Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (2/8/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-4   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (1/10/3/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-7   Win (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (8/4/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIDING IN THE WIND Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (dalton michelle)BAEZ M 119 12.00    
FU ROO Jul18 Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 Oct04 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
HANSENATION Jul18 Jun10 May24 May16 Apr27 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
FOREIGN Jul18 Jun13 Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
THE MAN CAN Jul18 Jun13 May24 May08 Apr13 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
JACK BE FAST Jul18 Jun07 May24 May09 Mar23 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00    
TIGER TRAIL Jul18 Jun13 May09 Apr13 Nov03 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL'D Jul18 Jun15 May24 Dec03 Oct04 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 73% 0.40    
 
TDN-2   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TV TIZ GORGEOUS Jul18 Jul05 May23 May06 Mar20 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
WEEKENDING Jul05 Jun05 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 29% 2.50    
HEART OF RUBY Aug01 Jul13 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jul25 Jul09 Jun10 May31 May11 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00    
DANES LAST SONG Mar20 Mar02 Dec13 Nov30   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 8.00 6% 17.00    
STARLITESLEW Jul18 Jul05 Jun01 May16 May06 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA CRAFTY Jul13 Jun20 Jun01     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 8.00    
DANCE DRAMA Jul25 Jun01       (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 47% 1.20    
SCR  OH EYE SEE Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May15 Apr25 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 30.00    
WICKED REESE Jul03 Jun19 May15 Apr12 Mar30 (radcliff donald)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
HAUGHTY PRAISE Jul25 Jul13 Aug19 Aug08 Jul26 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 3.00 7% 13.30    
SEE YA SISTA Jul13 Jun19 Jun05 May15 Mar16 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 5.00    
HOLLYS SUPER STAR         (radosevich jus)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 20.00 6% 16.20    
ANGEL'S DESTINY Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 Dec01 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
THELMA LUCILLE Jul25 Jul05 Jun10 Jan16 Dec27 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
10  GOLD APPEAL Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 Sep01 Aug01 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA DUDE Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 May06 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
ARMOR PIERCING Jul10 Jun06 May05 Jan12 Dec07 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 29% 2.40    
MINDSHIP Q Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 Jun02 May21 (londono odin)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
GUN FACTOR Jul12 May16 May07 Mar17   (lope)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
MISTERCHILLIWILLI Jul19 Jun27 Jun06     (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 117 2.50 23% 3.30    
TOYI Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 May23 May03 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE APPEAL Jul20 Sep07 May24 Apr01 Mar09 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
BEER CHASER Jul20 May30 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
AYE AYE SIR Jul17 Jun26 May30 Nov19 Oct22 (rettele richard)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
CHANNEL FURY Jul17 Jun11 May30 May08 Oct14 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
STAR HAWK Feb08 Dec05 Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
WICKED WARRIOR Jul19 Jun26 May10 Apr16 Mar29 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALIZED Jul24         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 43% 1.30    
HARSH TRUTH Jul24 Jun19 May29 May11 Mar09 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SYNERGISTIC Jul24 May29 May11 Apr25   (lopez jacinto)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 5% 17.90    
EL SORDO Jul24 Jun19       (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
SCR  MALUMA Aug01         (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00    
MOR CRAFTY Jul24         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
SHOWTIME BOY Jul24 Jun29 May29 May11 Apr25 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROUGE TU RICHES Jul24 Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 Nov16 (faulkner rodney)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
JOSH'N Jul19 May11 Apr25 Apr13   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
10  KNOCK WOOD Jul24 Jun19 May29 May11   (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY INCLUDED Jul29 Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 Mar21 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
CONDEMNATION Jul18 Jul06 Jun10 Feb01 Jan05 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
INTO GOLD Jul12 Jun27 May23 May08 Mar20 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
RUN ROCKY Jul27 Jan05 Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 (madrigal rod)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
TEAM LEYENDECKER Jul12 Jun24 Jan28 Jan05 Dec06 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 12.00    
BLAZING BURROUGHS Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May26 Oct24 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
ZAKARIA Jul13 May06 Apr26 Mar28 Oct25 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
SCR  BETCHAIWILL Jul13         (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 Jan28 Jan11 (gorham m)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z B READY Jun19         (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 30.00    
POLLY PRISSY PANTS Jul05 Jun19 May31 Sep29   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
CANELA FINA Jun30 Jun19 Jun01 May11 Apr24 (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 4.00 6% 15.20    
SNAZZY Jul19         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
VAMONOS PIACENTE Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 Feb20 Sep29 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00    
HALO EFFECT Jul19 Jul05 Jun24 May31 May11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
ONE RICH KITTEN Jul19         (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 May11 Apr24 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
C MORE PRIDE Jul05 Jun01       (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
10  BROKEN JEWEL Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 Feb06 Jan10 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 16% 5.10    
11  MY TWO JAKES Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 May31 (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
12  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jul05 Jun19 May31     (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.