Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(4/3/6)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/6/2)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(6/3)-(7/3/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/3/8/2)-(6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/2)-(6/1/2)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/2/6)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM MUSIC Jul18 Jul04 Oct04 Sep14 Sep07 (urieta joh)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SURPRISED GEM May10 Apr09 Apr02 Mar22 Mar16 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00    
3  TIME FOR CUPID Jul20 Jul03 Jun10 May23 May10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  O K BABY Jul20 Jun10 May16 Feb27 Oct26 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
5  MORE MUCHO Jul04 Jun10 May06 Apr07 Mar19 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAY BEAU Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 Jun12 May29 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  FALL CAMPAIGN Jun26 Jun12 May16 May08 Apr26 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MA MOO POWER May20 Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
2  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Jul18 Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
3  TIDE RISING Jul18 Jun20 May23 May08 Apr26 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
4  WORTHY OPPONENT Jul31 Jul18 Jun10 Jun01 Nov28 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  SERENDIPITOUS Jun21 Jun01 May17 Apr26 Apr06 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 1.80    
6  ACCURATE Jul18 Jun13 May24 May03 Apr06 (yoder susa)RIVERA R 119 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
TDN-3   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBETHEONE Jul24         (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)
2  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Jul24         (genovese r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  WILD MARIAH Aug01 Jul13 Jun24     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
4  FEELING EASY Jul24 Jun24       (hamm timot)RIVERA R 113 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
5  MIZ KEETA         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL         (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 13% 6.60    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of BOSSY GIRL by STREET BOSS)
 
TDN-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE EQUINEST Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 May17 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 121 10.00    
2  MASTER Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May17 Mar21 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
3  EL ROSILLO Jul13 Jul06 May30 May22 Apr27 (elliott michell)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  NINETIES COUNTRY Mar18 Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
5  MURTAGH Jul19 Jul03 Jun10 Jun13 May09 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
6  GUN LAP Jul04 May30 May11 Apr26 Aug18 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.60 72% 0.40    
 
TDN-5   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUCCISSIMO May16 May03 Aug25 Aug10 Jul18 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 123 15.00    
2  YOUVESAIDITALL Jul27 Jul12 Jun24 Jan17 Jan03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  ISTILLGOTIT Feb02 Dec13 Nov07 Oct13 Sep22 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
4  FORT RAMSEY Jul24 Sep22 Aug23 May03 Apr18 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
5  OPEN OUT Jul27 Jul03 Jun01 May17 May06 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
6  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Jul31 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 Oct14 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
7  OWN THE TOWN Jul27 Jul12 Jun13 May11 Dec03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  VENETIAN DREAM Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID RUSSELL Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 Jun15 May16 (juarez lor)RIVERA R 114 1.60 29% 2.50    
2  RED COMET Jul31 Jul13 Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAST CLIP Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 May29 May11 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50    
4  YOU'RE OUT Jul31 Jul06 Jun02 Aug18 Jul27 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
5  SWING STATE Jul31 Jul06 Jun06 May17 Mar30 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 10.00    
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS Jul27 Jun20 May20 May08 Oct13 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON Jul26 Jul08 Jun05 May24 May06 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  CAN I GO TOO Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May25 May11 (urieta joh)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.00 7% 12.80    
3  RONNI'S DAY Jul24 Jun26 May17 May24 May03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
4  PROPER ETIQUETTE Jul24 Jul05 May24 May03 Mar16 (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  SHEZA POP STAR Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 Nov19 Oct25 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  BAREFOOT BEACH Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May24 Jan18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 17.20    
7  COSTUME JEWELRY Jul26 May25 May16 May06 Dec27 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
8  ST PATTY'S SONG Mar16 Jan16 Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
 
TDN-8   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LOTTIE Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 Jun22 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 1.60 65% 0.50    
2  HELLO SWEETS Jun27 Jun12 May24 May06 Apr10 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 1.80    
3  OUT MY DEAR Jul17 Jun26 Dec30 Dec13 Nov19 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CROSSED UP Jul17 Jun12 May10 Apr13 Mar29 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6% 14.90    
5  SPICE ICE Jul05 Jun19 Jun02 Jan31 Jan17 (calderon i)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
6  CHANEL SPIRIT Jul22 Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 Dec15 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.