Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/4)-(3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/4/6)-(3/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/1/6)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/5/3)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/1/2)-(2/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(2/7/4)-(7/5/4/10/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(7/5/4/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/5/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/10/1)-(7/5/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/10/1)-(7/5/4/10/1)-(7/5/4/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH CITY Jun26 Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 Aug25 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
2  SURE FIRE READY Jul17 Jun27 May23 May06 Sep26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jul26 Jun26 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  HOSANNA Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 Apr27 Dec03 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
5  SASSY POWER Aug02 Jun26 May25 May11 Apr26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
6  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May25 May11 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 May06 Apr27 (rivera nes)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Mar27 Mar09 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 ★    
2  KARAMEL CORN Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 Nov12 Oct12 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
3  DEER CREEK ROAD Jul31 Jun10 May15 Apr27 Mar27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
4  BABA LOOEY Jul18 Jun07 May25 May08 Nov22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 7% 14.00    
5  SPIN DOCTOR Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 May24 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  NAMBITI Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 May31 May09 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN PEARLS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  BLIZZARD         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of THEDAMEWANTSTOWIN by GULCH)
3  GOLD HONEY Jul22 Jun24       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  SNOWBIRD         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jul13 Jun05       (rone mike)RIVERA R 113 1.80    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  WHATDID I BUY         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
 
TDN-4   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 Apr07 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  ON HIS TOES Jul24 Jun05 Apr27 Oct06 Sep26 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
3  SMUDGE THE CAT Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May20 Apr27 (radosevich)RIVERA R 114 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  LED TASSO Jul27 Jul10 Jun06 May24 Apr26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
5  FAST CALL Jul11 Aug18 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
6  LAKE TAHOE Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 May15 Feb09 (davis d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACT NOT FICTION Jul27 Jul13       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
SCR  KINDERHOOK         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
4  TADZIO Jul27 Jul13       (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 2.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
5  IRONCLAD ALIBI         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MUSIC MISS by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
SCR  PRAYED TODAY Jun05         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
7  GRAY TORMENTOR         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
 
TDN-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATESBORO Jul14 Jun27       (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  CUMBER Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 May06 Mar30 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BREEZY MONEY Aug02 Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 Dec20 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
4  LATIN SPICE Jul24 Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 May29 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  FRANCO (MEX) Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 Dec13 Dec06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
6  DISCLOSURE Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May31 May10 (skerrett j)RIVERA R 114 3.00    
SCR  ALGORIX Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May16 Apr13 (bracho jose)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May31 Apr13 (londono odin )BRACHO A 121 4.50    
2  RED HOT LASS Jul20 Jun24 Jun19 May31 May09 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug02 Jul20 Jun19 May31 Sep27 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL Jun19 May09 Apr26 Mar15 Feb20 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS GOODBAR Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May23 May09 (davis d)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00    
6  CANDY ISLAND Jul19 Jun24 May15 Feb20 Dec15 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 ★    
7  COURTLY Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 Nov03 Oct04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL MISSION         (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  GUESS AGAIN Jul06 Jun23       (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  VECCHI Jul26 Jun20       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
4  UNLIMITED LUCK         (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
5  ROLL ON BIG O Jul26         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  ONE STEP ASIDE         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 6.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  AFTER SUNRISE Jul27 Jun20       (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
8  JODHPUR Jul06         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 4.50    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO Jul26 Jul06       (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
10  RADIO SILENT Jul26 Jun30       (hamm timot)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC Jul26 Jun20       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of MARIE'S MUSIC by STRAIGHT MAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.