Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    DD (8/7/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-2 $11.20 $2.20 24%
TDN-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $13.40 $7.40 123%
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/8/5/7/10)-(2/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00  2-2-6 $51.00 $6.00 13%
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $32.40 $24.40 305%
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $57.10 $45.10 376%
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-3-2 $294.10 $270.10 1125%
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/10/3/7/2)-(6/3/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00  4-1-1 $85.90 $25.90 43%
TDN-8   DD (6/3/1/2)-(8/4/10/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-8 $61.00 $41.00 205%
    PK3 (1/10/3/7/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(8/4/10/2/3) 100 $1.00 $100  1-1-8 $148.90 $48.90 49%
    PK4 (4/5/1)-(1/10/3/7/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(8/4/10/2/3) 300 $0.50 $150  4-1/5-1-8 $306.50 $156.50 104%
    PK5 (2/5/6)-(4/5/1)-(1/10/3/7/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(8/4/10/2/3) 900 $0.50 $450  6-4-1/5-1-8 $1704 $1254 279%
    PK6 (2/8/5/7/10)-(2/5/6)-(4/5/1)-(1/10/3/7/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(8/4/10/2/3) 4500 $0.20 $900  2/3-6-4-1/5-1-8 $1039.28 $139.28 15%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL'D 7 1 12 1   13 1 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 73% 0.40 0.50 W
JACK BE FAST 5 2 22 2   23 2 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 15.10  
TIGER TRAIL 6 3 33 3   35 3 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
HANSENATION 2 6 6 612   69 4 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.60  
THE MAN CAN 4 4 48 411½   5 5 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
FU ROO 1 5 5 512   4 6 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 4.90  
FOREIGN 3 7 721½ 724   720 726 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 12.00 32.50  
SCR  RIDING IN THE WIND               (dalton michelle)BAEZ M 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKENDING 2 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 1 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 29% 2.50 4.90 W
STARLITESLEW 6 1 32 3½   1nk 2 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 0.90  
DANES LAST SONG 5 2 2½ 2nk   31 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 8.00 6% 17.00 6.70 S
TV TIZ GORGEOUS 1 3 4 44   43 45 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 2.00 38% 1.60 4.90  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 4 6 6 6   5 5 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 4.60  
HEART OF RUBY 3 5 5 55   6 610 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 12.10  
 
TDN-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE DRAMA 2 7 1 1½   15 16 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 47% 1.20 0.80 W
THELMA LUCILLE 8 2 5 43   25 26 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00 9.90  
EXTRA CRAFTY 1 8 6 55   4 3 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 8.00 31.80  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 4 5 43 33   35 4 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 7% 13.30 6.10  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 7 6 7 7   6 510¾ (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 6 4 2 2½   5 617¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00 6% 16.20 13.90  
WICKED REESE 3 9 911¼ 912¼   711¼ 718¾ (radcliff dona)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 22.10  
10  GOLD APPEAL 9 1 8 8   814¾ 822½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.10  
SEE YA SISTA 5 3 3 6   916¼ 930¼ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 5.00 24.20  
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 30.00    
 
TDN-4   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOYI 6 5 5 3   2 1 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 18% 4.50 2.50 W
MISTERCHILLIWILLI 5 1 24 11   1 2 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 117 2.50 23% 3.30 2.10 P
NAPA DUDE 1 6 6 6   3 3 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 8.50  
MINDSHIP Q 3 4 35 55   5 410 (londono od)RIVERA R 118 6.00 15.50  
ARMOR PIERCING 2 3 45 44   4 510 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
GUN FACTOR 4 2 14 21   611 621 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 4.60  
 
TDN-5   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :47       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL FURY 4 2 2½ 2 2½ 1 17 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
WICKED WARRIOR 6 3 31 3 3 3 27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 4.00  
BEER CHASER 2 4 53 4 43 2 38 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 1.80  
STRIKE APPEAL 1 5 43 55 5 5 417¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 14% 6.30 13.40  
AYE AYE SIR 3 1 1½ 1 1½ 4 517½ (rettele richa)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 6.60  
STAR HAWK 5 6 6 6 6 610¼ 620½ (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 26% 2.90 6.20  
 
TDN-6   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALIZED 1 7 11 1   1 1 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 43% 1.30 0.60 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
10  KNOCK WOOD 9 3 4 4   3 2 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 29% 2.50 3.20 P
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
SYNERGISTIC 3 5 21 2   2 3 (lopez jacin)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 5% 17.90 3.90 S
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
EL SORDO 4 6 6 5   4 4 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 56.30  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
HARSH TRUTH 2 8 910 7   6 58 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SHOWTIME BOY 6 2 3 3   55 615¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
JOSH'N 8 1 5 6   79 716¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00 10.70  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
ROUGE TU RICHES 7 4 8 9   813½ 817½ (faulkner rodn)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00 88.20  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
MOR CRAFTY 5 9 77 8   913¾ 922¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 20.00 55.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  MALUMA               (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CHIQUILINA by OUR EMBLEM)
 
TDN-7   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY INCLUDED 1 6 21 2nk   1nk 1½ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 21% 3.90 15.20 W
INTO GOLD 3 5 11 1nk   2nk 2½ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 2.50 26% 2.90 2.90 P
CONDEMNATION 2 8 5 4   4 3 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.90 S
ZAKARIA 7 2 31 3.2   3 4 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 2.70  
GONE IN A FLASH 8 1 42 5   56 5 (gorham robert )GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5.00  
TEAM LEYENDECKER 5 4 8 8   710 611¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 12.00 19.80  
BLAZING BURROUGHS 6 3 7 7   810½ 714 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 119 4.50 27% 2.70 4.90  
RUN ROCKY 4 7 63 6   68 814½ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 10.00  
SCR  BETCHAIWILL               (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 8 3 2 21   1nk 12 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 22% 3.50 3.30 W
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
CANELA FINA 3 5 43 3   3 22 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 4.00 6% 15.20 1.40 P
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
HALO EFFECT 6 4 33 4   5 34 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 18.80  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
SNAZZY 4 8 6 6   44 4 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 20% 3.90 6.00  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
10  BROKEN JEWEL 10 2 1 11   2nk 5 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 16% 5.10 7.00  
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
POLLY PRISSY PANTS 2 7 96 10   6 6 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 13% 6.50 10.70  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
VAMONOS PIACENTE 5 10 116 9   7 7 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 69.90  
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
11  MY TWO JAKES 11 9 7 7   9 810¾ (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 39.00  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
C MORE PRIDE 9 12 106 1210   11 910¾ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 45.70  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
ONE RICH KITTEN 7 6 5 5   8 1011 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 96.50  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
Z B READY 1 11 127 119   10 1113¾ (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 30.00 35.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
12  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 12 1 85 8   1212¼ 1220 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 11.50  
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.