The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
    Exacta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $13.00 $13.00 1.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-3-6 3 1 $32.60 $32.60 8.60
TDN-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 1 $5.10 $5.10 -0.90
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6-3 3 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
    Daily Double (1/3/5/6)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 1 $16.30 $16.30 4.30
TDN-3   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 0 $6.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-5 3 0 $27.30 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5/6)-(3/4/6)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 5-4-4 3 1 $43.00 $43.00 7.00
TDN-4   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -0.60
    Exacta (3/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 6-3 2 1 $6.70 $6.70 2.70
    Trifecta (3/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 6-3-4 3 0 $18.00 -4.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 4-4-6 3 1 $9.40 $9.40 -8.60
TDN-5   Win (2/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-8 2 1 $10.30 $10.30 -1.70
    Trifecta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-8-7 3 1 $20.70 $20.70 -3.30
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(3/6)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-6-3 3 1 $8.80 $8.80 -15.20
TDN-6   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5 2 0 $12.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-1 3 0 $28.90 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/6)-(2/3/7/8)-(1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-3-6 3 1 $18.10 $18.10 -5.90
TDN-7   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-7 2 0 $5.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-7-2 3 0 $12.30 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3/7/8)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-6-1 3 1 $18.00 $18.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (2/3/7/8)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-6-5 3 0 $8.90 -36.00
TDN-8   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4-3 3 1 $35.80 $35.80 29.80
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-1 2 1 $3.80 $3.80 -5.20
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 6-1-1 3 1 $7.70 $7.70 -19.30
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 6-5-1 3 0 $5.70 -27.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE MUCHO 5 1 2 1nk   1nk 1nk (radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
TIME FOR CUPID 3 4 43 4¾   2nk 2nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60 P
MAY BEAU 6 2 7 6   53(morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 22% 3.50 6.60 S
O K BABY 4 3 3 2nk   348 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 20.10  
DREAM MUSIC 1 5 1 3.2   44 510 (urieta johan)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
SURPRISED GEM 2 7 54 5   65 610¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 16.60  
FALL CAMPAIGN 7 6 67 7   79 714 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 22.00  
 
TDN-2   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:224 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 3 2 1 1   14 1(huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 42% 1.40 1.20 W
ACCURATE 5 1 32 2   24 2(yoder susan )RIVERA R 119 4.50 11% 7.80 1.70 P
TIDE RISING 2 5 43 42   37 3(mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.60 3.30 S
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 1 3 2 32   410 414½ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 21.10  
SERENDIPITOUS 4 4 5 56   514 516 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 1.80 6.00  
SCR  MA MOO POWER               (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
:23 :473 1:01     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING EASY 4 3 2 21   11(hamm timothy)RIVERA R 113 1.60 58% 0.70 0.50 W
MAYBETHEONE 1 4 3 3   32(lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.50 8.70  
MIZ KEETA 5 5 43 42   234 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 5.00  
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 6 1 5 52   44(mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 13% 6.60 3.40  
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 2 6 6 6   6511 (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
WILD MARIAH 3 2 1 11   55 614¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 10.00 21.50  
 
TDN-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:221 :45 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN LAP 6 3 3.2 1nk   12 1(jackson james )MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.60 72% 0.40 0.70 W
EL ROSILLO 3 4 4 5   42(elliott michelle )BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
NINETIES COUNTRY 4 6 6 4   33(estvanko richar)BRACHO A 119 2.50 2.60  
MASTER 2 1 1nk 2nk   22 4(casalinova tina)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12.80  
MURTAGH 5 2 2nk 3   5511½ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 6.40  
THE EQUINEST 1 5 5 6   611 614¾ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 121 10.00 33.60  
 
TDN-5   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:241 :484 1:134     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTILLGOTIT 2 4 1 11 2½ 1½ 1¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 17% 4.80 1.40 W
VENETIAN DREAM 7 1 2 21 1½ 2½ 2¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 5.60 P
OWN THE TOWN 6 2 55 5 5 43 3(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 25% 3.00 1.20 S
YOUVESAIDITALL 1 3 4 42 42 32 4(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 13% 6.80 7.00  
FORT RAMSEY 3 5 3 32 3 54 5(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 43.00  
OPEN OUT 4 7 78 76 7 66 610 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 6.00 15.20  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 5 6 66 65 65 7718¼ (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 71.20  
SCR  GUCCISSIMO               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
TDN-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:22 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT EXPRESS 6 1 11 1   15 1(poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00 43% 1.30 0.90 W
SWING STATE 5 3 4 47   32(brown glenroy)DIAZ I 115 10.00 14.10  
KID RUSSELL 1 5 33 2   25 3(juarez loren)RIVERA R 114 1.60 29% 2.50 1.40 S
FAST CLIP 3 2 21 35   4412 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 6.50  
RED COMET 2 6 5 511½   513 514½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
YOU'RE OUT 4 4 613 617½   615½ 616¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 34.60  
 
TDN-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:222 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF THE LYON 1 5 1nk 1   11(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 20% 4.00 0.80 W
COSTUME JEWELRY 6 3 6 4   32(morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 3.40  
CAN I GO TOO 2 7 5 3   234 (urieta johan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.00 7% 12.80 3.90 S
BAREFOOT BEACH 5 2 4 53   5412¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 17.20 6.30  
ST PATTY'S SONG 7 1 7 710   6514¾ (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00 31.00  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 4 6 2nk 2   46 616½ (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 42.00  
RONNI'S DAY 3 4 3.2 6   712¾ 735¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 17.80  
SCR  SHEZA POP STAR               (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE 1 1 11 14   14 1(dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 1.60 65% 0.50 0.60 W
CROSSED UP 4 5 5 59   42(zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6% 14.90 11.90 P
OUT MY DEAR 3 3 3 45   33(radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
CHANEL SPIRIT 6 4 21 24   54(cline c)RIVERA R 115 3.50 4.90  
HELLO SWEETS 2 2 4 3   24 5(gorham m)DIAZ I 115 1.80 4.10  
SPICE ICE 5 6 611 613   610¾ 6(calderon iva)RIVERA R 114 15.00 29.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.