Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
TDN-2   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-3   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-5   Win (7/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-7   Win (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-8   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MORE MUCHO 5 1 21½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
3  TIME FOR CUPID 3 4 43 4¾   2nk 2nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60 P
6  MAY BEAU 6 2 77¼ 64¼   54½ 36¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 22% 3.50 6.60 S
4  O K BABY 4 3 31½ 2nk   32½ 48 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 20.10  
1  DREAM MUSIC 1 5 11½ 3.2   44 510 (urieta johan)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
2  SURPRISED GEM 2 7 54 53¾   65 610¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 16.60  
7  FALL CAMPAIGN 7 6 67 78¼   79 714 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 22.00  
 
TDN-2   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WORTHY OPPONENT 3 2 11½ 11½   14 11¾ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 42% 1.40 1.20 W
6  ACCURATE 5 1 32 21½   24 21¾ (yoder susan )RIVERA R 119 4.50 11% 7.80 1.70 P
3  TIDE RISING 2 5 43 42   37 36¾ (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.60 3.30 S
2  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 1 3 21½ 32   410 414½ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 21.10  
5  SERENDIPITOUS 4 4 55½ 56   514 516 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 1.80 6.00  
SCR  MA MOO POWER               (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FEELING EASY 4 3 21½ 21   11½ 13¼ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 113 1.60 58% 0.70 0.50 W
1  MAYBETHEONE 1 4 31½ 31½   31½ 23¼ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.50 8.70  
5  MIZ KEETA 5 5 43 42   21½ 34 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 5.00  
6  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 6 1 53¼ 52   42½ 45¾ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 13% 6.60 3.40  
2  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 2 6 64¾ 65½   65¼ 511 (genovese ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
3  WILD MARIAH 3 2 11½ 11   55 614¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 10.00 21.50  
 
TDN-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUN LAP 6 3 3.2 1nk   12 11½ (jackson james )MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.60 72% 0.40 0.70 W
3  EL ROSILLO 3 4 42¾ 55½   46½ 21½ (elliott michelle )BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
4  NINETIES COUNTRY 4 6 64¾ 43½   34½ 33¼ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 119 2.50 2.60  
2  MASTER 2 1 1nk 2nk   22 44¼ (casalinova tina)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12.80  
5  MURTAGH 5 2 2nk 32½   58½ 511½ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★ 6.40  
1  THE EQUINEST 1 5 53¼ 67½   611 614¾ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 121 10.00 33.60  
 
TDN-5   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ISTILLGOTIT 2 4 11½ 11 2½ 1½ 1¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 17% 4.80 1.40 W
8  VENETIAN DREAM 7 1 21½ 21 1½ 2½ 2¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 5.60 P
7  OWN THE TOWN 6 2 55 52½ 52½ 43 31¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 25% 3.00 1.20 S
2  YOUVESAIDITALL 1 3 43½ 42 42 32 42¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 13% 6.80 7.00  
4  FORT RAMSEY 3 5 33½ 32 31½ 54 59¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 43.00  
5  OPEN OUT 4 7 78 76 75½ 66 610 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 6.00 15.20  
6  ACESKINGSANQUEENS 5 6 66 65 65 77½ 718¼ (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 71.20  
SCR  GUCCISSIMO               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
TDN-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS 6 1 11 14½   15 17¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00 43% 1.30 0.90 W
5  SWING STATE 5 3 44½ 47   37½ 27¾ (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 115 10.00 14.10  
1  KID RUSSELL 1 5 33 24½   25 37¾ (juarez loren)RIVERA R 114 1.60 29% 2.50 1.40 S
3  FAST CLIP 3 2 21 35   47½ 412 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 6.50  
2  RED COMET 2 6 58½ 511½   513 514½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
4  YOU'RE OUT 4 4 613 617½   615½ 616¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 34.60  
 
TDN-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON 1 5 1nk 11½   11½ 13½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 20% 4.00 0.80 W
7  COSTUME JEWELRY 6 3 64¼ 42½   31½ 23½ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 3.40  
2  CAN I GO TOO 2 7 53¼ 32½   21½ 34 (urieta johan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.00 7% 12.80 3.90 S
6  BAREFOOT BEACH 5 2 42¾ 53   56¼ 412¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 17.20 6.30  
8  ST PATTY'S SONG 7 1 77¾ 710   68¼ 514¾ (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00 31.00  
4  PROPER ETIQUETTE 4 6 2nk 21½   46 616½ (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 42.00  
3  RONNI'S DAY 3 4 3.2 65½   712¾ 735¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 17.80  
SCR  SHEZA POP STAR               (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LOTTIE 1 1 11 14   14 14¾ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 1.60 65% 0.50 0.60 W
4  CROSSED UP 4 5 58½ 59   47½ 24¾ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6% 14.90 11.90 P
3  OUT MY DEAR 3 3 33½ 45   37½ 35¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
6  CHANEL SPIRIT 6 4 21 24   57¾ 46¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 115 3.50 4.90  
2  HELLO SWEETS 2 2 43½ 34½   24 56¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 1.80 4.10  
5  SPICE ICE 5 6 611 613   610¾ 68¾ (calderon iva)RIVERA R 114 15.00 29.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.