Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (7/5/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH CITY Jun26 Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 Aug25 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
2  SURE FIRE READY Jul17 Jun27 May23 May06 Sep26 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jul26 Jun26 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  HOSANNA Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 Apr27 Dec03 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
5  SASSY POWER Aug02 Jun26 May25 May11 Apr26 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
6  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May25 May11 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 May06 Apr27 (rivera nesto)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Mar27 Mar09 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 ★    
2  KARAMEL CORN Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 Nov12 Oct12 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
3  DEER CREEK ROAD Jul31 Jun10 May15 Apr27 Mar27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
4  BABA LOOEY Jul18 Jun07 May25 May08 Nov22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 7% 14.00    
5  SPIN DOCTOR Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 May24 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  NAMBITI Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 May31 May09 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN PEARLS         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
2  BLIZZARD         (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
3  GOLD HONEY Jul22 Jun24       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
4  SNOWBIRD         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jul13 Jun05       (rone mike)RIVERA R 113 1.80    
6  WHATDID I BUY         (radosevich just)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 Apr07 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  ON HIS TOES Jul24 Jun05 Apr27 Oct06 Sep26 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
3  SMUDGE THE CAT Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May20 Apr27 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 114 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  LED TASSO Jul27 Jul10 Jun06 May24 Apr26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
5  FAST CALL Jul11 Aug18 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
6  LAKE TAHOE Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 May15 Feb09 (davis d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACT NOT FICTION Jul27 Jul13       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50    
SCR  KINDERHOOK         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 11% 8.30    
4  TADZIO Jul27 Jul13       (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 2.50    
5  IRONCLAD ALIBI         (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  PRAYED TODAY Jun05         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.00    
7  GRAY TORMENTOR         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00    
 
TDN-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATESBORO Jul14 Jun27       (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  CUMBER Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 May06 Mar30 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BREEZY MONEY Aug02 Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 Dec20 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
4  LATIN SPICE Jul24 Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 May29 (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  FRANCO (MEX) Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 Dec13 Dec06 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
6  DISCLOSURE Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May31 May10 (skerrett jef)RIVERA R 114 3.00    
SCR  ALGORIX Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May16 Apr13 (bracho j)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May31 Apr13 (londono j)BRACHO A 121 4.50    
2  RED HOT LASS Jul20 Jun24 Jun19 May31 May09 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug02 Jul20 Jun19 May31 Sep27 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL Jun19 May09 Apr26 Mar15 Feb20 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS GOODBAR Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May23 May09 (davis d)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00    
6  CANDY ISLAND Jul19 Jun24 May15 Feb20 Dec15 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 ★    
7  COURTLY Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 Nov03 Oct04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL MISSION         (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUESS AGAIN Jul06 Jun23       (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
3  VECCHI Jul26 Jun20       (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
4  UNLIMITED LUCK         (urieta joha)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROLL ON BIG O Jul26         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
6  ONE STEP ASIDE         (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 6.00    
7  AFTER SUNRISE Jul27 Jun20       (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
8  JODHPUR Jul06         (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 4.50    
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO Jul26 Jul06       (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00    
10  RADIO SILENT Jul26 Jun30       (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC Jul26 Jun20       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.