The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 1 $5.30 $5.30 -0.70
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-5 3 0 $14.50 -6.00
TDN-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
    Exacta (4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-2 2 0 $21.40 -4.00
    Trifecta (4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-2-5 3 0 $31.10 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $7.00 -6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $5.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5-4 3 0 $17.40 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(4/5)-(3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-1-3 3 0 $16.00 -18.00
TDN-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 1 $14.80 $14.80 8.80
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3-2 3 0 $25.30 -6.00
    Pick Three (4/5)-(3/4/6)-(1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 1-3-1 3 0 $35.10 -18.00
TDN-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 1 $5.50 $5.50 -0.50
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-4 3 0 $10.30 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 3-1-1 3 1 $22.10 $22.10 -4.90
TDN-6   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 1 $18.90 $18.90 12.90
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-3 3 0 $88.90 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(1/3/5)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-1-4 3 1 $29.20 $29.20 2.20
TDN-7   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-4 2 1 $8.20 $8.20 -0.80
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-4-1 3 0 $37.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/2/4)-(2/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-4-2 3 1 $4.90 $4.90 -22.10
TDN-8   Win (1/4/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 -0.80
    Exacta (1/4/5/7/10)-(1/4/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 10-7 2 1 $22.30 $22.30 2.30
    Trifecta (1/4/5/7/10)-(1/4/5/7/10)-(1/4/5/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 10-7-3 3 0 $162.90 -60.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(1/4/5/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-10 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -3.20
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(2/4/7)-(1/4/5/7/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 4-2-10 3 1 $18.40 $18.40 -26.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE FIRE READY 2 5 3 2½   11 1(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.10 W
HITCH CITY 1 4 13 1½   21 2(johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60 1.00 P
SASSY POWER 4 3 45 44   33(szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 8.80  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 1 23 33   46 412 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7% 13.90 7.50  
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 5 2 5 57   59 515¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 14.60  
SCR  HOSANNA               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE               (rivera nesto)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:241 :482 1:133     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD 1 5 2 1½ 1 14 1(urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 1.30  
KARAMEL CORN 2 1 1 2½ 2 24 2(radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 11.50  
SPIN DOCTOR 5 4 5 3 32 336 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 S
BABA LOOEY 4 2 3 5 5 59 412¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 7% 14.00 3.50  
DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 4 4 4 4512¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  NAMBITI               (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
:232 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD HONEY 3 1 2½ 2nk   11(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 62% 0.60 1.10 W
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 5 2 1½ 1nk   22(rone mike)RIVERA R 113 1.80 2.70  
SNOWBIRD 4 6 48 4   312½ 314½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 8% 11.90 4.10 S
CURLIN PEARLS 1 5 611½ 512   515½ 414½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5.40  
WHATDID I BUY 6 3 59 613½   616½ 524 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
BLIZZARD 2 4 34 37   415½ 628¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 8.00 15.80  
 
TDN-4   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY VALID 1 3 1½ 1½   112 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 23% 3.30 3.30 W
SMUDGE THE CAT 3 2 33 34   222 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 114 3.00 31% 2.30 2.40 P
ON HIS TOES 2 5 5 5   43(londono j)HALDAR J 119 4.50 1.80  
LAKE TAHOE 5 1 2½ 2½   34(davis d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15% 5.50 2.20  
FAST CALL 4 4 4 4   57 510 (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 22.40  
SCR  LED TASSO               (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
:23 :473 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACT NOT FICTION 1 3 11 13   19 1(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50 1.00 W
IRONCLAD ALIBI 4 4 32 23   29 2(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 6.00 12% 7.30 2.00 P
TADZIO 3 2 21 33   413 321¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 2.50 2.80  
ROMANIAN PRINCE 2 5 43 4   313 421¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 11% 8.30 11.10  
GRAY TORMENTOR 5 1 511 518¼   521 524¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00 12.90  
SCR  KINDERHOOK               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
SCR  PRAYED TODAY               (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:233 :47 1:114     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIN SPICE 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¾ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.80 W
STATESBORO 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 35% 1.90 11.00 P
BREEZY MONEY 3 2 3 32 3 33(vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 2.80  
DISCLOSURE 6 6 58 57 4 46 44 (skerrett jef)RIVERA R 114 3.00 3.90  
FRANCO 5 5 613 612 610¾ 58 5(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 11.00  
CUMBER 2 4 4 4 5 610½ 612¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SCR  ALGORIX               (bracho j)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:234 :474 1:122     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT LASS 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 11(skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 65% 0.50 0.20 W
DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 7 6 5 4 36 2(rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70 P
LIBERTY BELLE 1 5 52 3.2 3.2 23(londono j)BRACHO A 121 4.50 12.40  
MISS GOODBAR 5 6 7 7 6 64(davis d)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 39.60  
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 4 42 4 5 459 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 15.20  
CANDY ISLAND 6 1 11 1nk 2nk 58 617¼ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 5.10  
COURTLY 7 3 3 6 7 713 730½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.80 17.90  
 
TDN-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
:23 :473 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RADIO SILENT 9 1 2nk 1nk   13 17 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
AFTER SUNRISE 6 5 6 5   327 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80 4.50 P
VECCHI 2 3 1nk 2nk   23 3(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 12.00 18.40  
ROLL ON BIG O 4 6 3.2 3   45 48 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20  
ONE STEP ASIDE 5 7 7 7   56 58 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 6.00 3.90  
MOBIL MISSION 1 9 811½ 811¼   812 6(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 8 2 5 6   710 714 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 74.70  
JODHPUR 7 4 4¾ 42   6814¼ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 4.50 4.90  
UNLIMITED LUCK 3 8 913½ 926¼   9100 9100 (urieta joha)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  GUESS AGAIN               (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.