 12 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 23% 3.30 3.30 W
3  SMUDGE THE CAT 3 2 33 34   22½ 22 (radosevich)RIVERA R 114 3.00 31% 2.30 2.40 P
2  ON HIS TOES 2 5 58½ 58½   45½ 33½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.50 1.80  
6  LAKE TAHOE 5 1 2½ 2½   34½ 48½ (davis d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15% 5.50 2.20  
5  FAST CALL 4 4 44½ 45½   57 510 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 22.40  
SCR  LED TASSO               (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACT NOT FICTION 1 3 11 13   19 18¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50 1.00 W
  (by YOSHIDA out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
5  IRONCLAD ALIBI 4 4 32 23   29 28¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 6.00 12% 7.30 2.00 P
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MUSIC MISS by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
4  TADZIO 3 2 21 33   413 321¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 2.50 2.80  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE 2 5 43 43¼   313 421¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 11% 8.30 11.10  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
7  GRAY TORMENTOR 5 1 511 518¼   521 524¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00 12.90  
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  PRAYED TODAY               (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
 
TDN-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LATIN SPICE 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¾ (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.80 W
1  STATESBORO 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 6.00 35% 1.90 11.00 P
3  BREEZY MONEY 3 2 33½ 32 31½ 32½ 33¾ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 2.80  
6  DISCLOSURE 6 6 58 57 46½ 46 44 (skerrett j)RIVERA R 114 3.00 3.90  
5  FRANCO (MEX) 5 5 613 612 610¾ 58 59½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 11.00  
2  CUMBER 2 4 43½ 43½ 56¾ 610½ 612¼ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SCR  ALGORIX               (bracho jose)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED HOT LASS 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 13½ 14¼ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 65% 0.50 0.20 W
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 7 63½ 52¼ 42¾ 36 24¼ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70 P
1  LIBERTY BELLE 1 5 52 3.2 3.2 23½ 35¼ (londono odin )BRACHO A 121 4.50 12.40  
5  MISS GOODBAR 5 6 75½ 74¼ 66¾ 68½ 48½ (davis d)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 39.60  
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 4 42 42¼ 52¾ 46½ 59 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 15.20  
6  CANDY ISLAND 6 1 11 1nk 2nk 58 617¼ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 ★ 5.10  
7  COURTLY 7 3 31½ 62¾ 77¼ 713 730½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.80 17.90  
 
TDN-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RADIO SILENT 9 1 2nk 1nk   13 17 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
7  AFTER SUNRISE 6 5 61¼ 52¼   33½ 27 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80 4.50 P
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
3  VECCHI 2 3 1nk 2nk   23 37¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 12.00 18.40  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
5  ROLL ON BIG O 4 6 3.2 31½   45 48 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  ONE STEP ASIDE 5 7 71½ 74¼   56 58 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 6.00 3.90  
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
1  MOBIL MISSION 1 9 811½ 811¼   812 68½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO 8 2 51¼ 62¼   710 714 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 74.70  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
8  JODHPUR 7 4 4¾ 42   69½ 814¼ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 4.50 4.90  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
4  UNLIMITED LUCK 3 8 913½ 926¼   9100 9100 (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  GUESS AGAIN               (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of MARIE'S MUSIC by STRAIGHT MAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.