Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-4   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
TDN-5   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-6   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-7   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (7/5/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.20 $9.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SURE FIRE READY 2 5 33½ 2½   11 15¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.10 W
1  HITCH CITY 1 4 13 1½   21 25¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60 1.00 P
5  SASSY POWER 4 3 45 44   35½ 37½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 8.80  
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 1 23 33   46 412 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7% 13.90 7.50  
6  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 5 2 56½ 57   59 515¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 14.60  
SCR  HOSANNA               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE               (rivera nesto)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD 1 5 21½ 1½ 11½ 14 14¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 ★ 1.30  
2  KARAMEL CORN 2 1 11½ 2½ 21½ 24 24¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 11.50  
5  SPIN DOCTOR 5 4 53¾ 32½ 32 34½ 36 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 S
4  BABA LOOEY 4 2 33½ 52¾ 54½ 59 412¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 7% 14.00 3.50  
3  DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 43½ 42½ 44½ 46½ 512¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  NAMBITI               (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLD HONEY 3 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 15¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 62% 0.60 1.10 W
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 5 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 25¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 113 1.80 2.70  
4  SNOWBIRD 4 6 48 48½   312½ 314½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 8% 11.90 4.10 S
1  CURLIN PEARLS 1 5 611½ 512   515½ 414½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5.40  
6  WHATDID I BUY 6 3 59 613½   616½ 524 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
2  BLIZZARD 2 4 34 37   415½ 628¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 8.00 15.80  
 
TDN-4   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID 1 3 1½ 1½   12½ 12 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 23% 3.30 3.30 W
3  SMUDGE THE CAT 3 2 33 34   22½ 22 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 114 3.00 31% 2.30 2.40 P
2  ON HIS TOES 2 5 58½ 58½   45½ 33½ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 4.50 1.80  
6  LAKE TAHOE 5 1 2½ 2½   34½ 48½ (davis d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15% 5.50 2.20  
5  FAST CALL 4 4 44½ 45½   57 510 (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 22.40  
SCR  LED TASSO               (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACT NOT FICTION 1 3 11 13   19 18¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50 1.00 W
5  IRONCLAD ALIBI 4 4 32 23   29 28¼ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 6.00 12% 7.30 2.00 P
4  TADZIO 3 2 21 33   413 321¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 2.50 2.80  
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE 2 5 43 43¼   313 421¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 11% 8.30 11.10  
7  GRAY TORMENTOR 5 1 511 518¼   521 524¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00 12.90  
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
SCR  PRAYED TODAY               (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LATIN SPICE 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¾ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.80 W
1  STATESBORO 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 35% 1.90 11.00 P
3  BREEZY MONEY 3 2 33½ 32 31½ 32½ 33¾ (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 2.80  
6  DISCLOSURE 6 6 58 57 46½ 46 44 (skerrett jef)RIVERA R 114 3.00 3.90  
5  FRANCO (MEX) 5 5 613 612 610¾ 58 59½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 11.00  
2  CUMBER 2 4 43½ 43½ 56¾ 610½ 612¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SCR  ALGORIX               (bracho j)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED HOT LASS 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 13½ 14¼ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 65% 0.50 0.20 W
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 7 63½ 52¼ 42¾ 36 24¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70 P
1  LIBERTY BELLE 1 5 52 3.2 3.2 23½ 35¼ (londono j)BRACHO A 121 4.50 12.40  
5  MISS GOODBAR 5 6 75½ 74¼ 66¾ 68½ 48½ (davis d)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 39.60  
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 4 42 42¼ 52¾ 46½ 59 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 15.20  
6  CANDY ISLAND 6 1 11 1nk 2nk 58 617¼ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 ★ 5.10  
7  COURTLY 7 3 31½ 62¾ 77¼ 713 730½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.80 17.90  
 
TDN-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RADIO SILENT 9 1 2nk 1nk   13 17 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
7  AFTER SUNRISE 6 5 61¼ 52¼   33½ 27 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80 4.50 P
3  VECCHI 2 3 1nk 2nk   23 37¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 12.00 18.40  
5  ROLL ON BIG O 4 6 3.2 31½   45 48 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20  
6  ONE STEP ASIDE 5 7 71½ 74¼   56 58 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 6.00 3.90  
1  MOBIL MISSION 1 9 811½ 811¼   812 68½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO 8 2 51¼ 62¼   710 714 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 74.70  
8  JODHPUR 7 4 4¾ 42   69½ 814¼ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 4.50 4.90  
4  UNLIMITED LUCK 3 8 913½ 926¼   9100 9100 (urieta joha)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  GUESS AGAIN               (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.